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Everton vs Crystal Palace: Opening-Day Weakness Meets a Strong Head-to-Head Record. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Everton's unbeaten run against Palace and their home scoring record combine with Palace's strong away goal threat. Despite Everton's midfield injuries, both sides have attacking focal points and defensive questions, making Both Teams To Score a well-supported choice.
Everton's dominance in this fixture and recent home scoring form support a 2-1 win, while Palace's strong away record and Ismaila Sarr's threat justify their goal. Defensive midfield absences for Everton offer Palace chances, making 2-1 a plausible exact score despite inherent risks.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Everton v Crystal Palace.
Everton begin their 2026-27 Premier League campaign against Crystal Palace at Hill Dickinson Stadium with two sharply contrasting trends hanging over the fixture.
Everton vs Crystal Palace — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Everton's strong points haul vs Palace contrasts with Palace's solid away points share last season.
Everton's strong points haul vs Palace contrasts with Palace's solid away points share last season.
Everton's unbeaten run vs Palace and Palace's 53% away points share suggest goals from both sides.
Everton's fixture dominance and Palace's away scoring record support a 2-1 scoreline.
Three Punchy Stats
- Everton are unbeaten in 11 consecutive matches against Crystal Palace across all competitions, taking 21 points from the last possible 27 in Premier League meetings since May 2022.
- Palace collected 53% of their Premier League points away from home last season — 24 of 45 — suggesting Everton’s strong record in this fixture should not be mistaken for an easy home opener.
- Everton have lost their first Premier League match in each of the last four seasons without scoring. No top-flight club has ever extended that sequence to five consecutive opening-day defeats while failing to find the net each time.
Points and Away Performance
Recent attacking records for Everton and Crystal Palace are shown below.
Tactical and Managerial Factors
Recent defensive records for Everton and Crystal Palace are shown below.
David Moyes’s side have lost their opening league game in four successive seasons without scoring, yet Palace have become unusually accommodating opponents. Everton are unbeaten in the last 11 meetings across all competitions and have lost only once in the sides’ last 23 Premier League encounters.
The question is whether Everton’s historical control of this fixture can outweigh a poor habit of starting seasons badly, particularly against a Palace side whose league position last term did not tell the whole story.
Everton Need Their Summer Work to Fix an Old Problem
Moyes restored stability after returning in 2025, but last season ended badly. Everton went seven league matches without winning, drawing three and losing four, and eventually finished 13th despite having pushed towards the European places.
Their home return also left room for improvement. Six Premier League victories was modest, although results against Aston Villa, Brighton, Chelsea, Manchester United and Manchester City demonstrated that Everton could compete with strong opposition.
There has since been considerable squad movement. Brennan Johnson, Merlin Rohl, Hayden Hackney, Christian Norgaard and Tyrique George have arrived permanently, although Norgaard will miss the opener. James Garner and Tim Iroegbunam are also sidelined, leaving Moyes short of midfield options.
Hackney could therefore start alongside Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall in a deeper role. It is an immediate test of Everton’s summer recruitment rather than simply another early-season selection decision.
Palace Carry More Threat Than Their League Record Suggests
Palace won only 11 of 38 league matches last season and scored 41 goals, figures that help explain their low finish. Yet reducing their campaign to those numbers would ignore the considerable distraction — and eventual reward — of their European run.
They finished the season as Conference League winners, beating Rayo Vallecano 1-0 in the final, adding another trophy after their FA Cup success the previous season.
Their away record is particularly relevant here. Palace collected 24 of their 45 Premier League points away from home, a 53% share bettered only by Tottenham and Nottingham Forest.
That makes this a less comfortable opening assignment for Everton than the head-to-head record might imply.
Sage Inherits Change at Both Ends
Pierre Sage begins his Palace league tenure after Oliver Glasner’s departure, and recent history offers little encouragement for new Eagles managers: 14 of the previous 16 failed to win their first Premier League match in charge.
There has also been significant defensive turnover, while Dean Henderson is doubtful after twisting his ankle and Daniel Munoz has managed only 18 pre-season minutes following the World Cup.
At the other end, Ismaila Sarr provides a clearer source of continuity. He scored 21 goals last season and is expected to start, giving Palace an attacking reference point despite the wider summer changes.
Everton have availability problems of their own, but Jarrad Branthwaite came through pre-season and is expected to partner James Tarkowski, with Jordan Pickford behind them. That defensive continuity could matter against a Palace attack whose overall league scoring output was relatively modest.
Other Opportunities in This Market: Bettors looking at goal markets can balance precision against probability. Over 2.5 Goals requires three or more total goals regardless of who scores them, covering outcomes like 3-0 or 0-3 while losing on 1-1. Double Chance (Everton or Draw) lowers return but covers two out of three match outcomes.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Everton vs Crystal Palace 2-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 4/6
Everton’s recent head-to-head superiority against Crystal Palace collides with a strong away scoring habit from the visitors. Everton have taken 21 points from the last 27 available in Premier League meetings with Palace and remain unbeaten in 11 consecutive clashes across all competitions. However, David Moyes faces a defensive reshuffle in midfield with Christian Norgaard, James Garner, and Tim Iroegbunam all sidelined. While Jarrad Branthwaite and James Tarkowski anchor the backline, an unfamiliar midfield pairing of Hayden Hackney and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall could leave space for opposition attacks during transition phases.
Crystal Palace scored only 41 goals in 38 league matches last season, yet their away productivity tells a far more compelling story. Palace collected 53% of their Premier League points on the road—24 of 45 points—demonstrating a persistent ability to threaten away from home. Ismaila Sarr netted 21 goals across all competitions last term and provides an established focal point for Pierre Sage’s attack. Palace also encounter defensive uncertainty of their own, with goalkeeper Dean Henderson doubtful due to an ankle injury and defender Daniel Munoz limited to 18 pre-season minutes following World Cup duty.
The main counter-argument stems from Everton’s persistent opening-day dry spell, having lost four straight season openers without scoring a single goal. Nevertheless, facing a Palace side under new management—where 14 of the last 16 new Palace managers failed to win their Premier League debut—provides Everton with amplified attacking encouragement to breach a reassembled visitor defence. Both sides possess proven attacking focal points and defensive transition questions, making Both Teams To Score a well-grounded selection.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Everton are unbeaten in 11 straight encounters against Crystal Palace, collecting 21 points from a possible 27 in recent Premier League meetings.
- Crystal Palace collected 53% of their Premier League points on the road last season (24 of 45), demonstrating strong away goal-scoring capacity.
- Everton enter the match without injured midfielders Christian Norgaard, James Garner, and Tim Iroegbunam, testing their central defensive cover.
Risk Factor: Everton have failed to score in four consecutive opening-day Premier League fixtures, risking the Both Teams To Score selection if extended or if a clean sheet occurs.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Unbeaten in 11 consecutive matches vs Palace, earning 21 points from the last possible 27 in Premier League encounters.
14 of the last 16 new Palace managers failed to win their first Premier League match in charge, paired with current defensive turnover.
🎲 Pick 2: Everton vs Crystal Palace 2-1 @ 15/2
A 2-1 victory for Everton reflects their long-standing dominance in this fixture alongside Crystal Palace’s structural adjustments under new management. Everton scored in five of their last six home meetings against Palace and beat sides including Aston Villa, Brighton, Chelsea, Manchester United, and Manchester City at home last season. With summer additions Brennan Johnson and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall supplying creativity around the box, Everton possess sufficient setup quality to score twice against a Palace backline adapting to Pierre Sage’s defensive methods and missing full match fitness in key areas.
Crystal Palace’s away profile supports their ability to grab a single goal at Hill Dickinson Stadium without completely turning the fixture in their favor. Palace harvested 24 points on the road last season, relying heavily on Ismaila Sarr’s 21-goal campaign to breach home defences. Everton finished last season on a seven-match winless sequence and enter this opener without defensive midfielders Christian Norgaard, James Garner, and Tim Iroegbunam. That midfield shortfall grants Palace transitional moments to find the net, validating the visitor side of the 2-1 calculation.
The primary risk to this scoreline is Everton’s historical opening-day struggle, given they have lost four consecutive season openers without scoring. Furthermore, exact-score bets are inherently fragile, as a single late goal converts a 2-1 win into a 2-2 draw or 3-1 result. Nevertheless, combining Everton’s 11-match unbeaten head-to-head record with Palace’s strong away scoring record makes 2-1 a highly plausible scoreline.
Risk Factor: Exact scoreline bets are fragile; a single extra or missing goal will cause a loss, as will Everton failing to score or a 1-1 or 2-0 result.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Yes mean for Everton vs Crystal Palace?
Both teams must score at least one goal each during regular time; the match winner does not matter.
What happens to my Correct Score bet if the match goes to extra time?
Correct Score bets apply only to the 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time goals do not count.
Why is Everton's opening-day record relevant to this fixture?
Everton have lost their last four opening Premier League matches without scoring, highlighting a slow start.
How does Crystal Palace's away form affect the betting markets?
Palace earned 53% of their Premier League points away last season, indicating strong scoring ability on the road.
Will injuries in Everton's midfield impact the match outcome?
Missing key midfielders forces a new partnership that could create defensive transition openings for Palace.
How does Pierre Sage's arrival influence Crystal Palace's chances?
New Palace managers rarely win their first league match, adding tactical uncertainty alongside defensive turnover.


