Cremonese
ModenaSerie B | Fri 28 Aug, 19:30
Cremonese v Modena Stats
Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 08:17 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Modena enters this Serie B fixture with strong momentum, having secured a 2-1 victory in their opening match, while Cremonese are yet to claim points after a narrow 1-0 defeat. Modena's tactical setup emphasizes quick transitions and midfield control, leveraging key players like Santoro and Caso to create scoring opportunities. Cremonese will look to stabilize defensively but face pressure from Modena's potent attack. The away side's higher league standing and recent form suggest they are well-positioned to challenge for all three points in this early-season contest.
Modena to Win
- Modena won their opening match 2-1; Cremonese lost 1-0
- Modena ranks 4th in Serie B; Cremonese sits 18th
- Modena averages 13 shots per game with 4 on target
- Cremonese averages 15 shots but only 2 on target
- Modena has 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 rate in recent form
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model strongly favors Modena to win with a 68.7% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and league position. Despite longer at 4.33, the implied chance is just 23.1%, indicating significant value. Modena's attacking efficiency, highlighted by Santoro's 3.33 shots on target per 90 minutes and goal threat, supports this . Cremonese's lack of goals and lower defensive stability further bolster the away win case. No data limitations affect in this pick.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Modena's early season form and attacking prowess make them the logical choice for victory in this Serie B match. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with Cremonese's struggles to find the net, points to an away win. The data confirms Modena's superiority in key offensive metrics and league standing, supporting in this selection.
The concern is at the other end.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Modena's dynamic midfield and clinical finishing give them a clear edge over Cremonese, who have yet to find their rhythm this season. The statistical profile and league context strongly favor an away victory here.”
Key Data Signals
Modena to Win evidence
Modena ranks 4th in Serie B; Cremonese sits 18th
Modena averages 13 shots per game with 4 on target
Cremonese averages 15 shots but only 2 on target
What To Watch In The Data
Modena to Win notes
- The last five matches involving these teams and similar opponents show a strong trend toward Over 2.5 goals, driven by Modena's attacking tempo and Cremonese's defensive vulnerabilities.
- This trend suggests an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Cremonese
Modena
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Serie B
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Modena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
