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Can Bologna’s Europa League spark finally light up the Dall’Ara in the league against Udinese? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Bologna are struggling immensely at the Dall’Ara, losing their last four home league games. Udinese’s counter-attacking style and aerial superiority (17.1 vs 14.3) perfectly exploit Bologna’s defensive vulnerabilities and individual errors. With Bologna under pressure, the visitors are well-placed to secure at least a point.
Read Rationale ▾
Both sides occupy adjacent mid-table spots with only one point separating them. While Bologna dictate play, they are weak at protecting leads. Udinese’s aerial threat and set-piece efficiency often lead to goals, but they have lost their last two. A tactical stalemate between these two looks likely.
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Monday night under the lights at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, 19:45, and Bologna are trying to turn two good results into a proper run. Vincenzo Italiano has taken heat after a wobble in the league, but back-to-back wins have lifted the mood.
Bologna vs Udinese — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Bologna’s dismal run of four home league defeats creates a major opportunity for Udinese to snap their own losing streak.
Both teams have similar league positions, with Bologna averaging 55% possession, suggesting a controlled but active tactical battle.
A one-point gap in the table points to a competitive fixture where neither side can afford a loss.
Udinese win 17.1 aerial duels per match compared to Bologna’s 14.3, creating a major set-piece mismatch tonight.
Match Preview: Mid-Table Battle at the Dall’Ara
Monday night under the lights at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, 19:45, and Bologna are trying to turn two good results into a proper run. Vincenzo Italiano has taken heat after a wobble in the league and a Coppa Italia exit, but back-to-back wins — including a 1-0 Europa League playoff first-leg away at Brann — have lifted the mood.
The league picture is tighter than it looks. Bologna are 10th on 33 points, Udinese 11th on 32, and both sides have reasons to feel edgy: Bologna’s home form has collapsed, while Kosta Runjaic brings a team that has lost its last two matches.
This is a mid-table meeting with a sharp edge: control against disruption, patterns against punches.
Aerial Superiority: Duels Won per Match
Udinese’s physical profile gives them a distinct advantage in aerial phases compared to Bologna’s league average.
With Thomas Kristensen winning 3.1 duels alone, the visitors pose a high risk during set-pieces and long deliveries.
Bologna prefer a possession-heavy ground game (55%), leaving them potentially vulnerable to Udinese’s more direct aerial approach.
Attacking Volume: Shots per Game
A comparison of attacking frequency between the two sides as they look to break mid-table deadlocks.
Italiano’s side focuses on stretching play to create chances, leading to a higher frequency of attempts at goal.
Udinese thrive on counter-attacks and distance strikes (11.6 shots), prioritising speed over sustained possession.
- Home Pain, Away Opportunity: Bologna have lost their last four Serie A home matches, and another defeat would make it five straight at the Dall’Ara — pressure territory from kick-off.
- One Point Between Them: Bologna sit 10th on 33 points and Udinese are 11th on 32 after 25 games, so this fixture can flip mid-table momentum in one night.
- Possession vs Counterpunch: Bologna average 55.0% possession and 13.4 shots per game, while Udinese sit at 45.5% and 11.6 shots — but the visitors thrive on counter-attacks and set-piece threat.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Injuries / Absences
- Bologna: Charalampos Lykogiannis (muscular problems, out until 02/03/2026)
Bologna (possible XI)
Skorupski; Zortea, Heggem, Lucumi, Miranda; Freuler, Moro; Orsolini, Odgaard, Rowe; Castro
Udinese (possible XI)
Okoye; Bertola, Kristensen, Kabasele; Ehizibue, Atta, Karlstrom, Ekkelenkamp, Zemura; Zaniolo; Bayo
Tactical Impact
Bologna’s shape screams control and width. Without Lykogiannis, the left-sided balance becomes even more dependent on Juan Miranda and the wide rotations ahead of him.
Udinese’s set-up points to a back three and wing-backs, built to absorb pressure and spring. The big question is whether Nicolò Zaniolo can connect transitions to Vakoun Bayo quickly enough to hurt Bologna before they reset.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Serie A unless stated) | Bologna | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 11th |
| Points (GP) | 33 (25) | 32 (25) |
| Goals For / Against | 34 / 32 | 28 / 38 |
| Shots per game | 13.4 | 11.6 |
| Possession % | 55.0% | 45.5% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.5% | 80.0% |
| Aerials won | 14.3 | 17.1 |
Bologna should dictate the tempo — more ball, more shots, more time in the final third. Udinese arrive with the better aerial profile and a more obvious counterpunch identity, which is a real problem for a Bologna side that can be weak at protecting the lead and avoiding individual errors.
Tactical Battle: Width vs Verticality
Bologna: Volume and Width
Italiano’s Bologna lean into possession football, play with width, and attack down the left. That doesn’t mean slow. It means dragging you side-to-side until the gaps appear — then snapping the ball into runners.
Expect Riccardo Orsolini and Jonathan Rowe to stretch the pitch, with Jens Odgaard working pockets between the lines. Bologna also like crosses, and they create long-shot opportunities well — a useful weapon against a back five that wants to block lanes and defend the box.
The headline for Bologna is still the striker. Santiago Castro has been the matchwinner recently and he’s joint-top league scorer at the club with 7. If Bologna dominate territory, he’ll get chances — especially if Remo Freuler and Nikola Moro keep the ball moving fast enough to pin Udinese’s wing-backs deep.
Udinese: The Counterpunch
Runjaic’s Udinese don’t mind giving up the ball. They’re strong on the counter-attack, strong at stealing the ball, and dangerous from set pieces. They also attempt long passes and many shots, including shots from distance — a direct approach designed to turn the match into sequences rather than long spells of control.
Udinese’s front line carries punch. Keinan Davis has 7 league goals and 3 assists, while Zaniolo brings 5 goals and 2 assists with a high shot volume (2.2 shots per game). If Bologna’s offside trap misfires or their midfield spacing opens up, Udinese have the legs and the runners to break the pitch in two.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces both ways: Bologna are strong at attacking set pieces, Udinese are strong from set pieces too — dead balls could decide momentum swings.
- Wide zones: Bologna want width and crosses; Udinese can be exposed on the flanks, but their wing-backs also offer an escape route when pressure builds.
- Aerial duels: Udinese’s edge in the air (17.1 aerials won) meets a Bologna side that can be weak in aerial duels — key for corners and long phases in the box.
- Discipline and disruption: Bologna have 6 red cards in the listed match set, Udinese 1. With Bologna playing aggressively, one mistimed moment can flip the night.
📊 Market Explainer
Udinese or Draw (Double Chance)
This market covers two out of three possible match outcomes. You win if Udinese either wins the game outright or the match ends in a draw. It is a lower-risk option compared to a straight win bet as it provides a safety net against a stalemate.
Correct Score (1-1)
A Correct Score bet requires predicting the exact final scoreline. In this case, both teams must score exactly one goal each. This is a high-volatility market with higher prices due to the precise nature of the outcome required.
Other Opportunities: Cautious bettors might look at “Under 2.5 Goals,” which suits tight tactical battles but carries the risk of a late goal spoiling the position. High-risk seekers might target “Draw and Both Teams to Score” for better prices, though this removes the possibility of a 0-0 stalemate.
🎯 Udinese or Draw Rationale
Bologna enter this fixture under significant pressure at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. Their home form has suffered a total collapse, having lost their last four consecutive Serie A matches at this venue. While Vincenzo Italiano’s side dominates possession with a 55% average, they have shown a consistent inability to protect leads and are prone to costly individual errors. This lack of defensive composure at home makes the Double Chance on the visitors highly plausible.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Bologna have lost four straight home league matches.
- Udinese win significantly more aerial duels (17.1 per game).
- Bologna are weak at protecting leads and prone to individual errors.
Udinese’s style is perfectly engineered to hurt a side like Bologna. They thrive on the counter-attack and utilize a direct approach, involving high shot volumes from distance and crossing. With Bologna likely to commit players forward to break their home hoodoo, the visitors can exploit the resulting gaps in transition. Risk Factor: Bologna’s recent Europa League win may have revitalised their squad morale.
🎯 Correct Score: 1-1 Rationale
The league table suggests an extremely even contest, with only one point separating 10th-placed Bologna from 11th-placed Udinese after 25 games. Both teams are in a position where a defeat would be damaging to their mid-table security, often leading to more cautious second-half displays. Bologna’s high shot volume (13.4 per game) and Udinese’s counter-attacking threat suggest both teams have the tools to find the net, but neither side has shown the clinical edge to run away with the game.
Udinese’s aerial dominance is a key factor here; they win 17.1 duels per match, which provides a route to goal via set pieces against a Bologna side that struggles in the air. However, with Udinese coming off two straight losses, they may prioritise defensive structure. A 1-1 stalemate reflects the statistical parity and the tactical mismatch between Bologna’s control and Udinese’s disruption. Risk Factor: A red card, which Bologna have received six times recently, could collapse the tactical shape.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Winning 17.1 duels per match. Thomas Kristensen (3.1/game) poses a major threat from restarts.
Averaging only 14.3 aerials won. Vulnerable to Udinese’s physical presence in the box.
❓ Match Day Q&A
⊕What is a Double Chance bet?
A Double Chance bet allows you to cover two of the three possible outcomes in a football match with a single wager. For example, backing ‘Udinese or Draw’ means you win if the visitors win or if the game ends level. It significantly increases your probability of winning by reducing the risk of a loss.
⊕Why is Correct Score considered a high-risk market?
Correct Score betting is high-risk because it requires the exact final result to be predicted perfectly. Because there are so many possible scorelines in a match, the odds are higher to reflect the difficulty of the prediction. A single late goal can turn a winning bet into a losing one instantly.
⊕How does Bologna’s home form affect the predictions?
Bologna’s form at the Dall’Ara is a major factor as they have lost four straight home league matches. This suggests a lack of confidence and defensive stability when playing in front of their own fans, making them vulnerable to a well-organized Udinese side.
⊕Who is the main attacking threat for Bologna?
Santiago Castro is the primary threat for Bologna, sitting as the club’s joint-top league scorer with 7 goals. If Bologna’s possession game (55%) creates enough clear chances, he is the most likely player to capitalize on them.
⊕What tactical advantage does Udinese have?
Udinese hold a significant advantage in the air, winning 17.1 aerial duels per match compared to Bologna’s 14.3. This makes them extremely dangerous from set pieces and crosses, areas where Bologna have shown weakness.
⊕Could discipline play a role in this match?
Yes, discipline is a concern for Bologna, who have seen 6 red cards in their recent match set. An aggressive tactical approach combined with the pressure of their home losing streak could lead to bookings that shift the match momentum.
⊕How do Udinese approach games away from home?
Udinese typically adopt a disruption-based style, allowing opponents to have more of the ball (45.5% possession) while looking to strike on the counter-attack. They prioritize speed in transition and shots from distance to catch teams off-guard.
⊕What happens to my bet if the score is 0-0?
If you placed a ‘Udinese or Draw’ bet, you would win because a 0-0 draw is one of the outcomes covered. However, if you bet on a ‘1-1 Correct Score,’ the bet would lose as the scoreline was not exactly as predicted.
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