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Can Liverpool’s patched-up attack turn control into clarity against Wolves’ resistance? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Liverpool’s statistical dominance is overwhelming, averaging over 109 attacks per game and 60% possession. Wolves are winless in 21 league matches and have a goal difference of -28, conceding 37 goals in 17 games. Despite Liverpool missing Salah and Isak, the form of Hugo Ekitike and the creativity of Florian Wirtz provide sufficient firepower. Wolves often hold out until half-time but tend to buckle under sustained pressure, making a multi-goal victory for the home side at Anfield a highly probable outcome based on the clear talent and form gap.
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A 3-0 victory reflects the vast difference in both offensive output and defensive stability between the two teams. Liverpool average over 15 shots per game, while Wolves have managed only nine goals all season. With Wolves conceding more than two goals per game on average and Liverpool finding ways to win even with a depleted squad, a clean sheet for the hosts combined with a comfortable scoring margin is the most consistent projection. Ekitike’s recent scoring form suggests Liverpool have the clinical edge to punish a struggling Wolves backline.
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Liverpool vs Wolverhampton Predictions and Best Bets
Liverpool vs Wolves — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with pricing and implied probabilities based on match analysis.
Liverpool enter as heavy favourites at Anfield against a winless Wolverhampton side rooted to the bottom of the table.
Pricing suggests a comfortable home win, with high-probability markers on clean sheet victories for Liverpool.
Markets lean towards a high-scoring game given Wolves’ defensive record and Liverpool’s attacking volume.
- Wolves’ league start has been brutally bleak: two points from 17 matches and a 9–37 goals record, meaning they’re averaging under a goal every two games while conceding over two.
- Liverpool’s control is reflected in possession and passing: 60% possession with 537.32 passes per match at 87% accuracy, pointing to sustained territory and repeated final-third pressure.
- Shot volume tells its own story: Liverpool average 15.36 shots per match (384 total) compared with Wolves’ 9.65 (193 total), a gap that often decides whether defending is manageable or relentless.
Attacking Intent: Shots per Match
The volume of shots produced by each team illustrates the difference in offensive pressure expected at Anfield.
With nearly 110 attacks per game, the hosts maintain a high frequency of attempts on the opposition goal.
A lower volume of shots reflects their struggle to sustain pressure in the attacking third this season.
Defensive Record: Total Goals Conceded
A comparison of defensive solidity across the 17 league games played so far.
While not flawless, their defensive unit has kept them within touching distance of the top four.
Conceding an average of over two goals per game has left them with a league-low goal difference.
Anfield rounds off Liverpool’s 2025 home programme with Wolverhampton Wanderers arriving as a side in desperate need of a reset. It’s a Premier League meeting on Saturday, December 27, with Liverpool sitting fifth on 29 points and Wolves rooted to the bottom in 20th on two.
The contrast is stark, but the mood music isn’t quite as simple as “title-chasers versus doomed visitors”. Wolves’ season has been grim – winless in 21 league matches and coming off a 2-0 defeat to Brentford at Molineux – yet they travel to face a Liverpool squad described as injury-depleted and dealing with what feels like a weekly reshuffle.
And that uncertainty matters, because Wolves’ best hope in any difficult away day is chaos: disrupt rhythms, slow the crowd, make the favourite second-guess itself. Liverpool, though, have been finding ways to keep moving. A 2-1 win at Tottenham last time out in the league followed a 2-0 home win over Brighton, and there’s been enough resilience in the recent results to suggest the floor hasn’t fallen out – even when the availability list looks ugly.
So the question isn’t whether Liverpool will see plenty of the ball. The question is what they do with it, and whether Wolves can turn this into the kind of match where one moment – a set-piece, a transition, a tired leg – flips the script.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Liverpool’s absences are clearly defined in places. Dominik Szoboszlai is suspended, while Alexander Isak is out with a broken fibula. Stefan Bajcetic Maquieira is sidelined following surgery, and Mohamed Salah is away after being called up to his national team.
There are, however, hints of returning and recovering options. Cody Gakpo is described as a “hopefully” for the weekend, while Federico Chiesa and Florian Wirtz are both discussed as possible solutions in attacking areas. Jeremie Frimpong is also framed as a decision: he was limited to a maximum of 30 minutes previously after a long absence, but there’s a suggestion he could start if required.
That blend of enforced changes and “who’s ready?” choices shapes Liverpool’s balance. Without Szoboszlai, there’s a creative and energetic profile missing from midfield zones. Without Salah and Isak, the attacking group loses established outputs and forces responsibility onto those available. The conversation around Rio Ngumoha is also revealing: it’s noted he’s 17, has significant playing time for his age, and that recent benches have included multiple U21 players – a reflection of how thin certain positions have been.
Wolves’ team news is not laid out in the same explicit injury-list detail here, but their squad options are clear enough to frame likely themes: Sam Johnstone has been the main goalkeeper in league minutes, while Jørgen Strand Larsen has been used heavily up front. João Gomes and André offer central-midfield bite and volume, and there are defenders such as Santiago Bueno, Toti Gomes and Emmanuel Agbadou who have been prominent across appearances.
How the Match Could Be Played
The clearest tactical starting point is territory. Liverpool’s season profile points to a side built to control games with the ball: 60% possession, an average of 537.32 passes per match, and an 87% pass accuracy. That’s the platform for sustained pressure, repeat entries into the final third, and the kind of match where Wolves spend long spells defending their own box.
Wolves, by contrast, are operating with 45.6% possession, 387 passes per match on average, and 79.9% pass accuracy. That doesn’t automatically mean they can’t play, but it does suggest their routes to goal are more likely to come in bursts: winning it, moving it early, and trying to turn the game into sequences rather than a steady, controlled pattern.
For Liverpool, the selection questions should influence the attacking emphasis. If Gakpo is back, that offers one more natural option to occupy defenders and connect attacks. Chiesa and Wirtz being mentioned as options “there” hints at flexibility in the forward line, and it matters because Wolves are conceding heavily and can be dragged around if runners arrive from different angles rather than in a single predictable lane.
The bigger tension, though, might be what happens when Liverpool lose the ball. The manager has spoken about the squad’s heavy load, referencing how often the same players are having to play and how little chance there has been to rotate. That’s a subtle warning sign in a match where Liverpool will want to press and counter-press aggressively: if the first wave is half a step late, Wolves suddenly have space to run into.
Wolves’ best version of this game probably involves surviving the early pressure and then making Liverpool defend in uncomfortable ways. Even if Wolves’ main attacking numbers are modest, they can still hurt teams by forcing them to sprint backwards, by drawing fouls, or by making second balls messy around the edge of the area. And there’s one Liverpool theme that could be especially relevant here: set-pieces.
Liverpool’s manager has been blunt about their set-piece situation, describing their set-piece balance as negative and specifically “minus eight”. In a match where Liverpool may otherwise dominate the ball, that becomes a potential crack Wolves can try to poke at – not by outplaying Liverpool, but by making dead balls matter. Liverpool themselves know it: the frustration is explicit, and so is the belief that their open-play chance creation has been carrying their league position.
That creates a fascinating push-and-pull. Liverpool want the match to be long, stretched, and repeated: wave after wave, shots, corners, pressure. Wolves want it chopped into moments, especially the kind of moments where one delivery can change the temperature in the stadium.
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The Numbers That Support the Story
Liverpool’s attacking volume is hard to ignore. Across their matches, they’ve taken 384 shots – 15.36 per game – and they average 109.16 total attacks per match with 59.76 “dangerous attacks” per match. That matters because it speaks to repetition: Wolves can defend well for five minutes, ten minutes, even half an hour, but the questions keep coming. Over time, those repeated entries typically force mistakes, tired legs, or a scramble that ends in a chance.
Wolves’ figures point in the opposite direction. They have 193 total shots, averaging 9.65 per game, and their “dangerous attacks” average is 40.7. The immediate implication isn’t simply “they don’t shoot”; it’s that they’re less often living in the zones where shots and second balls become routine. That is a problem at a ground like Anfield, because the longer you go without threatening, the more the game becomes a siege.
Then there’s the bluntest number of all: Wolves have scored nine league goals and conceded 37. That goal difference of minus 28 after 17 games explains why even small tactical slips become fatal. Liverpool, meanwhile, have scored 28 and conceded 25 – not spotless, but enough to keep them level on points with fourth.
And there’s an intriguing finishing/flow detail in Wolves’ recent pattern: it’s noted there have been seven straight all-competitions draws at half-time. That suggests Wolves can often keep a lid on the opening period, even if the later story has been bleak. If Liverpool start with a patched-together front line, Wolves will fancy their chances of turning that first hour into frustration – and then praying for one swing moment.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first moment is whether Liverpool’s attacking mix clicks early. With key absences, there’s a scenario where the dominance is real but the punch is delayed: lots of passes, plenty of territory, but Wolves hanging on and believing. Liverpool’s recent results show they can manage games, but Wolves’ ability to reach half-time level has to be taken seriously.
The second is set-pieces at both ends. Liverpool’s own camp has highlighted their poor set-piece balance, so every corner and wide free-kick will feel loaded. Wolves don’t need a dozen chances if they can make two deliveries properly count, especially against a side annoyed by the very same issue.
The third is fatigue and the bench dynamic. Liverpool have referenced using multiple U21 players on the bench recently, and there’s an acknowledgement that some players are being asked to go again and again. If the game is still tight late on, that physical edge can shape duels, second balls, and concentration at key moments.
What could go wrong with this read? Football loves a straight line right up until it doesn’t. One early defensive error can flip the whole tactical script. A match that looks like a slow Liverpool squeeze can suddenly become frantic if Wolves nick the first big moment. And sometimes, a team carrying frustration in a specific area – like set-pieces – ends up overthinking the very next one.
Best Bet for Liverpool vs Wolves
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Liverpool -1 Handicap
With the home side sitting fifth in the league and their visitors languishing at the bottom of the table, the disparity in form is substantial. Liverpool enter this fixture following a gritty 2-1 victory at Tottenham and a 2-0 home win over Brighton, demonstrating a consistent ability to secure results despite a growing injury list. The tactical platform for this dominance is clear: they control 60% of possession and average over 537 passes per match with an 87% accuracy rate. This level of control allows them to sustain pressure, evidenced by their 109.16 total attacks per game.
While the absence of Mohamed Salah and the injury to Alexander Isak are significant, the arrival and immediate impact of Hugo Ekitike has provided a vital outlet. Ekitike, who scored in the recent win over Spurs, now shoulders the primary goalscoring burden and has already shown he can navigate the pressure of leading the line at Anfield. Wolves, conversely, travel to Merseyside having failed to win any of their 21 league matches this season. Their goal difference of minus 28, having conceded 37 times in just 17 games, highlights a defensive frailty that Liverpool’s volume of 15.36 shots per game is likely to exploit.
Even with a rotated midfield due to Dominik Szoboszlai’s suspension, the creative presence of Florian Wirtz and the potential return of Cody Gakpo offer enough variety to break down a low block. Wolves have a curious trend of reaching half-time level in seven straight matches across all competitions, but their second-half collapses have been a recurring theme. Given that Liverpool average nearly 60 dangerous attacks per match, the sheer repetition of pressure should see them pull clear. A win by at least two goals is the most logical outcome when the league’s most consistent ball-dominant side meets a team that has managed just two points all season.
What could go wrong?
The primary risk lies in Liverpool’s acknowledged struggles with set-pieces, where they currently hold a negative balance of minus eight. If Wolves can disrupt the rhythm and capitalize on a dead-ball situation, they might be able to sit deep and protect a narrow lead. Additionally, the heavy workload on a thin Liverpool squad could lead to late-game fatigue, potentially allowing Wolves to stay within a single goal if the hosts fail to clinical finish their early chances.
Correct score lean
Liverpool 3-0 Wolves
This scoreline aligns with the statistical reality of both sides. Wolves have conceded an average of over two goals per game this season and have struggled significantly to find the net themselves, scoring only nine times in 17 league fixtures. Liverpool’s home form has been robust, and with Hugo Ekitike in a rich vein of form and Florian Wirtz providing elite service, the hosts are well-positioned to exploit a Wolves defense that has already shipped 37 goals. Given Liverpool’s average of 15.36 shots per match, a comfortable three-goal margin reflects their offensive volume against the league’s basement side.
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