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Red Star Belgrade vs FCSB predictions for Thursday’s Europa League. at The Stadion Rajko Mitic is not exactly famous for hosting gentle, low-key evenings, and Thursday’s Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and FCSB fits perfectly into that tradition of noise, tension and emotional chaos. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Atalanta enter this Coppa Italia tie rejuvenated, having beaten Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 and Fiorentina 2-0 in successive matches. Their attack, led by an in-form Ademola Lookman and supported by Samardzic and Krstovic, is creating regular chances, while the defence has delivered two straight clean sheets. Genoa, although unbeaten in four, remain vulnerable at the back and have not kept a clean sheet in six games. They are competitive enough to make it a contest, but their defensive issues and Atalanta’s superior momentum strongly point towards a home win in a match that produces at least a couple of goals.
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A 3-1 home victory aligns with the current profiles of both sides. Atalanta have found attacking rhythm, scoring five across their last two matches, and possess several threats in Lookman, Samardzic and Krstovic. Genoa’s recent unbeaten run suggests they can still trouble the scoreboard, especially with Ostigard, Colombo and Vitinha offering different routes to goal. However, their failure to record a clean sheet in six straight games and their ongoing defensive issues make it hard to envisage them keeping La Dea quiet for 90 minutes. A comfortable but not one-sided 3-1 home win looks a realistic and well-balanced outcome.
Red Star Belgrade vs FCSB Predictions and Best Bets
- Red Star Belgrade have scored nine times and conceded seven in their last six matches across all competitions, highlighting a team who create plenty but still give opponents enough openings to punish them.
- FCSB have faced more shots than any other side in this season’s Europa League league phase and sit among the worst for expected goals against, underlining consistent defensive exposure under sustained pressure.
- Red Star are unbeaten in six successive home matches, winning four, while FCSB’s last five away fixtures have produced two wins, one draw and two losses, reinforcing the likelihood of an open, competitive encounter.
Will Red Star’s Home Strength and FCSB’s Defensive Chaos Combine for a Europa League Goalfest?
Both clubs arrive knowing this is not just another fixture on a congested calendar; it is effectively a test of whether they deserve to remain in serious contention for the knockout rounds under the new league phase format. Red Star sit 25th in the overall standings on four points, hovering just one place and one point below the final round-of-16 playoff position. They are close enough to dream but still far enough away to feel uncomfortable. FCSB, down in 31st with three points, are even more precariously placed, their recent 3-1 defeat to Basel leaving them with very little margin for error. If this was a film, both sides would walk out carrying giant “Do Not Slip Here” signs.
The Serbian champions come into this tie with a curious mix of confidence and vulnerability. Their 1-0 win over Lille, sealed by a late Marko Arnautovic penalty, was a reminder that they can still grind out big European results. However, all three of their league-phase goals have come from set pieces, which hints at a team relying heavily on dead-ball efficiency rather than sustained open-play dominance. Domestically, their weekend loss to Javor interrupted a run of three wins and a draw, but they still sit second in the Serbian top flight with 35 points and a game in hand, lurking just behind Partizan Beograd.
Statistically, Red Star have found a reasonable balance between attack and defence recently: nine goals scored and seven conceded in their last six matches, with only two clean sheets. At home, though, the picture becomes more intimidating. They are unbeaten in six successive outings at Stadion Rajko Mitic, winning four of those. For all their imperfections, this is still a venue where visiting sides usually leave feeling slightly traumatised.
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FCSB’s story feels more fragile. Their defeat to Basel was shaped heavily by the early red card shown to Stefan Tarnovanu in the 12th minute, forcing them to battle with ten men for almost an entire Europa League game. No team in the competition has faced more shots than the Romanian side, and only two have conceded a higher expected goals figure, which is as subtle as a neon sign flashing “Please shoot at us.”
Elias Charalampous’s men sit 10th in the Romanian league with 21 points from 17 matches, six fewer than they had at the same stage last season. They are winless in three outings in all competitions, during which they have leaked seven goals while scoring five, and their away form is mixed: two wins, a draw and two defeats from their last five games on the road. In other words, they are unpredictable – dangerous when things click, but often their own worst enemies when they lose defensive focus.
With both teams under pressure, both defensive units showing cracks and both possessing individuals capable of unlocking a tight game, this contest has all the ingredients for a high-intensity, emotionally charged European night.
Best Bet for This Match
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Over 2.5 Goals
At BettingTips4You, we take a deliberately disciplined approach to our selections. Rather than throwing out five or six different bets and forcing readers to play the role of bookmaker, we commit to one primary prediction per match. That focus on a single tip reflects our belief in quality over volume, and it makes tracking long-term performance clear and honest. For Red Star Belgrade vs FCSB, the market we trust most is Over 2.5 Goals.
The numbers around Red Star’s recent matches point strongly towards a game with chances and, crucially, goals. They have scored nine times in their last six fixtures, while conceding seven during the same period. That is not the profile of a side grinding out sterile 1-0s every week. They have also kept just two clean sheets in that stretch, which suggests that even when they are the stronger team, they still allow opportunities at the other end. At home, they are unbeaten in six, winning four, but those results often come via competitive, open contests rather than slow, suffocating control.
From a tactical perspective, the likely XI around Matheus, Milos Veljkovic, Franklin Tebo, Rade Krunic, Timi Max Elsnik and creative options such as Nemanja Radonjic and Mirko Ivanic is built to push forward. With Shavy Babicka sidelined, there is a natural incentive for others to take more responsibility in advanced areas, and Arnautovic’s set-piece threat offers constant danger, particularly if FCSB continue to concede fouls in risky zones.
On the other side, FCSB’s metrics scream chaos. They have faced more shots than any other team in this Europa League campaign, and only two sides have allowed a higher xG total. Whether Tarnovanu’s suspension sees Lukas Zima or another option between the posts, the team in front of the goalkeeper has struggled to protect their penalty area. At the same time, FCSB remain capable in possession, with Florin Tanase, Adrian Sut, Darius Olaru and Daniel Birligea giving them a platform to attack.
*“BettingTips4You.com expert quote: When one side cannot stop conceding chances and the other are addicted to set-piece drama, you do not overthink it. You expect goals, and Over 2.5 looks the most natural prediction here.”
Taking everything together, a lively contest with at least three goals feels more realistic than a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
Correct Score Prediction – Red Star Belgrade 2-1 FCSB
When we blend form, tactical profiles and psychological context, a 2-1 home win appears the most realistic scoreline. Red Star’s superior firepower, combined with their strong record at Stadion Rajko Mitic, makes them favourites to edge the contest. Their habit of conceding the occasional soft chance, however, along with FCSB’s ability to threaten through players like Olaru, Tanase, Sut and Birligea, makes it entirely plausible that the visitors also find the net. A narrow 2-1 scoreline fits neatly with a match that features attacking intent and defensive flaws on both sides.
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