Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Preview: DFB-Pokal Prediction, Team News and Predicted Lineups. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Wolfsburg's strong recent scoring and unbeaten run provide a solid base for an Asian Handicap +1.25 bet, protecting against a narrow home win. Freiburg's current three-match losing streak and defensive issues contrast with Wolfsburg's offensive momentum, making this a pragmatic choice for a closely contested cup tie. The handicap offers safety if Freiburg win by a single goal.
Freiburg's attack remains potent despite recent losses, averaging 2.3 goals per game, while Wolfsburg's defense concedes two goals per match, making a 2-1 home win plausible. Wolfsburg's consistent scoring and Freiburg's defensive vulnerabilities support both teams scoring in normal time.
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REGISTER FREE & UNLOCK TIP →Already registered? Log in18+ · Historical results only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Betting involves risk.Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg.
Freiburg will look to end a three-match losing streak when they welcome Wolfsburg to Europa-Park Stadion on Wednesday, 28 October, for a DFB-Pokal second-round encounter.
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Freiburg and Wolfsburg bring contrasting strengths, leaving this market finely balanced.
Freiburg hold one clear edge, but Wolfsburg still carry enough threat to respond.
Freiburg hold one clear edge, but Wolfsburg still carry enough threat to respond.
Freiburg hold one clear edge, but Wolfsburg still carry enough threat to respond.
Three Punchy Stats
- 7 wins in 10: Freiburg have dominated the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
- 13 goals in four games: Wolfsburg arrive with considerable attacking momentum.
- Five consecutive home wins: Freiburg's perfect home record ended against Bayern Munich.
Scoring Output Comparison
Recent attacking records for Freiburg and Wolfsburg are shown below.
Defensive Vulnerability Comparison
Recent defensive records for Freiburg and Wolfsburg are shown below.
Julian Schuster's Bundesliga side enter the tie following a 3-1 home defeat against Bayern Munich, while second-tier Wolfsburg arrive unbeaten in four matches. The contrast in recent form makes this an intriguing cup contest, despite Freiburg's higher league status and impressive home record.
Freiburg Seeking a Response After Three Straight Defeats
Freiburg's promising start to the campaign has encountered its first significant setback. Consecutive defeats against Bayer Leverkusen, Monaco and Bayern Munich have exposed defensive weaknesses and interrupted their momentum across domestic and European competitions.
Sunday's defeat against Bayern was particularly frustrating. Freiburg conceded three times, including an opening goal from Dayot Upamecano after the defender advanced unmarked from his own penalty area.
Nevertheless, Schuster's team remain third in the Bundesliga with 13 points from seven matches, having registered four victories, one draw and two defeats.
Their attacking numbers provide encouragement. Across their previous seven league and cup fixtures, Freiburg averaged 2.3 goals and 14.7 attempts per match, suggesting they retain the creativity needed to trouble Wolfsburg.
Yuito Suzuki leads their scoring charts with four goals, while Igor Matanovic and Maximilian Eggestein have contributed three apiece.
Home advantage could prove decisive. Before losing to Bayern, Freiburg had won all five matches at Europa-Park Stadion this season.
They also demonstrated their cup credentials with a convincing 5-1 first-round victory over Fortuna Dusseldorf.
Wolfsburg's Attacking Form Presents a Genuine Threat
Wolfsburg approach this fixture with renewed confidence following their relegation from the Bundesliga last season.
Tobias Strobl's side currently occupy fourth place in the 2. Bundesliga, collecting 16 points from nine fixtures and remaining firmly involved in the promotion race.
Their recent attacking performances have been particularly encouraging. Wolfsburg have scored 13 goals across their previous four matches, winning twice and drawing twice.
Across their last seven league and cup outings, they have averaged 3.1 goals, 17.3 attempts and 6.7 shots on target per game.
Robert Glatzel has contributed five goals, Alexander Bernhardsson has four, and Fabian Reese has provided six assists during that seven-match sequence.
However, defensive vulnerability remains an issue. Wolfsburg have conceded an average of two goals per match over the same period, creating opportunities for Freiburg's attacking players.
Their away performances also raise questions. The Wolves have failed to win their previous three away fixtures, while their first-round cup success against Altglienicke required penalties following a 3-3 draw after extra time.
Head-to-Head Record Favours Freiburg
Freiburg have enjoyed considerable success in this fixture, winning seven of the previous 10 meetings between the clubs.
Wolfsburg have managed only two victories during that sequence, with the remaining encounter ending level.
Freiburg are also unbeaten across the last four meetings, although the most recent contest finished 1-1 at Europa-Park Stadion.
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Team News
Freiburg midfielder Yannik Engelhardt remains doubtful because of a hip problem, potentially allowing Patrick Osterhage to partner Maximilian Eggestein.
Florian Muller could start in goal, with Max Rosenfelder and Philipp Lienhart forming the central defensive partnership.
Jan-Niklas Beste, Vincenzo Grifo and Suzuki offer attacking support behind Matanovic.
Wolfsburg will be without midfielder Mattias Svanberg until mid-November, leaving Yannick Gerhardt and Vinicius Souza as potential midfield partners.
Glatzel is expected to lead the visitors' attack, supported by Bernhardsson, Muhammed Mehmet Damar and Alessio Besio.
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction
Freiburg's superior head-to-head record and strong home performances make them narrow favourites, but Wolfsburg's recent scoring form suggests the visitors can create problems.
Schuster's side should find opportunities against a defence conceding regularly, although their own recent struggles make a clean sheet uncertain.
Prediction: Freiburg 2-1 Wolfsburg
📊 Market Explainer
Handicap Market
Selection: VfL Wolfsburg Asian Handicap +1.25. A virtual goal advantage or deficit is applied before settlement. The bet is decided by the adjusted score after normal time.
Correct Score Market
Selection: SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg 2-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: VfL Wolfsburg Asian Handicap +1.25
VfL Wolfsburg arrive at Europa-Park Stadion carrying significant attacking momentum, making an Asian Handicap +1.25 selection a pragmatic approach against higher-league opposition. Tobias Strobl’s side have remained unbeaten across their previous four fixtures, finding the net 13 times during that sequence. Over their last seven matches across all competitions, they have averaged 3.1 goals and generated 17.3 attempts per game. That sheer offensive volume provides a credible foundation for the visitors to keep this cup tie closely contested.
This attacking output directly challenges a SC Freiburg side currently navigating their first major setback of the campaign. Julian Schuster’s team enter this fixture on a three-match losing streak, having suffered consecutive defeats against Bayer Leverkusen, Monaco and Bayern Munich. The 3-1 loss to Bayern exposed defensive weaknesses, notably when Dayot Upamecano advanced completely unmarked to score. When Wolfsburg’s consistent chance creation meets a Freiburg defence dealing with a disrupted rhythm, the visitors possess the statistical profile to stretch the hosts.
Freiburg naturally command respect as the Bundesliga’s third-placed team, and their form prior to this slump included five consecutive home victories alongside a 5-1 cup win over Fortuna Dusseldorf. Their superior head-to-head record—winning seven of the last 10 meetings—also remains a clear obstacle. However, the +1.25 handicap specifically protects against a narrow home victory. Even if Freiburg secure a one-goal win, half the handicap bet still wins, providing a substantial safety net against a resilient home performance.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Wolfsburg average 3.1 goals and 17.3 attempts per match across their last seven league and cup fixtures.
- Freiburg enter this tie on a three-match losing sequence, conceding three times in their recent defeat to Bayern Munich.
- The visitors remain unbeaten across their last four matches, scoring 13 goals during that period.
Risk Factor: Freiburg won their first five home matches this season and are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Wolfsburg, showing strong historical form.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 2.3 goals across seven fixtures. Won their first five home games before facing Bayern.
Conceding an average of two goals per match over their last seven outings. Failed to win their last three away fixtures.
⚔️ Pick 2: SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 @ 6/1
Backing a 2-1 home victory requires establishing why SC Freiburg can score at least twice, while simultaneously proving why VfL Wolfsburg are capable of breaching the hosts’ defence exactly once. Freiburg’s attacking metrics remain robust despite their recent losing sequence. Schuster’s side average 2.3 goals and 14.7 attempts across their last seven league and cup outings. They face a Wolfsburg defence that consistently concedes, allowing an average of two goals per match over the same seven-game period. That defensive fragility gives Freiburg’s forwards, led by four-goal Yuito Suzuki, a clear avenue to score multiple times on home turf.
On the other side of the scoreline, Wolfsburg’s offensive consistency makes a clean sheet for the hosts unlikely. The visitors average 6.7 shots on target per match over their last seven fixtures and arrive having scored 13 goals in just four games. Freiburg’s defence has shown recent vulnerability, conceding three times against Bayern Munich and losing three consecutive matches. This combination of an in-form away attack and a recently breached home defence strongly supports Wolfsburg finding the net during normal time.
The primary risk to this exact scoreline is a higher-scoring shootout, particularly given Wolfsburg required penalties following a 3-3 draw in the previous cup round against Altglienicke. Furthermore, Wolfsburg have failed to win their last three away matches, ensuring the overall match outcome favours the hosts. A 2-1 scoreline respects Freiburg’s historical dominance in this fixture—having won seven of the last 10 meetings—while acknowledging that Wolfsburg’s current attacking form makes a comfortable home shutout highly improbable.
Risk Factor: Wolfsburg's previous cup tie ended 3-3 after extra time, suggesting this match could exceed three total goals.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is an Asian Handicap +1.25?
It splits your stake between +1.0 and +1.5 handicap bets, offering partial wins if the team loses by one goal.
How does the Correct Score market settle?
It wins only if the match finishes with the exact specified score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Does extra time count for betting markets?
No, extra time and penalties do not count unless specified for special markets.
Why is Wolfsburg's attacking form relevant to the handicap?
Their high scoring average supports their ability to keep the scoreline close against stronger opponents.
Who holds the head-to-head advantage?
Freiburg have won seven of the last 10 meetings and remain unbeaten in their last four against Wolfsburg.
What does Both Teams To Score (BTTS) entail?
Both teams must score at least one goal during normal time for the bet to win.



