SC Paderborn vs Stuttgart Preview: DFB-Pokal Prediction, Team News and Lineups. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
SC Paderborn's recent resilience and home control underpin this Asian Handicap +1 pick. Their 62% possession and defensive solidity contrast with Stuttgart's defensive fragility and poor away record, making a heavy away win unlikely despite Stuttgart's attacking volume and recent 2-0 win over Paderborn.
A 1-1 draw balances Paderborn's low scoring and Stuttgart's defensive frailty. Stuttgart's 1.4 goals and 16 attempts per match contrast with Paderborn's 0.9 goals and 3.1 shots on target, suggesting a close, shared scoring outcome.
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REGISTER FREE & UNLOCK TIP →Already registered? Log in18+ · Historical results only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Betting involves risk.Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart.
SC Paderborn welcome Stuttgart to the Home Deluxe Arena on Wednesday, 28 October, with both Bundesliga sides looking to secure progression into the third round of the DFB-Pokal.
SC Paderborn vs Stuttgart — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Stuttgart's away struggles and Paderborn's home resilience suggest a tight contest.
Stuttgart's away struggles and Paderborn's home resilience suggest a tight contest.
Stuttgart's 1.9 goals conceded and Paderborn's low shot output balance scoring chances.
Stuttgart's defensive issues and Paderborn's modest attack support a close scoreline.
Three Punchy Stats
- 2-0: Stuttgart defeated Paderborn by this scoreline on 10 October.
- Five defeats: Stuttgart have lost five of their opening seven Bundesliga fixtures.
- 1.9 goals conceded: Stuttgart's defensive average across their previous seven league and cup matches.
Goals Scored in Last 5 Matches
Recent attacking records for SC Paderborn and Stuttgart are shown below.
Clean Sheets in Last 5 Matches
Recent defensive records for SC Paderborn and Stuttgart are shown below.
Ralf Kettemann's hosts arrive with renewed confidence following their victory over Hamburger SV, while Sebastian Hoeness faces mounting pressure to arrest Stuttgart's disappointing domestic form.
Despite Stuttgart winning the teams' recent Bundesliga meeting, Paderborn's improving performances and the visitors' defensive vulnerabilities suggest a considerably tighter contest this time.
Paderborn Finding Their Feet
Paderborn have adapted encouragingly to Bundesliga football following their promotion through the playoffs, demonstrating resilience despite an inconsistent opening to the campaign.
Saturday's 1-0 victory over Hamburger SV provided another important boost, with Rayan Philippe scoring the decisive late goal.
Kettemann's side controlled 62% possession and registered five shots on target, highlighting their ability to dictate proceedings against top-flight opposition.
That result followed a 2-2 draw against Werder Bremen, meaning Paderborn have suffered just one defeat across their previous four competitive fixtures.
Significantly, that setback came against Stuttgart, who secured a 2-0 Bundesliga victory at the Home Deluxe Arena on 10 October.
The hosts therefore have an immediate opportunity to demonstrate their progress against familiar opposition.
Paderborn also showed attacking promise in the opening cup round, defeating Phonix Lubeck 4-2 away from home.
However, their relatively modest attacking return remains a concern. Across their previous seven league and cup matches, they have averaged just 0.9 goals and 3.1 shots on target.
Their challenge will be converting possession into clearer opportunities against opponents who have already kept them scoreless this month.
Stuttgart Struggling for Consistency
Stuttgart enter Wednesday's encounter under considerably greater scrutiny after a difficult sequence of domestic results.
Hoeness's team have won just twice in seven Bundesliga matches, losing the other five despite entering the campaign following Champions League qualification.
Their latest setback was particularly damaging, as Borussia Monchengladbach secured a 3-2 victory at the MHPArena despite arriving without a Bundesliga point.
Ermedin Demirovic scored twice, but Stuttgart's inability to protect their advantage exposed familiar defensive problems.
Die Roten have conceded an average of 1.9 goals across their last seven league and cup outings, compared with 1.3 for Paderborn.
Their away performances offer little additional reassurance, with three defeats from four Bundesliga trips.
Nevertheless, Stuttgart possess greater attacking productivity, averaging 1.4 goals and 16 attempts per match across the same seven-game sample.
Their convincing 4-0 first-round victory over Hansa Rostock also demonstrated their ability to impose themselves in knockout football.
The central question is whether Stuttgart can rediscover that attacking authority without leaving themselves vulnerable defensively.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Paderborn remain without injured defenders Marcel Hoffmeier and Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant, while Sebastian Klaas and Timur Gayret are unavailable in midfield.
Oliver Batista Meier is also sidelined, potentially leaving Stefan Marino and Steffen Tigges to lead the attack.
Santiago Castaneda, Laurin Ulrich and Gabriel Vidovic could provide the midfield platform, with Kettemann seeking sufficient creativity to trouble Stuttgart's defence.
Stuttgart have defensive concerns of their own, with Dan-Axel Zagadou unavailable and Josha Vagnoman listed among their injury doubts.
Nikolas Nartey, Tiago Tomas and Justin Diehl are also sidelined.
Demirovic should remain central to Stuttgart's attacking plans, potentially supporting Dzenan Pejcinovic alongside Leo Sauer and Chris Fuhrich.
Match Prediction: Paderborn 1-1 Stuttgart
Stuttgart's superior attacking output and recent head-to-head victory make them dangerous opponents, but their defensive record and poor away form leave this tie finely balanced.
Paderborn's improving confidence, home advantage and greater recent consistency could help them frustrate Hoeness's side.
A closely contested draw after 90 minutes appears plausible, potentially sending this second-round encounter into extra time.
SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap +1
This handicap market wins if SC Paderborn 07 win the match or if the game finishes as a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Stuttgart win the match by exactly one goal, the selection is void and the stake is fully refunded. The bet only loses if Stuttgart win by two or more goals.
Correct Score (1-1)
This market requires the match to finish exactly 1-1 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Any other scoreline results in a losing bet. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count towards the settlement of this market.
Other opportunities in this market
Double Chance (Paderborn or Draw): This covers a home win and a draw entirely, settling as a winner in both scenarios without relying on a handicap, but usually at a shorter price than the Asian Handicap line.
Both Teams To Score (Yes): This wins if both Paderborn and Stuttgart score at least one goal in normal time, removing the need to predict the exact scoreline or match winner, though it loses if either side keeps a clean sheet.
📊 Market Explainer
Handicap Market
Selection: SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap +1. A virtual goal advantage or deficit is applied before settlement. The bet is decided by the adjusted score after normal time.
Correct Score Market
Selection: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart 1-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: SC Paderborn 07 Asian Handicap +1
SC Paderborn 07 hold genuine appeal on the Asian Handicap line when assessing their early-season resilience against a Stuttgart side struggling for domestic consistency. Since earning promotion, Paderborn have lost just one of their last four competitive fixtures, demonstrating an ability to compete effectively. Their recent 1-0 victory over Hamburger SV showcased a team capable of dictating the tempo, securing 62 percent possession and managing the game securely. That level of control provides a solid foundation for a handicap selection that affords a full payout on a home win or a draw, alongside the security of a voided bet if they suffer a narrow one-goal defeat.
The matchup dynamics suggest the visitors will find it difficult to dominate this tie entirely. Stuttgart arrive under mounting scrutiny after losing five of their opening seven Bundesliga matches, undermined by persistent defensive problems. Die Roten have conceded an average of 1.9 goals across their previous seven league and cup outings, a fragility that has directly contributed to three defeats from their four away trips. When Stuttgart’s travel sickness meets Paderborn’s growing confidence and tighter defensive record—conceding an average of just 1.3 goals per game over the same seven-match span—the prospect of a heavy away victory diminishes significantly.
The obvious counterpoint remains the recent head-to-head meeting, where Stuttgart secured a 2-0 victory over Paderborn in October, aided by an attacking unit that averages 16 attempts per match. However, replicating that two-goal margin on the road requires a defensive stability that Sebastian Hoeness’s side currently lack. With Paderborn proving difficult to break down and Stuttgart repeatedly exposing themselves at the back, the hosts have enough defensive organisation and recent momentum to keep this contest extremely tight, making the handicap advantage a logical angle.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Stuttgart have lost three of their four Bundesliga away trips this season.
- Paderborn controlled 62% possession in their recent 1-0 victory over Hamburger SV.
- Stuttgart concede an average of 1.9 goals per match across their last seven fixtures.
Risk Factor: Stuttgart's recent 2-0 win and 16 attempts per match pose a scoring threat despite defensive issues.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 16 attempts per match and 1.4 goals, testing opposition defences frequently.
Registering just 3.1 shots on target and 0.9 goals per match, limiting their ability to dominate scorelines.
⚔️ Pick 2: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart 1-1 @ 13/2
A 1-1 draw represents a credible correct-score outcome when balancing Paderborn’s modest attacking returns against Stuttgart’s persistent defensive vulnerabilities. On the home side of the equation, Paderborn have struggled to generate high-volume scoring opportunities, averaging just 0.9 goals and 3.1 shots on target across their previous seven matches. Those numbers suggest they are unlikely to score multiple times against top-flight opposition. However, they are facing a Stuttgart defence that routinely ships goals, conceding at a rate of 1.9 per match over the same period. That distinct lack of away stability gives Paderborn a clear route to finding the net at least once, even without relentless attacking pressure.
For the visitors, securing a single goal aligns well with their broader attacking profile and Paderborn’s defensive resistance. Stuttgart average 1.4 goals per match and possess the quality to trouble their hosts, as evidenced by Ermedin Demirovic’s recent brace against Borussia Monchengladbach. Yet, translating their 16 attempts per game into a dominant away scoreline is complicated by Paderborn’s defensive competence. The hosts have restricted opponents to an average of 1.3 goals per game over their last seven outings and recently shut out Hamburger SV completely, proving they can frustrate capable attacking units.
While Stuttgart’s 2-0 victory in their recent October meeting highlights their ceiling, their subsequent run of five defeats in seven league games shows a team struggling to replicate that authority on the road. An exact-score selection is inherently fragile, and an early goal could alter the dynamic, but the combination of Stuttgart’s away struggles and Paderborn’s lack of clinical finishing makes a closely contested 1-1 draw a realistic reflection of the supplied evidence.
Risk Factor: Stuttgart's defensive frailty and Paderborn's low shot output make a close scoreline likely.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the Asian Handicap +1 settle if Stuttgart win 1-0?
The bet is void and the stake refunded if Stuttgart win by exactly one goal.
Does extra time count for the 1-1 Correct Score market?
No, only goals scored in regular time plus stoppage count for this market.
Why is Paderborn's recent home win significant for this bet?
It shows they can defend well and control possession against strong opposition.
What makes Stuttgart vulnerable to dropping points here?
They have lost three of four away Bundesliga matches and concede 1.9 goals per game.
Are Both Teams To Score odds reflected in the 1-1 pick?
Yes, both teams scoring is required for the 1-1 correct score outcome.
How does Stuttgart's shot volume impact the handicap line?
Their 16 attempts per game increase the risk of conceding multiple goals.
