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Cremonese crestCremonese
v
Modena crestModena

Serie B | Fri 28 Aug, 19:30

Cremonese v Modena Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 02:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cremonese face Modena in Serie B on Fri 28 Aug, 19:30. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.4 goals per match recently, while Modena's inability to keep clean sheets and Cremonese's modest finishing suggest both sides will find the net in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

By requiring a specific winner, but fails if the fixture ends in a draw or away win

  • At 1/1, By requiring a specific winner, but fails if the fixture ends in a draw or away win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Cremonese show a 0% BTTS rate and Modena show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Cremonese average 0 goals scored and Modena average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for By requiring a specific winner, but fails if the fixture ends in a draw or away win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Cremonese show a 0% BTTS rate and Modena show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Cremonese show a 0% BTTS rate and Modena show a.Visible data support
Positive
Cremonese average 0 goals scored and Modena average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Cremonese show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Modena show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The concern is at the other end.

Main risk

The concern is at the other end.

Key Data Signals

By requiring a specific winner, but fails if the fixture ends in a draw or away win evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Cremonese show a 0% BTTS rate and Modena show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Cremonese average 0 goals scored and Modena average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

By requiring a specific winner, but fails if the fixture ends in a draw or away win notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cremonese0
Avg goals scored
Modena2
Cremonese1
Avg goals conceded
Modena1
Cremonese0%
BTTS rate
Modena100%
Cremonese0%
Over 2.5 goals
Modena100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Modena Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Modena to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cremonese5
Avg corners for
Modena4
Cremonese7
Avg total corners
Modena12
Cremonese3
Avg yellow cards
Modena2
Cremonese15
Avg shots
Modena13
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 52% vs implied 48% · edge +4.7 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cremonese

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Empoli0-1

Modena

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Benevento2-1
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 52% · edge +2.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Modena Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Modena to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Cremonese wins
2Draws
0Modena wins
26 Jan 2025Cremonese v Modena2-2
29 Oct 2024Modena v Cremonese2-2
03 Mar 2024Modena v Cremonese0-1
23 Dec 2023Cremonese v Modena4-0
20 Oct 2022Cremonese v Modena4-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Modena to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Cremonese4
Played
Modena4
Cremonese1.3
Avg goals for
Modena1.5
Cremonese1.8
Avg goals against
Modena0.8
Cremonese0
Clean sheets
Modena1
Market aligned with main pickModena Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 35% · edge +6.9 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Modena to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Season data supports Modena Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Modena742113
15Cremonese44112-2
Cremonese sit in position 15, while Modena sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the By requiring a specific winner, but fails if the fixture ends in a draw or away win assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Cremonese Over 2.5
100%Modena Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cremonese sit at 0% and Modena sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Cremonese v Modena prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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