bet365
BetMGM
William Hill
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
Can Nice disrupt Lyon’s ferocious winning momentum at the Groupama Stadium? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo location and live streaming rules apply.
Read Rationale ▾
Lyon are in ferocious form, winning six consecutive league matches and eight straight at home. Conversely, Nice are winless in their away Ligue 1 fixtures for over a year, conceding in 21 straight road games. Lyon’s superior momentum and home record make them strong favourites.
Read Rationale ▾
Lyon average nearly two goals per game during their home streak, while Nice concede 1.81 per match on their travels. Given Lyon’s vulnerability to long shots and Nice’s counter-attacking strength, the visitors may find the net, but Lyon’s attacking volume should secure a narrow victory.
Readers’ Tip
Vote your pick — quick & anonymous
Terms & Conditions (tap to view)
Lyon chase a 13-match winning run across all competitions as they host a Nice side struggling with fragile away defending. Paulo Fonseca’s men look to continue their perfect Ligue 1 start to 2026.
Lyon vs Nice — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Lyon’s six-game winning run and eight straight home victories make them heavy favourites against a struggling Nice side.
Nice have conceded 1.81 goals per away match, which aligns with Lyon’s high attacking volume at home.
Lyon’s fortress vibes suggest a victory, with Nice’s 1.81 goals conceded average making 2-0 or 2-1 likely.
Lyon’s six-game streak in Ligue 1 highlights a team in full flow under Paulo Fonseca’s leadership.
Match Preview
Groupama Stadium gets the big one on Sunday night, and Lyon look like a side playing with the handbrake cut. Paulo Fonseca’s men are third on 42 points, chasing a first top-three finish in years, and they’ve been perfect in Ligue 1 so far in 2026 — not a single point dropped.
Nice arrive 14th on 23 points, still searching for traction in the league after a 0-0 draw with Monaco. Claude Puel’s side have quality in flashes, but the away form reads like a warning siren. Kick-off is 19:45, and the mood is simple: Lyon expect to dictate, Nice need to disrupt — or they risk getting swept away by another red-and-blue surge.
Momentum Tracker: League Winning Streaks
Lyon enter this fixture in peak condition, while Nice are struggling to find consistent results on the road.
Lyon have not dropped a single point in the league since the turn of the year, cementing their place in the top three.
The visitors have failed to shut out opponents on their travels for over a year, creating a significant defensive burden.
Defensive Reliability: Goals Conceded per Game
A look at how often each side is breached across all competitions this season.
Lyon give up very little at home, keeping their defensive structure intact throughout their winning run.
The visitors average nearly two goals conceded per outing, putting immense pressure on their attacking unit to over-perform.
- Lyon in full flow: Lyon bring a six-game Ligue 1 winning run and are pushing that broader winning streak towards 13 straight across all competitions — the momentum is ferocious.
- Home fortress vibes: Les Gones have won eight straight matches at Groupama Stadium across league, cup and Europe, and they’ve been beaten just once at home since early November.
- Nice leak on the road: Nice have conceded in all 21 of their last away Ligue 1 matches, and they’re giving up 1.81 goals per game in the league — that’s a brutal base to build from.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Lyon – absentees
- Nicolás Alejandro Tagliafico (ankle sprain)
- Rachid Ghezzal (oedema in the knee)
- Malick Fofana (ankle sprain)
- E. Appiah Nuamah (cruciate ligament tear)
Nice – absentees
None listed.
Probable Lineups
Lyon (possible XI): Grief; Maitland-Niles, Mata, Niakhate, Abner; Tessman, Morton, Nartey; Moreira, Karabec, Sulc
Nice (possible XI): Kohn; Teze, Zakaria, Kehrer; Diatta, Camara, Bamba, Adingra; Akliouche, Golovin, Balogun
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Lyon | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 14th |
| Points | 42 | 23 |
| Goals (Ligue 1) | 34 | 27 |
| Shots per game (Ligue 1) | 12.4 | 11.8 |
| Possession (Ligue 1) | 54.5% | 48.2% |
| Pass accuracy (Ligue 1) | 85.8% | 83.4% |
| Clean sheets (all comps) | 18 | 3 |
| Conceded per game (all comps) | 0.81 | 1.79 |
Tactical Battle
When Lyon have the ball
Fonseca’s Lyon play like a side that trust their structure. They want possession, they probe centrally, and they look for those threaded passes that turn a “safe” phase into a sprint towards goal. Their strengths shout it: creating chances through through balls, individual quality, and attacking set pieces.
The spotlight is on Pavel Sulc. Ten league goals on just 19 appearances is headline stuff, and he’s not doing it as a passenger — he’s the finisher arriving at the right time, again and again. Add Afonso Moreira (6 assists) supplying angles and cut-backs, and Lyon’s attacks can start wide but hurt you inside.
When Nice have the ball
Nice’s strengths are real: very strong at creating chances through through balls, strong on the counter, and strong down the wings. They also attack down the right, which immediately puts pressure on Lyon’s left side — especially with Tagliafico missing.
But the soft underbelly is obvious and ugly. Nice are very weak defending counter-attacks, very weak defending set pieces, and very weak against long shots. That’s a problem against a Lyon team that keep coming, and it gets worse if Nice start gifting fouls in dangerous zones — another weakness they carry.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces: Lyon are strong attacking dead balls, while Nice are very weak defending them — one corner can change the temperature fast.
- The Sulc zone: Pavel Sulc loves arriving into pockets; if Nice’s midfield line gets stretched, he’ll keep popping up for shots.
- Wing-back battles: Nice attack from the right and Lyon attack from the left — whoever wins that flank duel controls the escape routes.
- Long-shot danger: Both sides are shaky defending efforts from distance; one clean strike can flip a match that looks settled.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result (1X2)
This market is the most straightforward way to back a game, requiring you to select one of three outcomes: a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2). It covers the result at the end of 90 minutes plus injury time.
Trade-off: Offers clear focus but no protection if the match ends in a stalemate unless you opt for higher-risk combinations.
Correct Score
This market requires predicting the exact final score of the match. Because it is highly specific, it offers significantly higher prices than standard result markets but carries much higher volatility.
Trade-off: High reward potential, but even a late, inconsequential goal can completely void the selection.
🎯 Pick 1 Rationale: Lyon to Win
Lyon enter this fixture as the most in-form side in Ligue 1, boasting a perfect record in 2026. Paulo Fonseca’s men have won six consecutive league matches and are on the verge of a 13-match winning streak across all competitions. Their dominance at Groupama Stadium is equally impressive, with eight straight victories in front of their home crowd. Analysing their tactical setup, Lyon thrive on central control and through balls, creating constant pressure that few teams have managed to survive lately.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators:
- Lyon have won 8 straight home matches across all competitions.
- Nice have conceded in 21 consecutive away Ligue 1 matches.
- Lyon average 54.5% possession and an 85.8% pass accuracy.
Risk Factor: Lyon are weak against long shots and in aerial duels, which are specific areas where Nice can attempt to disrupt the game.
🎯 Pick 2 Rationale: Lyon 2-1 Nice
A 2-1 scoreline is plausible given the statistical profile of both teams’ recent performances. Nice are statistically vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 1.81 goals per league match. However, they possess a strong counter-attacking threat and are effective at creating chances through the wings, which may allow them to breach a Lyon defence that is currently missing key full-back depth. Lyon’s high attacking volume and Pavel Sulc’s clinical form (10 goals in 19 appearances) suggest they will likely score twice, but their occasional susceptibility to long-range efforts leaves the door open for a Nice consolation.
Risk Factor: If Lyon convert their dominant possession into early goals, the match could easily stretch beyond a single-goal margin.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Lyon are very strong at attacking set pieces, frequently creating high-quality chances from dead-ball situations.
Nice are ranked as very weak when defending set pieces, making them highly vulnerable to Lyon’s routines.
❓ Interactive Q&A
⊕ What is the 1X2 market?
The 1X2 market allows you to bet on the final outcome of a match: home win (1), draw (X), or away win (2). It is the most common football betting market and only considers the result at the end of regulation time.
⊕ Why is Lyon favoured to win this game?
Lyon have won six consecutive league matches and eight straight home games. Their overwhelming momentum and Nice’s poor away record (no road wins in over a year) make them the statistical favourites.
⊕ What does “Correct Score” betting involve?
Correct score betting requires you to predict the exact final scoreline of the match, such as 2-1 or 1-0. It offers higher odds than the match result market because it is much harder to predict accurately.
⊕ How does Nice’s away form impact the predictions?
Nice have conceded in 21 consecutive away league matches and average 1.81 goals conceded per road game. This poor defensive record suggests they will struggle to keep a clean sheet against an attacking Lyon side.
⊕ Who is the key player to watch for Lyon?
Pavel Sulc is the standout player, having scored 10 goals in 19 appearances. His ability to arrive in the box at the right moment makes him Lyon’s primary attacking threat.
⊕ What is the main risk for a Lyon win?
Lyon are statistically weak against long shots and in aerial duels. If Nice can exploit these areas or catch Lyon on the counter-attack, they could cause an upset.
⊕ What is the significance of Lyon’s home record?
Lyon have won eight straight matches at the Groupama Stadium and have been beaten only once at home since early November. This makes their stadium one of the toughest venues in Ligue 1 for visiting teams.
⊕ Does the “Both Teams to Score” market apply here?
Yes, while Lyon are strong, Nice possess a potent counter-attack and Lyon are missing defensive starters. Statistics suggest a 2-1 scoreline is plausible, which would mean both teams scoring.
18+ | GambleAware | T&Cs apply. Betting should be an enjoyable activity; please set a budget, use deposit limits, and stop when it’s not fun.
