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Can Al Feiha’s wide pressure and box threat crack Al Hazm’s back three on Christmas night? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Al Feiha hold a clear statistical advantage in territorial dominance, recording significantly more dangerous attacks (359 vs 306) than Al Hazm. Their offensive efficiency is highlighted by the fact that 68% of their shots come from within the penalty area, suggesting they create higher-quality scoring chances. Conversely, Al Hazm concede at a higher rate of 1.64 goals per game and tend to have less control over possession. While recent form is mixed for both, the home side's technical consistency and ability to pin opponents back through high corner volumes make them the logical selection.
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Both teams currently average 1.1 goals scored per match, indicating a high probability that both will find the net. Al Feiha’s tendency to concede 1.3 goals per game makes a clean sheet unlikely, especially against an Al Hazm side that averages a goal per game despite their lower league position. Given Al Feiha’s higher volume of dangerous attacks and their preference for high-percentage shots inside the box, they are expected to outscore their visitors. A 2-1 scoreline balances the hosts' attacking superiority with the defensive lapses shown by both teams in recent weeks.
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Al Fayha vs Al Hazem Predictions and Best Bets
Al Fayha vs Al Hazem — bet365 Market Snapshot
Market snapshot based on current pricing and statistical analysis.
Al Fayha enter as favourites based on home advantage and superior territorial metrics in the 1X2 market.
A narrow home victory is the primary lean, with Al Hazem’s higher concession rate making the 2-1 or 1-0 scores prominent.
- Corners can shift the whole mood: Al Feiha have 57 corners across 10 games (5.7 per match), while Al Hazm have 32 across 11 (2.91), hinting at sustained home pressure.
- Where shots come from tells a story: Al Feiha take 68% of their shots from inside the box, while Al Hazm split theirs 52% inside and 48% outside, shaping chance quality.
- Ball security could decide the tempo: Al Feiha’s passing is listed at 86% with 50% possession, compared to Al Hazm’s 81% and 45%, suggesting the hosts can hold rhythm longer.
Attacking Volume: Dangerous Attacks Comparison
The number of times each team has advanced into the opponent’s final third suggests where the territorial pressure will lie.
Al Fayha average more sustained pressure in high-value zones compared to their visitors.
Al Hazem have managed significantly fewer entries into threatening areas across the campaign.
Shot Discipline: Efforts from Inside the Box
This percentage indicates a team’s ability to create high-probability scoring opportunities close to goal.
A high proportion of efforts from close range suggests a more patient and structured build-up play.
Almost half of Al Hazem’s total attempts come from outside the penalty area, carrying a lower success rate.
Christmas Day football in the Saudi Pro League brings a tidy little subplot in Al Majma’ah: Al Feiha, sitting 10th on 11 points, hosting 12th-placed Al Hazm on 9. There’s not a lot between them in the table, and the recent scorelines hint at why this could feel edgy rather than glamorous.
Al Feiha arrive off the back of a 3-2 defeat to Ettifaq FC last month, a result that nudged them down into 10th. Al Hazm, meanwhile, come in with a narrow 2-1 win over Al Kholood Club, the kind of scoreline that suggests they’re comfortable living in the tight margins.
The setting is Al Majma’ah Sports City Stadium on 25 December 2025, with conditions listed at 15°. A cool evening, close neighbours in the standings, and two sides whose recent matches have featured plenty of “next goal wins it” energy. It doesn’t take much imagination to see this one turning on a couple of sharp moments rather than a long spell of domination.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Al Feiha’s possible starting XI is listed as: Mosquera; Al-Baqawi, Villanueva, Smalling, Bamsaud; Benzia, Semedo, Al-Harthi; Vrontis, Jason, Ganvoula. On paper, that reads like a back four with a three-man midfield and a front three — a fairly clear 4-3-3 shape.
There’s experience and physicality in the defensive line with Smalling alongside Villanueva, while the midfield trio has a natural balance if Benzia and Semedo can share the load with Al-Harthi. The listed front three gives them multiple ways to threaten: a focal point in Ganvoula, with Jason and Vrontis positioned to work around him.
Al Hazm’s possible starting XI is: Varela; Tunkar, Rosier, Boutouil; Al-Rashed, Martins, Al-Sayyali, Al-Dhuwayhi; Al-Nakhli; Al-Shammari, Al Al Feiha. That selection suggests a back three, a midfield band of four, a central link player behind the front two — in other words, the bones of a 3-4-1-2.
If those shapes hold, you’re immediately looking at a classic tension: Al Feiha’s wide forwards and full-backs trying to stretch the pitch against Al Hazm’s wing-back lanes and three centre-backs. The match-up is set before the first tackle is even made.
How the Match Could Be Played
With Al Feiha’s 4-3-3 against Al Hazm’s likely 3-4-1-2, the early rhythm could be dictated by who wins the wide zones. Al Feiha’s full-backs — Al-Baqawi and Bamsaud — will have decisions to make. Step high and pin back the wing-backs, and you give your wingers a platform to stay aggressive. Sit off, and you invite Al Hazm to build up with width and a free first pass.
In possession, Al Feiha have shown a fairly even split of the ball in their overall numbers, which hints at a team comfortable playing in a balanced game rather than one that is relentlessly ball-dominant. That can suit a 4-3-3: circulate through midfield, find the wide forward early, and then use Ganvoula as the reference point when the ball is delivered into the box.
The interesting detail is where both sides tend to take their shots from. Al Feiha’s shot profile is heavily tilted towards getting efforts away inside the box, while Al Hazm are far more even between inside and outside. That difference can shape the entire feel of the contest. Al Feiha may look to work their way into the area, using combinations to turn a half-chance into a high-percentage one. Al Hazm, by contrast, could be more willing to pull the trigger earlier — useful if the game gets stretched and the second balls start flying.
Out of possession, the 3-4-1-2 structure for Al Hazm offers an obvious press picture: two forwards jumping to close down Al Feiha’s first build, with the “1” in behind (Al-Nakhli) positioned to screen passes into midfield. If the timing is right, that can funnel play wide and create turnovers in the channels. If the timing is off, it leaves space either side of the central midfield pair — and that’s where Benzia and Semedo could make a living, especially if Al Feiha can switch the play quickly.
Transitions may matter more than long spells of patient football. Al Feiha’s recent results include matches where the scoreline turned lively — including that 3-2 against Ettifaq FC — while Al Hazm’s last six also feature a couple of games where they both scored and conceded plenty. In a game between 10th and 12th, the danger is often not the first plan, but what happens when the first plan breaks.
Set-piece themes are also lurking. Al Feiha rack up corners at a much higher rate than Al Hazm, which can tilt territory even if open play is scrappy. Corners are not just “shots from a flag”; they’re mini momentum swings. Win two or three in a row and suddenly the away side is defending their box and losing their breath.
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The Numbers That Support the Story
Start with the basics of output and resilience. Across their games listed, Al Feiha have scored 11 and conceded 13, which works out at 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded per match. That profile suggests a side that’s usually in games but not routinely shutting them down. Al Hazm, by comparison, have scored 11 and conceded 18, with a higher concession rate of 1.64 per match. In a close table battle, that defensive difference can be the line between “one mistake costs you” and “one mistake you can recover from”.
The passing and possession numbers point towards how this could look stylistically. Al Feiha’s pass accuracy is listed at 86% with 50% possession, while Al Hazm sit at 81% and 45% possession. That doesn’t scream “one-way traffic”; it suggests Al Feiha may be the slightly steadier team on the ball, with Al Hazm potentially spending more time in a reactive shape — exactly what a back three system can be built for.
Shots give you another layer. Al Feiha have 112 total shots at 11.2 per game, and Al Hazm have 110 at 10 per game, so the volume is similar. The difference is in the detail: Al Feiha’s efforts are predominantly from inside the box (68%), while Al Hazm split almost evenly (52% inside, 48% outside). If Al Feiha can keep nudging the ball into the penalty area, the match starts to bend their way. If Al Hazm can keep them at arm’s length and tempt them into lower-quality attempts from range, the away side’s structure does its job.
Then there’s the territorial indicators. Al Feiha lead on total attacks (736 to 663) and dangerous attacks (359 to 306). Those aren’t guarantees of goals, but they do hint at a team that spends more time in the opponent’s half and more time probing in the threatening areas. Over a 90 minutes where the scoreboard might stay tight, that kind of tilt can matter.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first big swing factor is how Al Hazm defend the wide overloads. If Al Feiha’s full-backs can step forward and combine with Jason and Vrontis, you can force a back three into awkward decisions: does the wide centre-back step out and leave space behind, or do the wing-backs retreat and pin themselves near their own box? Either choice can open a door.
The second is the battle around Al-Nakhli’s zone. In a 3-4-1-2 shape, that linking role can be both a creative hub and a defensive screen. If Al Feiha can crowd that space with smart positioning from Benzia and Semedo, they can cut the supply lines and win the ball in areas that turn into immediate chances.
Third: corners. Al Feiha’s corner numbers suggest they’re more likely to pile pressure on via dead balls, and if the match becomes stop-start, those repeated restarts can become their most consistent route to goalmouth chaos.
There’s also the simple reality of recent scorelines. Al Hazm’s last six include a 1-4 defeat to Al Khaleej Club and a 2-2 draw with Ettifaq FC, while Al Feiha’s run features narrow games but also the odd goal-heavy outcome. If the first goal arrives early, the shapes can stretch and the match can stop looking like a chess game and start looking like a coin toss played at full sprint.
What could go wrong with this read? Plenty. A match between two sides separated by two points can be decided by a deflection, a scrappy second ball, or a single lapse in concentration. Even if the patterns look clear early on, one moment of quality — or one moment of chaos — can flip the script completely.
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Al Feiha to win
The outlook for this Christmas Day fixture in Al Majma’ah suggests a significant territorial advantage for the home side. Al Feiha currently occupy 10th place and have demonstrated a more consistent ability to control proceedings compared to their opponents. One of the most telling indicators is the volume and quality of their offensive pressure. They have recorded 736 total attacks and 359 dangerous attacks, figures that comfortably exceed the 663 total and 306 dangerous attacks managed by Al Hazm. This sustained pressure is further reflected in their corner count; they consistently generate more opportunities from the flag, which often serves as a primary source of sustained pressure in tight league matches.
While both teams share similar total shot volumes—112 for the hosts and 110 for the visitors—the shot selection reveals a deeper trend. A substantial 68% of Al Feiha’s attempts originate from inside the penalty area. This high-percentage approach contrasts with Al Hazm, who split their attempts almost evenly between long-range strikes and box entries. The ability to work the ball into high-value zones suggests a more refined offensive structure, particularly with a front three designed to probe the gaps in a back-three system. Defensively, the hosts also maintain a slight edge in resilience. They concede an average of 1.3 goals per game, whereas Al Hazm struggle with a higher concession rate of 1.64.
Furthermore, technical proficiency supports a home victory. Al Feiha maintain an 86% pass accuracy and average 50% possession, indicating they are comfortable dictating the tempo. Al Hazm’s lower 81% accuracy and 45% possession suggest they will spend long periods defending without the ball. Given that the hosts have already shown they can find the net multiple times in recent outings, their superior territorial dominance and higher-quality shot creation make them the most likely winners in this mid-table encounter.
What could go wrong The primary risk stems from the narrow margins often seen in matches between teams separated by only two points. Al Hazm are coming off a morale-boosting 2-1 victory and have shown they can be efficient with limited chances. If Al Feiha fail to convert their higher-quality box entries early, they could become vulnerable to long-range efforts or quick transitions from Al Hazm’s front two, particularly if the 3-4-1-2 shape successfully screens the midfield.
Correct score lean
Al Feiha 2-1 Al Hazm
Selecting a 2-1 victory for the home side aligns with the offensive and defensive profiles of both teams. Al Feiha average 1.1 goals scored per match but have shown they can reach higher tallies, as seen in their recent five-goal thriller. However, their defensive average of 1.3 goals conceded suggests they rarely keep clean sheets. Al Hazm have a consistent scoring record of 1.1 goals per game, and their tendency to take shots from outside the box increases the likelihood of them snatching a goal even when under pressure. A 2-1 result reflects Al Feiha’s superior attacking metrics while acknowledging the defensive vulnerabilities present in both camps.
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