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Alaves vs Villarreal: Early Form Meets an Unsettled Defence. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Villarreal’s pattern of scoring and conceding two goals in each opening match, combined with Alaves’ strong scoring form and historical head-to-head scoring, makes Both Teams to Score a solid prediction despite Alaves’ clean sheet risk against Getafe.
A 2-2 draw fits Villarreal’s back-to-back 2-2 results and Alaves’ home scoring form. Both teams have scored in most recent meetings, making this exact score plausible despite its narrow margin risk.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Alaves v Villarreal.
Alaves welcome Villarreal to Estadio de Mendizorroza on Friday night with the early La Liga table pointing in one direction and the recent scoring patterns in another.
Alaves vs Villarreal — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Alaves and Villarreal arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.
Villarreal carry the stronger scoring threat, but Alaves must contribute for BTTS to land.
Alaves and Villarreal look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Alaves carry the stronger defensive profile, while Villarreal remain vulnerable in the likely scoreline.
Three Punchy Stats
- Both teams have scored in 14 of the last 17 meetings, reinforcing the likelihood that neither defence can assume a comfortable evening.
- Villarreal's first two league matches have both finished 2-2, leaving them with four goals scored but no victory.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in six of Alaves' last eight home La Liga matches, matching the broader high-scoring trend surrounding this fixture.
Scoring Streaks
Recent attacking records for Alaves and Villarreal are shown below.
Clean Sheet Runs
Recent defensive records for Alaves and Villarreal are shown below.
The hosts have taken four points from two matches, including a 3-0 home win over Getafe, while Villarreal are still searching for their first victory after successive 2-2 draws.
The contrast is straightforward enough: Alaves have started with greater control over results, but Villarreal have already shown they can find goals. The more revealing question is whether the visitors can finally tighten up at the other end.
Alaves Have Earned Their Fast Start
Four points from two games leaves Alaves near the top of the table at this early stage, and their performances have offered more substance than the league position alone.
The 3-0 victory over Getafe came with the advantage of facing 10 men from late in the first half, which adds useful context to the scoreline. Their 1-1 draw away to Rayo Vallecano therefore carries its own significance, particularly given that Alaves were described as being well on top but unable to turn that superiority into a win.
Mariano Diaz has already scored twice from the bench and could now be considered for a start. That gives Quique Sanchez Flores a useful attacking decision without requiring wholesale changes, with Antonio Blanco expected to remain in midfield. Tomas Mendes is suspended, but otherwise Alaves are in strong shape.
Villarreal's Attack Has Not Been the Problem
Villarreal have scored twice in each of their opening league games, drawing 2-2 with Racing Santander and then repeating that scoreline against Atletico Madrid. Four goals from two matches is a respectable attacking return; conceding four explains why they remain without a win.
That pattern stretches beyond the first fortnight. Six of Villarreal's last eight league matches have produced at least three goals, while four of their last five matches have contained at least four. Their games have been consistently open enough for defensive control to become the obvious concern.
Gerard Moreno added to the attacking options by scoring from the bench against Atletico Madrid and could be introduced from the start. Georges Mikautadze is also expected to retain his place, while Ayoze Perez may drop out. Alassane Diatta is available again and Nathan Saliba could make his debut.
For Villarreal, then, the issue is less about manufacturing threat than preventing productive attacking spells from being cancelled out.
Mendizorroza Has Been an Uncomfortable Trip
The historical picture gives Alaves another reason to approach the match without inferiority. They lead the overall head-to-head record with 16 wins from 34 meetings, compared with Villarreal's 14, and the visitors have not won away to Alaves since January 2020.
That does not make the hosts favourites by default, but it removes any sense that Villarreal's third-place finish last season should dictate the shape of this fixture. Early-season performance matters more here, and Alaves have so far been the more secure side.
The scoring history between them is difficult to ignore as well. Both teams have found the net in 14 of the last 17 meetings, a sequence that fits neatly with Villarreal's current combination of attacking output and defensive vulnerability.
Goals Look More Plausible Than Control
Alaves have seen over 2.5 goals in six of their last eight home league games, while Villarreal arrive after consecutive 2-2 draws. Taken together with the head-to-head scoring record, there is a clear pattern of matches involving these sides refusing to stay quiet.
Alaves' challenge is to make their encouraging start count against opposition capable of scoring repeatedly. Villarreal's is simpler to diagnose and harder to solve: four goals scored have produced only two points because four have also gone in at the other end.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams to Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Alaves vs Villarreal 2-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
Pick 1: Both Teams to Score YES @ 6/10
Villarreal’s opening two La Liga fixtures have established a clear goal-scoring pattern that makes Both Teams to Score YES compelling. Marcelino’s side drew 2-2 with Racing Santander before recording another 2-2 draw against Atletico Madrid, scoring four goals while simultaneously conceding four. That willingness to trade attacks extends beyond the current campaign, with six of Villarreal’s last eight league fixtures producing at least three total goals and four of their last five containing four or more.
Alaves bring their own scoring form into this Mendizorroza fixture, having collected four points from their opening two games. Quique Sanchez Flores’s team beat Getafe 3-0 at home and drew 1-1 away at Rayo Vallecano, a match in which Alaves were well on top despite failing to convert their superiority into a victory. With forward Mariano Diaz scoring twice from the bench across those two fixtures and pushing for a starting position alongside midfielder Antonio Blanco, Alaves possess active goal threats to challenge a Villarreal defence that has already allowed two goals in consecutive games.
The primary risk stems from Alaves keeping a clean sheet against Getafe, though that outcome was aided by Getafe playing with ten men from late in the first half. Historical precedent further supports an open match, as both teams have found the net in 14 of the last 17 head-to-head meetings between these clubs. Given Villarreal’s inability to preserve a lead and Alaves’ strong early goal volume, both teams scoring remains a highly defensible outcome.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Both teams scored in 14 of last 17 meetings.
- Villarreal drew 2-2 in both opening La Liga games.
- Over 2.5 goals in six of Alaves' last eight home games.
Risk Factor: Pick 1 loses if either team keeps a clean sheet; Alaves held Getafe scoreless with 10 men advantage.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze contributing to consecutive two-goal team performances.
Back-to-back 2-2 draws against Racing Santander and Atletico Madrid exposing backline gaps.
Pick 2: Alaves vs Villarreal 2-2 @ 10/1
A 2-2 draw reflects the specific scoring trends and defensive numbers established by both clubs in the early weeks of the season. Villarreal enter this fixture having recorded back-to-back 2-2 draws against Racing Santander and Atletico Madrid. Their attack has delivered two goals in each fixture, supported by Gerard Moreno scoring off the bench against Atletico Madrid and Georges Mikautadze maintaining his place in forward areas. However, conceding four goals across two games demonstrates why their matches repeatedly produce high goal totals without yielding victories.
Alaves possess the requisite attacking form at Mendizorroza to score twice against Villarreal’s vulnerable backline. Quique Sanchez Flores saw his side score three times against Getafe in their opening home match and remain dominant in their 1-1 draw at Rayo Vallecano. With Mariano Diaz netting two goals from the bench in two appearances, Alaves have demonstrated multi-goal capability. Furthermore, six of Alaves’ last eight home league matches have featured over 2.5 goals, while Villarreal’s last five league matches have seen four of them generate four or more goals.
The main risk to a 2-2 correct score is its precise boundary. A single additional goal from either side—or a defensive consolidation from Alaves—defeats the selection. However, with both teams to score landing in 14 of the last 17 head-to-head encounters and Villarreal repeatedly settling into four-goal scorelines, a third consecutive 2-2 draw for the visitors presents a coherent exact-score hypothesis.
Risk Factor: Pick 2 fails if final score differs from exactly 2-2; a single goal difference spoils the bet.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Yes market settle for Alaves vs Villarreal?
Both teams must score at least one goal each during regular time for the bet to win.
What happens if the match finishes 0-0 for BTTS Yes?
The bet loses because neither team scored any goals.
What makes a 2-2 Correct Score bet win or lose?
The match must end exactly 2-2; any other scoreline loses the bet.
Do extra time or penalties count toward these betting selections?
No, only goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time count.
How does Villarreal's early season form support both teams scoring?
They scored and conceded four goals in two 2-2 draws, showing open games.
How does Alaves' home performance at Mendizorroza factor into the analysis?
They scored three goals in their opening home match and often see over 2.5 goals.
