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Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves predictions for Sunday’s La Liga fixture at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas. The Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas will be bouncing on Sunday as Rayo Vallecano welcome Alaves in what promises to be an intense La Liga clash between two mid-table battlers looking to climb higher. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Rayo’s October surge pairs control with bite: unbeaten in four and sharper in wide breaks through Álvaro García and De Frutos. Alaves defend stoutly yet travel light in attack. Vallecas intensity, cleaner patterns and lower-event trends point to a measured home victory landing beneath the 3.5-goal line this weekend.
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Game state skews controlled. Alaves rarely open up away, and Rayo’s press at Vallecas limits chaos. One strike before the interval, another late in transition feels right. With Palazón threading and García stretching, expectancy favours a tidy cushion: organised hosts close out a pragmatic 2–0 win.
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Predictions and Best Bets
- Solid at the back: Alaves have conceded just eight goals in nine La Liga matches this season, giving them one of the league’s best defensive records.
- Rayo’s steady improvement: The hosts have gone unbeaten in four matches across all competitions, winning three and scoring seven goals in that period.
- Goals kept tight: Six of Rayo Vallecano’s last eight league games have featured fewer than three goals, underlining their growing tactical control.
Can Rayo Vallecano Keep Their Winning Run Alive Against a Stubborn Alaves?
Both sides have shown flashes of quality this season but also moments of frustration — and that blend usually brews drama. Rayo have finally found their groove after a shaky September. The capital club are unbeaten in four and have turned October into a month of revival, collecting back-to-back league wins before earning a 2–2 draw in Europe. They sit 11th on 11 points, just one behind Alaves, who are quietly going about their business in 10th place.
Alaves have been a hard side to read. Compact, organised, but not exactly thrilling. They’ve drawn more than they’d like and have found goals hard to come by away from home. Still, they boast one of the tightest defensive records in the league, conceding only eight goals across nine matches.
With both teams separated by a single point, the margins are fine, and so are the tempers. There’s a whiff of competitiveness in the air — and don’t be surprised if this turns into a tactical arm wrestle rather than a goal fest.
Best Bet for This Match: Rayo Vallecano to Win and Under 3.5 Goals
At BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on clarity over clutter. Unlike others who flood you with a dozen suggestions, we give you one clear, confident Best Bet per game. We believe in quality, not quantity, which makes tracking success (and holding ourselves accountable) far easier for readers and punters alike.
For this encounter, our Best Bet is Rayo Vallecano to Win and Under 3.5 Goals.
Why This Prediction Deserves Your Backing
There’s something quietly efficient about Rayo’s current form. They’re not blowing teams away, but they’re controlling games with maturity and composure. Inigo Perez’s men have tightened their shape, and their attacking trio of Álvaro García, Jorge de Frutos, and Isi Palazón have started to click nicely — not in wild flurries, but in sharp, disciplined bursts. García, with seven goals in all competitions, has been their creative spark and emotional driver.
The data backs the hunch: six of Rayo’s last eight league fixtures have featured under 2.5 goals, which tells you everything about their pragmatic evolution. This isn’t a side chasing chaos anymore — they’re comfortable grinding results, especially against compact teams like Alaves. And while their home record hasn’t fully reflected their performances, the underlying numbers are improving.
Alaves deserve respect, though. Their defence, led by Nahuel Tenaglia and Victor Pacheco, is quietly one of La Liga’s stingiest. They don’t allow many clear chances, but their issue lies in turning structure into substance. Just three away goals all season suggest that while they’re tough to crack, they struggle to truly threaten at the other end.
Mariano Díaz’s return adds a potential impact option, but starting him after an injury seems risky. Lucas Boyé and Toni Martínez will likely lead the line again, though neither has consistently delivered on the road. That’s where Rayo’s balance tilts the game — they’re more dynamic, and when García or De Frutos break lines, the home side look far more inventive.
As BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Semproni explains:
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“Rayo are finding rhythm at just the right time. Their attacking patterns are sharper, and they’ve learned to control games better. At home, with this confidence, they should edge it — but don’t expect fireworks.”
Defensively, Rayo will miss Abdul Mumin and Luiz Felipe, but given Alaves’ conservative attacking style, that absence shouldn’t be catastrophic. Their pressing midfield — led by Óscar Valentín and Pathé Ciss — should control transitions and restrict Alaves’ attempts to counter.
All signs point towards a tight affair, but Rayo’s energy at Vallecas and their current run of form give them the upper hand.
Predicted Correct Score: Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Alaves
This looks like one of those classic Rayo home performances: intense pressing, controlled aggression, and efficiency in front of goal. Alaves will defend deep but struggle to cope once García and De Frutos stretch the lines. Expect a composed 2–0 victory — clinical rather than chaotic.
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