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Can Rangers turn Ibrox into a wave machine and blow away their Championship opponents, or will Queen’s Park land the cup shock of their season? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Scottish Cup Sundays don’t need warming up, especially when Ibrox Stadium is the stage and the fifth round is on the line.
Match Preview
- Rangers’ Relentless Volume: Rangers average 16.24 shots and 59% possession in the league, a profile built to pin teams back and keep pressure coming in waves.
- Queen’s Park’s Defensive Grind: Queen’s Park concede 1.59 goals per match (rising to 2.09 away), with 1.66 xG against — the back line gets asked hard questions regularly.
- Two Different Worlds: Rangers are 2nd with 2.04 points per game and a +24 goal difference, while Queen’s Park sit 10th with 0.95 points per game and -12.
Read Rationale ▾
Rangers are scoring 1.68 goals per game in the league but should find far more joy against Championship opposition. Queen’s Park concede 2.09 goals per away match, a vulnerability Rangers’ 16+ shots per game will ruthlessly exploit at Ibrox. Expect a dominant home performance covering the handicap.
Read Rationale ▾
Rangers keep clean sheets in 44% of their matches and concede just 0.72 goals on average. Combined with Queen’s Park’s struggles against top-tier defences and their leaky away record, a commanding 3-0 victory reflects Rangers’ control without needing to overexert in a cup tie.
Rangers come into this one with Danny Röhl’s side in sharp league form, scoring freely (42 goals in 25) while keeping the door bolted far more often than not (44% clean sheets). The mood should be properly charged by kick-off. They score every 54 minutes on average in the league, which tells you they don’t need a perfect 90 to get a goal. They just keep coming.
Rangers vs Queen’s Park — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Rangers are overwhelming favourites at Ibrox, with the market giving Queen’s Park only a slim chance of causing a cup upset.
With Rangers expected to control proceedings, correct score markets heavily favour comfortable margins of victory like 2-0 and 3-0.
With Rangers averaging high shot volumes and Queen’s Park conceding frequently away, goals are expected, but 4+ might be tight.
Chermiti leads the line and the market, while Naderi offers decent value for Rangers. Queen’s Park forwards are long shots.
Queen’s Park arrive with Sean Crighton in the dugout and a strange, messy run-in to this tie: they were handed a bye into this round after Stranraer — originally drawn to face Rangers — were expelled for fielding an ineligible player. The Spiders haven’t walked into Ibrox by accident, though. They’ve got goals in them (23 in 22), but they also play on the edge defensively — and Rangers don’t usually let you breathe when they smell a cup day.
Attacking Intensity: Shots per Match
Rangers relentless attacking volume is the standout mismatch, overwhelming opponents with attempts compared to Queen’s Park’s more modest output.
Rangers keep pressure coming in waves, consistently testing goalkeepers with a high number of attempts.
The visitors create significantly fewer chances, relying on efficiency rather than volume to find the net.
Defensive Solidity: Clean Sheet Percentage
Rangers’ ability to shut out opponents at home contrasts sharply with Queen’s Park’s struggles to keep a clean sheet, especially away.
Regularly keeping the door bolted, Rangers provide a tough defensive nut for any team to crack.
Conceding 2.09 goals per away match, clean sheets are a rarity for the Spiders on the road.
Team News & Probable Lineups
- Rangers: No confirmed injury or suspension updates are included here.
- Queen’s Park: No confirmed injury or suspension updates are included here.
Probable Lineup (Rangers): Kelly; Aarons, Djiga, Souttar, Meghoma; Chukwuani, Bajrami; Gassama, Naderi, Moore; Chermiti
Probable Lineup (Queen’s Park): Ferrie; Pignatiello, Murray, Shiels, Fieldson; Longridge, MacGregor; Connolly, Drozd, Savoury; Smith
Both managers lean towards 4-2-3-1, but the balance is completely different. Rangers’ shape looks set for territory and tempo — wide threat either side of Chermiti and a double pivot to recycle and squeeze. Queen’s Park’s two banks of four will need to stay connected, because Rangers’ shot numbers suggest they’ll keep testing the edges until something cracks.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Rangers | Queen’s Park |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.04 | 0.95 |
| Goals (total) | 42 scored / 18 conceded | 23 scored / 35 conceded |
| Goals per match | 1.68 scored / 0.72 conceded | 1.05 scored / 1.59 conceded |
| Shots per match | 16.24 | 7.64 |
| Average possession | 59% | 44% |
| xG for / against | 1.83 / 1.22 | 0.98 / 1.66 |
Rangers look built to dominate the ball and stack attempts — their shots and xG shout sustained pressure rather than one-off moments. Queen’s Park concede chances at a rate that becomes dangerous away from home, with 2.09 conceded per away match and a 3.36 away match-goals average.
Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Röhl’s Rangers have the numbers of a team that plays on the front foot: 59% possession, 16.24 shots, 1.83 xG for. That’s not a side waiting for inspiration — it’s a side manufacturing chances through volume and territory. At Ibrox, that usually means a high line of pressure and a constant hunt for second balls. The likely front four behind Chermiti gives Rangers multiple ways to attack: stretch the pitch wide, work the half-spaces, then reload when the first cross or cut-back gets blocked.
Crighton’s Spiders have to be honest about what this fixture becomes when Rangers settle: long spells without the ball are likely, because Queen’s Park sit at 44% possession and just 7.64 shots per match. Their best route is compactness first, then quick attacks when they win it — especially if Rangers’ full-backs step high and space appears either side of the centre-backs. Queen’s Park do carry a threat in open games. Their BTTS rate is 64%, and they score more freely away (1.27 per match) than at home.
The mismatch that matters is chance volume versus defensive load. Rangers concede 0.72 per match and hold 44% clean sheets, so Queen’s Park can’t rely on scraps. They’ll need a spell of control or a high-quality moment, because Rangers’ defensive record suggests they don’t give away goals cheaply. On the flip side, Queen’s Park’s defensive record away (2.09 conceded per match) means the longer they defend, the more the odds of a mistake, a deflection, or a second-phase finish grows.
Key Moments to Watch
- Early tempo and the first goal: Rangers score first in 64% of league matches. If they strike early, the tie starts to feel like attack versus damage control.
- Penalty-box discipline: Rangers have won 5 penalties in 25 and conceded 0; Queen’s Park have conceded 4 penalties in 22. One mistimed tackle can rewrite the story.
- Second-half squeeze: Rangers average 1.00 goals scored in the second half, and their control tends to sharpen as legs go. Queen’s Park’s away matches often open up late, with a 1.82 second-half total goals average.
Cup ties punish arrogance. If Rangers over-commit chasing an early kill and leave space behind, Queen’s Park’s ability to score away from home (1.27 per match) gives them a route to flip the noise inside Ibrox.
