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Can Pisa’s five-man midfield screen keep Juventus’ in-form attackers quiet at the Arena Garibaldi? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Aberdeen are desperate for a win to end a seven-game slump, while Raith Rovers' recent away form is dominated by 0-0 draws. The Dons have the quality to win but lack the scoring consistency to suggest a high-scoring game.
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Raith’s defensive record and away draw habit suggest they will keep it close. Aberdeen’s average goal time is late (66th minute), making a 1-0 grind the most logical outcome.
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Pisa vs Juventus Predictions and Best Bets
Pisa vs Juventus — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Current pricing reflects the significant gap in the standings between Juventus and 19th-placed Pisa.
Low-scoring outcomes are prioritized given Pisa’s run of eight consecutive home games with under 2.5 goals.
- Table pressure in one line: Pisa are 19th with 11 points from 16 games, while Juventus are fifth with 29 from 16, shaping very different game states.
- A shot-volume gap that explains the likely rhythm: Juventus have 371 shots in 23 matches (16.13 per game) compared to Pisa’s 168 in 18 (9.33).
- Home pattern to frame Pisa’s plan: their last eight Serie A home games have finished under 2.5 goals, pointing towards a tight, low-event approach at the Arena Garibaldi.
Attacking Volume: Average Shots per Match
A comparison of offensive output shows a significant gap in how often both sides test the opposition goal.
The hosts struggle to sustain pressure, managing under ten attempts per 90 minutes.
The visitors lead the way in creative frequency, recording significantly higher shot counts.
Tactical Control: Passing Accuracy
The technical gap in midfield is highlighted by the efficiency of ball circulation for both teams.
Lower accuracy often reflects a more direct style or pressure under high-tempo situations.
High completion rates allow for the sustained spells of possession that define the visitors’ style.
Putting a full stop on 2025 is the brief here, and it comes with a proper test of mood and momentum. Juventus head to Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani on Saturday evening looking to make it four straight wins, after two big victories in Serie A and another success in Europe.
For Pisa, the scene is very different. They go into this round sitting 19th in Serie A with 11 points from 16 games, while Juventus are fifth with 29 points from 16. The recent results underline the task as well: Pisa drew 2-2 at Cagliari last time out, but they’ve taken three defeats across their last six matches in all competitions. Juventus, meanwhile, have won five of their last six across Serie A, the Champions League and Coppa Italia, including a 2-1 win over Roma and a 1-0 away win at Bologna.
It’s the sort of fixture that can feel like a reality check and an opportunity at the same time. Pisa are at home, the temperature is listed around 11°, and the match has a strong “how long can you keep the lid on it?” energy. Juventus arrive with the expectation of control and the pressure of having to turn it into points.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Pisa’s possible starting line-up suggests a back three and wing-backs: Semper; Canestrelli, Caracciolo, Bonfanti; Touré, Vural, Piccinini, Aebischer, Angori; Tramoni, Meister.
That reads as a 3-5-2 on the teamsheet, with Touré and Angori providing the width, Aebischer and Piccinini supporting in central areas, and Tramoni working close to Meister. It’s a set-up that can crowd the middle and protect the box if the wing-backs drop quickly, but it can also leave you asking a lot of those wide players if Juventus can pin them back.
There are also absences listed. Juan Cuadrado Bello is out with a hamstring injury until 29.12.2025. Ebenezer Akinsanmiro and M’Bala Nzola are called up to the national team, while Raúl Albiol Tortajada is suspended.
Juventus’ possible XI points towards their own back three: Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Bremer, Kelly; McKennie, Locatelli, Thuram, Cambiaso; Conceição, Yildiz; Vlahovic.
If that’s how it lands, the match-up becomes a mirror in structure but not necessarily in feel. Juventus’ midfield pairing of Locatelli and Thuram suggests a base built for circulation and security, while McKennie and Cambiaso can shape the wide lanes either as wing-backs or as wide midfielders depending on the phase. Ahead of them, Conceição and Yildiz sit close enough to Vlahovic to make Pisa’s centre-backs uncomfortable: do you hold your line and risk letting those two receive between it, or do you step out and leave space for Vlahovic to attack?
How the Match Could Be Played
With both sides apparently lining up with three centre-backs, the wide areas feel like the first battleground. Pisa’s wing-backs are crucial. If Touré and Angori can get up the pitch, they give Pisa a route to breathe: they can carry play into the Juventus half, draw fouls, win throw-ins, and stop the game from becoming a siege. But if Juventus can keep them pinned deep, Pisa’s shape starts to resemble a back five with a narrow midfield screen, and the distance to Meister and Tramoni becomes uncomfortable.
Juventus will like their chances of setting the tempo through the middle. The passing numbers paint a clear stylistic contrast: Juventus average 492.39 passes per game with 86% accuracy and 55% possession, while Pisa average 331.39 passes with 78% accuracy and 42% possession. That doesn’t guarantee dominance on the night, but it does suggest the most likely rhythm is Juventus having longer spells with the ball, probing for the moment Pisa’s lines separate.
The most interesting tactical question is how Pisa defend the space behind their midfield. With Vural, Piccinini and Aebischer likely central, there’s a natural temptation to sit tight and defend the zone rather than chase. That can work, but it also invites Juventus to station bodies between the lines and play little slip passes into the edge of the box. Yildiz’s role becomes especially important here. He’s listed as an attacking midfielder/forward, and his Serie A output includes five goals and four assists; he’s the type of player who can turn a cautious defensive plan into panic with one clean turn.
When Pisa do win the ball, the transition threat is about clarity rather than volume. Tramoni and Meister need to be connected quickly, because Juventus’ counter-press is likely to be strong simply due to numbers: Locatelli and Thuram are placed behind the two attackers, and the back three can hold their positions to squeeze the pitch. If Pisa hesitate, Juventus can recover shape; if Pisa play early into the front two, they at least give themselves a chance to win territory and force Juventus to defend facing their own goal.
Set-piece behaviour also looks like it could shape the feel of the contest. Juventus take more corners per game (5.22) than Pisa (3.22), and Pisa have been involved in a lot of tackles (16.44 per game) and fouls (13.5 per game). That can be interpreted two ways: either Pisa are proactive in duels, or they’re forced into defensive actions because the ball keeps coming back at them. In a game where Juventus will likely spend plenty of time in the attacking third, Pisa’s discipline and organisation around restarts could be a swing point.
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The Numbers That Support the Story
The standings are stark. Pisa have one win, eight draws and seven losses from 16 Serie A matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22 for a goal difference of -10. Juventus have eight wins, five draws and three losses from 16, scoring 21 and conceding 15.
Zooming out across all listed matches, the scoring profile still tells the same story. Pisa have scored 12 in 18 games overall, an average of 0.67 per game, and they’ve scored in seven of those 18 matches. Juventus have scored 35 in 23 overall, an average of 1.52 per game, and they’ve scored in 18 of those 23. In plain terms, Juventus are more reliable at turning possession into goals, while Pisa have often had to live with narrow margins.
The shooting numbers reinforce it. Pisa have taken 168 shots across 18 matches (9.33 per game), while Juventus have 371 across 23 (16.13 per game). That gap matters because it speaks to repeat pressure: the more often you take shots, the more often you test a goalkeeper, win corners, and force defenders into mistakes. It’s also telling that Pisa’s average time of first goal is listed as 72’, which hints at matches where their scoring moments—when they arrive—tend to come late, often after a long spell of containment or chasing.
There’s also a very specific home pattern for Pisa: they’ve seen under 2.5 goals in their last eight home games in Serie A. That doesn’t magically make this match tight, but it does support the idea of Pisa trying to keep it low-event for as long as they can, especially against an opponent who can overwhelm you if the game becomes stretched.
Key “Moments” to Watch
Early on, watch the wing-back chess match. If Cambiaso and McKennie can receive high and wide, Pisa’s back five can get dragged across and stretched, creating gaps for Conceição and Yildiz to attack. If Touré and Angori can push Juventus’ wide players backwards, Pisa gain precious metres and, just as importantly, precious seconds to reorganise.
The next moment is the first time Juventus get a clean reception between Pisa’s midfield and defence. That’s where matches like this are often decided: not by constant chances, but by one pass that breaks a line and forces a centre-back to make an ugly choice. Yildiz and Conceição hovering behind Vlahovic is designed to create exactly that dilemma.
At the other end, Pisa’s best attacking moments may come from being direct and decisive when the chance appears. Tramoni playing close to Meister gives Pisa a route to attack without needing long spells of possession, but it requires support runners from midfield and accurate first passes under pressure. If that first ball into the front two sticks, Juventus suddenly have to sprint back and defend. If it doesn’t, Pisa can find themselves repeatedly resetting in their own half.
Finally, keep an eye on emotional control. Pisa’s disciplinary totals include four red cards across 18 games, while Juventus have one across 23; combined with Pisa’s high tackle count, that speaks to a team that lives on the edge in duels. Against a side that wants to circulate the ball and draw pressure, those moments of over-commitment can become the story.
What could go wrong with this read? The biggest risk is assuming the match follows a neat script. A single early goal can warp the entire tactical plan, especially if it forces the home side to open up earlier than they want. Equally, a long stretch without a breakthrough can frustrate the away side and turn the contest into a series of small, scruffy moments where one deflection or one loose touch swings it.
Best Bet for Pisa vs Juventus
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Juventus to win
Juventus head to the Arena Garibaldi in a rich vein of form, seeking a fourth consecutive victory across all competitions to close out 2025. The disparity in momentum between these two sides is significant; while the visitors have secured five wins from their last six outings—including impressive results against Roma and Bologna—Pisa have struggled to find any consistency. The hosts sit 19th in the standings with just 11 points from 16 matches, having managed only a single league victory all season. Their recent form offers little comfort, characterized by three defeats in their last six games and a persistent inability to convert competitive performances into three points.
Tactically, the visitors possess the technical quality to dominate proceedings. They maintain an average of 55% possession and complete nearly 500 passes per game with 86% accuracy. This control allows them to pin opponents back, a strategy likely to be effective against a Pisa side that averages just 42% possession. Furthermore, the absence of key personnel for the home side, including the suspended Raúl Albiol and national team call-ups Ebenezer Akinsanmiro and M’Bala Nzola, significantly weakens their defensive and attacking depth.
The clinical edge also heavily favors the away side. Juventus average 1.52 goals per game and have found the net in 18 of their 23 total matches this season. In contrast, Pisa average a mere 0.67 goals per game and have failed to score in over half of their fixtures. Given that Pisa have seen under 2.5 goals in their last eight home league matches, they are likely to adopt a defensive posture, but the sheer volume of pressure from a side averaging over 16 shots per game should eventually tell. With creative sparks like Kenan Yildiz and Francisco Conceição operating behind a reliable striker, the quality gap is expected to be the deciding factor.
What could go wrong The primary risk to this selection lies in Pisa’s tendency to stifle games at home, where they have played out several 0-0 draws this season. If the hosts can maintain their defensive discipline and frustrate the visitors through the first hour, the pressure of expectation could lead to rushed decision-making. Additionally, an early clinical counter-attack from Mattéo Tramoni or Henrik Meister could force the visitors into a chasing game that suits a low-block defensive strategy.
Correct score lean
Juventus to win 2-0
A 2-0 scoreline reflects the statistical trends and tactical mismatch expected in this encounter. Pisa have been remarkably shot-shy at the Arena Garibaldi, scoring just once in their eight home appearances this season. Their strategy revolves around containment, evidenced by seven of those eight home games producing under 1.5 goals. However, Juventus have shown they can break down stubborn defenses, scoring two goals in recent wins over Roma and Udinese. Given Pisa’s defensive absences and the visitors’ superior shot volume, a clean-sheet victory for the away side with a goal in each half appears the most logical outcome.
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