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Can Torino’s direct front two outmuscle Udinese’s aerial power in Turin? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Torino come into this fixture as the form team, having taken nine points from their last four matches. Their defensive record is impressive, with eight clean sheets already this season, providing a solid foundation against a Udinese side that has lost five of nine away league games. Historically, Torino have a significant edge, remaining unbeaten in the last six head-to-head encounters and winning 10 of the last 17 meetings overall. Given Udinese's defensive struggles and poor record in Turin, the home side is well-positioned to collect another three points.
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This selection aligns with Torino’s recent habit of winning matches while keeping a clean sheet, a feat they have achieved in three of their last four games. Udinese possess the worst defensive record in the league, and their struggles on the road make it likely they will concede multiple times against an efficient Torino attack. A 2-0 result has been a recurring theme in this fixture's history and accurately reflects the gap in current confidence and defensive stability between the two mid-table sides as they head into Round 19.
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Torino vs Udinese Predictions and Best Bets
Torino vs Udinese — William Hill Market Snapshot
Market snapshots based on match pricing and technical observations.
Torino are the listed home favourites as Udinese travel with a poor recent record in this specific fixture.
Pricing reflects a match where Torino have a historically stronger defensive stance at home.
- Two teams built around shots, not spells of possession: Torino average 12.6 shots per Serie A match with 43.9% possession, while Udinese average 12.4 shots with 45.7% possession.
- Defensive numbers keep the tension high: Torino have conceded 28 goals in 18 league matches, and Udinese have conceded 29 in 18, meaning both defences live under constant pressure.
- Udinese carry more ‘dangerous attacks’ despite sitting below Torino: Udinese have 838 dangerous attacks to Torino’s 746, showing Udinese reach threatening areas frequently even with a lower points total.
Defensive Profile: Goals Conceded per Match
A comparison of seasonal concession rates highlights the defensive challenges both teams have faced throughout the campaign.
Torino have managed eight clean sheets this season, demonstrating defensive resilience despite the season average.
Udinese have conceded 29 goals in 18 games, indicating persistent vulnerabilities in their defensive line.
Attacking Volume: Shot Averages
Both sides maintain similar levels of offensive intent, reflected in their average shot production per game.
Torino’s tactical setup focuses on direct football and testing the goalkeeper early.
Despite their lower league position, Udinese remain competitive in creating shooting opportunities.
Udinese arrive in Turin with two separate problems to solve, and neither is particularly subtle. They haven’t won a single one of their last four trips to the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, and they turn up this time on the back of a three-match winless run. The fixture list is not interested in your mood, of course, but this one has the look of a litmus test: can Udinese impose their identity away from home against a Torino side trending the other way?
Because Torino are rolling. Nine points from the last 12 is a tidy return by anyone’s standards, and it sets a tone ahead of the midweek meeting in Serie A’s 19th round. Even more interesting is how both sides get there stylistically. Torino are built for counter-attacks, take plenty of shots, and happily go long and early. Udinese also like to attack through the middle, hit long balls, and take plenty of shots. In other words: there may be spells of arm-wrestling, but there will also be moments where this turns into a track meet in central zones.
The table keeps it tight. Torino sit 10th with 23 points from 18 games, one place above Udinese in 12th with 22 points from 18. Yet the goals columns paint a harsher picture: Torino have scored 20 and conceded 28, while Udinese have scored 18 and conceded 29. Both concede more than they score. Both make it interesting. Both make it stressful. And if you like your football with a little jeopardy, this one arrives with plenty of it.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Torino’s possible starting lineup is Paleari; Ismajli, Maripán, Coco; Dembele, Casadei, Ilkhan, Vlasic, Lazaro; Adams, Simeone.
That reads like a 3-5-2 with Alberto Paleari behind a back three of Ardian Ismajli, Guillermo Maripán and Saúl Coco. It’s a selection that leans into Torino’s core personality: defend your box with big bodies, get the ball forward quickly, and let the front two make life uncomfortable.
The midfield is where the balance gets set. Cesare Casadei’s presence in the middle brings bite and aerial heft; he averages 3.4 aerials won and his role naturally suits a side that doesn’t lean on possession. Emirhan Ilkhan is listed alongside him, and with Nikola Vlašić also in the XI, Torino have options for who takes responsibility in the pockets. Vlašić is the obvious conductor, with five league goals and two assists. If Torino’s attacks have a rhythm rather than just a rush, he’s usually the reason.
Out wide, Valentino Lazaro and Ali Dembele shape the match’s width and crossing volume. Torino attempt crosses often, and the personnel fits. Up front, the pairing of Ché Adams and Giovanni Simeone gives Torino two different ways to hurt you. Simeone has five league goals, and Adams brings his own end product with three goals and one assist. It’s a front two that encourages direct football: win territory, win second balls, shoot early.
Udinese’s possible starting lineup is Okoye; Kristensen, Kabasele, Solet; Zanoli, Miller, Karlstrom, Ekkelenkamp, Kamara; Zaniolo, Davis.
That is another 3-5-2 shape, with Maduka Okoye in goal and a back three of Thomas Kristensen, Christian Kabasele and Oumar Solet. Udinese’s identity is clear: they are very strong at creating chances through individual skill, very strong in aerial duels, and they like to play the offside trap. They can look like a side built for sharp, central punches rather than long spells of calm control.
The midfield trio is where Udinese either settle or spiral. Jesper Karlström is a near-ever-present with 18 appearances and provides stability. Jurgen Ekkelenkamp offers forward-running and a shooting threat. Lennon Miller is named in the XI too, and his inclusion alongside two more established midfield pieces hints at Udinese wanting legs and energy rather than a slow, possession-heavy build.
In attack, the headline duo is Nicolò Zaniolo and Keinan Davis. Davis has five league goals and two assists, while Zaniolo has four goals and one assist. Udinese are at their best when individuals decide they are bored of structure and do something with the ball. Those two are exactly the types to do it.
How the Match Could Be Played
When two teams share a back-three shape, the game often pivots on wing-back territory. If Lazaro and Dembele can pin Udinese’s wide men deep, Torino can turn this into long spells in the attacking half, cycling play and firing crosses into the box. That is a comfortable setting for Torino because they take a lot of shots and don’t need elaborate combinations to create danger.
But Udinese won’t mind a scrap. Their aerial strength is not just a nice detail; it’s a foundation. Kristensen averages 2.9 aerials won, Kabasele 2.7, and Davis 2.0. That means Torino’s crossing-heavy approach can become a contest Udinese fancy, especially if they can turn clearances into quick counters through the middle.
Central space is the other decisive zone. Torino attack through the middle, Udinese attack through the middle, and both like long balls. That combination tends to create messy second phases rather than neat chess. Torino’s weakness at keeping possession means they are not built to suffocate Udinese with sterile control. They want the ball moving forward, even if it means losing it. Udinese, meanwhile, are weak at avoiding individual errors. Put those together and you get a match where the ball changes hands quickly, and every turnover has teeth.
For Torino, Vlašić is the key to turning those turnovers into something more than hopeful chaos. With five goals and two assists, he provides actual end product, not just tidy touches. If he can receive between Udinese’s midfield and back line, he can slip runners in, draw fouls, or simply set the ball for early shots.
For Udinese, the match lives and dies with Davis and Zaniolo’s ability to make contact with the game. Udinese are very strong at creating chances through individual skill, and Zaniolo in particular plays like a man who doesn’t ask permission. If he can carry the ball at Torino’s back three, he forces decisions: step out and leave space, or back off and let him shoot.
Both teams also play the offside trap. That alone can create a strange rhythm: long balls played just a fraction too early, runs timed just a fraction too late, and sudden, chaotic moments when the line gets broken and nobody looks comfortable. Torino’s weakness at avoiding individual errors adds a real edge here, especially if Udinese commit to direct running rather than slow build-up.
One more layer: game state. Torino are very weak at protecting the lead, while Udinese are strong at protecting the lead and strong at coming back from losing positions. That mix can produce a match that never quite settles, even if one side gets in front. One goal does not finish the conversation here. It starts a louder one.
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The Numbers That Support the Story
Torino’s league record after 18 matches is 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. That is a side that concedes 1.4 goals per game across their last 20 matches in all competitions, and it explains why Torino matches can feel like controlled chaos rather than clean management.
Udinese’s Serie A numbers are even harsher defensively: 18 scored and 29 conceded from 18 games, with an overall concession rate of 1.52 goals per game across their last 21 matches. This means Udinese spend plenty of time one mistake away from trouble, which fits neatly with their listed weakness of avoiding individual errors.
The shot volumes underline why both teams feel capable of creating something on any given night. Torino average 12.6 shots per Serie A match. Udinese average 12.4. These are sides that don’t need endless possession to fire attempts at goal.
Possession, in fact, is modest. Torino average 43.9% possession in the league, while Udinese sit at 45.7%. Torino complete passes at 79.4% and Udinese at 80.5%. This means neither team is obsessed with dominating the ball. They want territory, duels, and moments.
Even in the “dangerous attacks” totals, Udinese edge it: 838 to Torino’s 746. That means Udinese get into threatening areas often, even when results wobble.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first swing point is the duel between Torino’s wing-driven crossing game and Udinese’s aerial muscle. If Torino turn the match into a steady stream of deliveries, Udinese’s centre-backs and Davis get repeated chances to win first contact. If Udinese keep winning those duels, Torino’s pressure turns into frustration and counter-attacks.
The second is Vlašić’s influence in the half-spaces. Torino’s best version is the one where he links midfield to the front two, rather than leaving Adams and Simeone to fight alone. Vlašić’s five goals and two assists make him Torino’s most productive attacker in the squad list, and a match like this needs that quality.
The third is Zaniolo’s capacity to force errors. Udinese are weak at avoiding individual mistakes, yet Zaniolo’s game is built around chaos and confrontation. When he runs at defenders, somebody has to make a decision. Get it wrong and the pitch opens up.
What could go wrong with this read? The offside traps. Both teams rely on them, and that can turn a match into a stop-start sequence where rhythm never forms and quality moments get smothered by marginal calls and mistimed runs. Add in the fact that both sides concede freely over the season, and you get fine margins everywhere: one misjudged step, one loose pass, one ricochet, and the narrative flips.
Best Bet for Torino vs Udinese
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Torino to win
Torino enter this midweek clash with clear momentum and a psychological edge that is difficult to ignore. They have secured nine points from their last 12 available, a run that includes three victories accompanied by clean sheets. This defensive sturdiness is a hallmark of their recent form, having recorded eight shutouts already this campaign. While they have faced some defensive lapses at home recently, their overall trajectory is upward, evidenced by a comprehensive 3-0 victory against Hellas Verona to open the year. Giovanni Simeone, who found the net in that match, remains a potent threat with five league goals, supported by Ché Adams and the creative influence of Nikola Vlašić.
Udinese, by contrast, are trending in the opposite direction. They arrive in Turin on a three-match winless run and have managed just one victory in their last six outings across all competitions. Their away form is particularly concerning, with five defeats in nine league trips this term and only one win in their last eight on the road. Historically, the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino has been a graveyard for Udinese’s ambitions; they haven’t won any of their last four visits here and have lost nine of their last 14 away meetings against the Granata.
Stylistically, Torino are well-equipped to exploit Udinese’s primary vulnerability: individual errors. While Udinese are physically imposing and strong in aerial duels, they have the leakiest defense in the division, conceding 29 goals in 18 matches. Torino’s direct approach, involving high shot volumes and frequent crosses, will put constant pressure on a Udinese backline that often struggles to maintain composure under sustained duress. With Torino unbeaten in the last six head-to-head encounters, the combination of superior form, historical dominance, and Udinese’s travel sickness makes a home win the most logical conclusion.
What could go wrong
The primary risk to a Torino victory lies in the tactical setup of both sides, as both rely heavily on the offside trap. This can lead to a fragmented game where rhythm is difficult to establish, potentially resulting in a stalemate if Torino’s attackers fail to time their runs. Furthermore, Udinese possess significant aerial strength through Thomas Kristensen and Christian Kabasele, which could neutralize Torino’s crossing game. If Udinese can capitalize on a counter-attack through Nicolò Zaniolo’s individual skill, they might frustrate a Torino side that has occasionally struggled to protect leads this season.
Correct score lean
Torino 2-0 Udinese
Torino have displayed a renewed defensive discipline lately, keeping clean sheets in three of their last four matches. Given that Udinese have failed to score in their most recent outing and have a poor scoring record in this specific away fixture, a shutout for the hosts is a strong possibility. Torino’s offensive output is steady rather than explosive, averaging just over a goal per game, but they have shown they can add late gloss to scores, as seen in their 3-0 win over Verona. A 2-0 scoreline reflects Torino’s historical superiority and Udinese’s current defensive fragilities.
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