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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta: Sarri’s Side Face a Test of Patience in Hungary. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Atalanta's recent 2-1 win and 31 UEFA goals from key forwards show strong attacking potential. Hapoel's resilience and Atalanta's defensive injuries suggest both teams can score. Despite Atalanta's poor away record, their offensive depth and Hapoel's loss of home advantage support an Atalanta win with goals for both sides.
Atalanta's recent 2-1 win and 31 UEFA goals from key forwards support scoring twice. Hapoel's consistent home scoring and Atalanta's defensive absences suggest Hapoel will score once. The 1-2 scoreline is risky as any extra goal or clean sheet voids the bet.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta arrive at Thursday’s Conference League playoff decider with nothing separating them after a 0-0 first leg in Bergamo.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta BC — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Atalanta's recent form and attacking options give them the edge to win.
Atalanta's attacking depth and recent win support a victory over Hapoel.
Both teams' scoring records and defensive gaps suggest a high-scoring game.
A tight 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams' scoring ability and defensive issues.
Three Punchy Stats
- Both teams produced exactly 0.75 xG in the first leg, underlining how little attacking separation Atalanta created in Bergamo.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv have lost only one of seven competitive matches this season, evidence that eliminating them has rarely been straightforward.
- Atalanta have won only two of their last 10 competitive away games, a record that adds another layer of uncertainty to a tie already level after 90 minutes.
Goals Scored in Last 5 Matches
Recent attacking records for Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta BC are shown below.
Clean Sheets in Last 5 Matches
Recent defensive records for Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta BC are shown below.
The venue has shifted to Miskolc, Hungary, but the central issue has not: Atalanta must find more attacking authority against a Hapoel side who have already shown they can frustrate them.
Both teams recorded 0.75 xG last week, a neat summary of a match in which Atalanta’s status counted for little. Maurizio Sarri has since overseen a 2-1 Serie A win over Sassuolo, but Hapoel have had the weekend free. For a tie balanced this finely, preparation and patience may matter as much as pedigree.
Atalanta need more than territorial superiority
Sarri questioned his team’s courage after the first leg, and the underlying numbers offer little reason to dispute his frustration. Atalanta did not merely fail to score; they failed to create a statistical advantage of any substance, finishing level with Hapoel on 0.75 xG.
The response against Sassuolo was more encouraging. Giacomo Raspadori and Nikola Krstovic scored in a 2-1 victory, giving Atalanta a first competitive win under Sarri and showing that the attack can produce a better return than it managed against Hapoel.
There is still an awkward wider trend. Atalanta have won only two of their last 10 competitive away matches. Thursday is technically Hapoel’s home leg rather than a conventional away fixture for the Italians, yet playing outside Bergamo still removes the comfort they failed to exploit last week.
Hapoel have learned how to survive these ties
Hapoel’s route to this stage has already demanded more European work. They eliminated Ludogorets before beating GKS Katowice 3-2 on aggregate, and they have lost only one of seven competitive matches this season.
Their two Conference League home ties both ended in 2-0 victories. Those results came against Ludogorets and GKS Katowice, so Atalanta represent a different level of examination, but the pattern is useful nonetheless: Hapoel have already shown an ability to turn qualifying ties in their favour when given the nominal home leg.
They also arrive fresher. After the draw in Italy, Elyaniv Barda’s side had no weekend league fixture and could focus entirely on this game. Atalanta, by contrast, have already had to combine European qualification with the opening of their Serie A campaign.
Attacking options may separate the sides
Atalanta’s clearest edge lies in the range of proven attacking options available to Sarri. Krstovic or Gianluca Scamacca can lead the line, Charles De Ketelaere may support them, and that trio have accumulated 31 goals in UEFA competition between them.
Raspadori’s goal against Sassuolo adds another recent threat, while Eljif Elmas made a late appearance at the weekend after his arrival. The problem is less the availability of attacking names than whether Atalanta can turn them into cleaner chances than they managed in the first leg.
Hapoel have their own productive figures. Emmanuel Boateng and Stav Turiel have each scored twice in Conference League qualifying, although Turiel remains a major doubt because of a hamstring problem. If he misses out again, more responsibility falls on Boateng against an Atalanta defence already affected by injuries to Thomas Kristensen, Isak Hien and Honest Ahanor.
📊 Market Explainer
Win & Both Teams to Score
Selection: Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score. The selected team must win in normal time and both teams must score. If the selected team draws or loses, or either side fails to score, the bet loses.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score @ 11/5
Atalanta enter this second leg following a 2-1 weekend victory over Sassuolo, where Giacomo Raspadori and Nikola Krstovic both scored to secure Maurizio Sarri’s first competitive win in charge. That domestic performance showed Atalanta’s ability to capitalize on their forward depth, which includes Krstovic, Gianluca Scamacca, and Charles De Ketelaere—a trio sharing 31 UEFA competition goals. After generating only 0.75 xG in the goalless first leg in Bergamo, Sarri’s side must convert their higher-tier European experience into goal-scoring output in Miskolc to secure progression within 90 minutes.
Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive well-rested after having no weekend league fixture, having already demonstrated resilience by losing just once in seven competitive matches this season. Elyaniv Barda’s side scored twice in both of their previous nominal home Conference League fixtures against Ludogorets and GKS Katowice. Although forward Stav Turiel is a major doubt with a hamstring issue, Emmanuel Boateng has already scored twice in European qualifying. Boateng’s presence is particularly relevant because Atalanta are managing defensive injuries to Thomas Kristensen, Isak Hien, and Honest Ahanor, giving Hapoel a clear path to contribute to the scoreline.
The principal concern for an Atalanta victory lies in their away record, having won only two of their past 10 competitive matches on the road. However, with the tie being played in Hungary, Hapoel lose true home territorial advantage. Combined with Atalanta’s deep attacking options, Sarri’s team holds enough offensive capacity to secure victory while still leaving room for Hapoel to find the net.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Atalanta forwards Krstovic, Scamacca, and De Ketelaere have 31 UEFA goals combined.
- Atalanta miss three central defenders: Kristensen, Hien, and Ahanor due to injury.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv lost only one of seven competitive matches this season and won both home Conference League ties 2-0.
Risk Factor: Atalanta have won only two of their last 10 away matches; a Hapoel clean sheet or draw voids the win-and-BTTS bet.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Krstovic, Scamacca, and De Ketelaere combine for 31 UEFA competition goals, showing attacking strength.
Thomas Kristensen, Isak Hien, and Honest Ahanor are out injured, exposing Atalanta's defence.
⚽ Pick 2: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta 1-2 @ 11/2
A 1-2 correct score requires Atalanta to score twice while Hapoel Tel Aviv score once in 90 minutes. Atalanta’s case for two goals rests on their recent 2-1 victory against Sassuolo, where Giacomo Raspadori and Nikola Krstovic both found the net, alongside the broad European pedigree of their frontline. With Krstovic, Gianluca Scamacca, and Charles De Ketelaere holding 31 combined UEFA competition goals, Sarri possesses sufficient attacking options to improve upon the 0.75 xG created during the first leg in Bergamo and breach Hapoel’s defence twice.
Conversely, Hapoel Tel Aviv’s goal is supported by their consistent scoring pattern in European competition this season. Elyaniv Barda’s team recorded 2-0 victories over both Ludogorets and GKS Katowice in previous home rounds, and midfielder Emmanuel Boateng has already netted twice in Conference League qualifying. Furthermore, Atalanta arrive with three key defenders unavailable through injury—Thomas Kristensen, Isak Hien, and Honest Ahanor. This defensive absence provides Hapoel with a realistic opportunity to score, even if forward Stav Turiel misses out due to a hamstring strain.
The primary risk to a 1-2 scoreline is its inherent fragility. Should Atalanta replicate their 0-0 draw from the first leg or manage a clean sheet, the selection fails immediately. A single extra goal from either side also defeats the bet. Nevertheless, given Hapoel’s strong competitive record of only one defeat in seven matches alongside Atalanta’s away struggle of two wins in 10, a tight 1-2 outcome reflects the interaction of both teams’ recent stats.
Risk Factor: The 1-2 correct score is fragile; any extra goal or clean sheet invalidates the bet.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does "Atalanta to win and Both Teams to Score" mean for settlement?
Atalanta must win and Hapoel must score at least once; 1-0 or 2-0 wins lose the bet.
Why is the match played in Miskolc, Hungary?
Hapoel host at a neutral venue, removing traditional home crowd advantage.
How does the 0-0 first leg affect this match?
No aggregate lead; second leg winner advances, draw leads to extra time.
What if the match finishes 1-1 after 90 minutes?
Both main bets lose; the tie goes to extra time in competition terms.
Does Atalanta's away record impact the match result market?
Yes, only two wins in last 10 away games suggest vulnerability on the road.
How do Atalanta's defensive injuries influence BTTS market?
Missing defenders increase chances that Hapoel can score at least once.
