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Everton crestEverton
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sat 22 Aug, 15:00

Everton v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 21:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Everton face Crystal Palace in Premier League on Sat 22 Aug, 15:00. Everton's dominance in this fixture and recent home scoring form support a 2-1 win, while Palace's strong away record and Ismaila Sarr's threat justify their goal. Everton's unbeaten run against Palace and their home scoring record combine with Palace's strong away goal threat.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/6, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 50% (-10 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -10 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Brennan Johnson, Merlin Rohl, Hayden Hackney, Christian Norgaard and Tyrique George have arrived permanently, although Norgaard will miss the opener.

Main risk

Brennan Johnson, Merlin Rohl, Hayden Hackney, Christian Norgaard and Tyrique George have arrived permanently, although Norgaard will miss the opener.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Everton-
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace-
Everton-
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace-
Everton-
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace-
Everton-
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 57% · edge -7.1 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 57% · edge -7.1 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Everton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Everton to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Everton

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Everton yet.

Crystal Palace

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Crystal Palace yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 75% · edge -4.7 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Everton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Everton to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Everton Over 2.5
-Crystal Palace Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

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