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Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg: Cup Tie Tests Cottbus Momentum Against Bundesliga Quality. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Augsburg to win and both teams to score is supported by Cottbus's recent scoring momentum and their higher dangerous attack rate compared to Augsburg. Despite Augsburg's greater shot volume, their defensive record leaves openings, making this combined outcome plausible even with Cottbus missing key attackers. The visitors' away struggles add further context to this prediction.
A 2-1 away win for Augsburg fits the scoring and defensive patterns of both teams. Cottbus have scored consistently at home, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Augsburg concede 1.72 goals per match and have a broader attacking base, supporting the predicted scoreline despite cup risks.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Energie Cottbus v FC Augsburg.
Energie Cottbus return to DFB-Pokal duty with a curious mixture of momentum and vulnerability.
Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Augsburg's recent form and higher shot volume suggest an advantage in this tie.
Augsburg's recent form and higher shot volume suggest an advantage in this tie.
Cottbus's scoring frequency and Augsburg's defensive concessions point to multiple goals.
Cottbus's home scoring and Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities align with a 2-1 outcome.
Three Punchy Stats
- Cottbus have won four of their last six competitive matches, giving the newly promoted hosts genuine momentum despite their recent 3-0 setback.
- Augsburg have conceded 62 goals in 36 matches, an average of 1.72 per game, leaving clear scope for Cottbus to threaten if they can convert limited shooting volume efficiently.
- Cottbus have exited the DFB-Pokal in the first round in eight of the last nine seasons, while Augsburg have progressed beyond the second round only once in seven years, so neither side arrives with a strong recent cup pedigree.
Goals Scored in Last 6 Matches
Recent attacking records for Energie Cottbus and Augsburg are shown below.
Clean Sheets in Last 6 Matches
Recent defensive records for Energie Cottbus and Augsburg are shown below.
Claus-Dieter Wollitz’s newly promoted side have already beaten Hannover 3-1 in the 2. Bundesliga, but followed that with a 3-0 defeat at Arminia Bielefeld. Augsburg, by contrast, arrive at the Stadion der Freundschaft for their first competitive match of the season.
That difference in rhythm is one of the more significant features of Saturday’s tie. Cottbus have already been exposed to meaningful league football, while Augsburg must translate a mixed pre-season into an immediate cup performance. The divisional gap favours the visitors, but neither club’s recent DFB-Pokal record offers much reassurance.
Cottbus have enough attacking evidence to cause problems
Cottbus finished second in the 3. Liga last season and have won four of their last six competitive matches. Their recent home record is particularly useful context: victories over SV Wehen and Hannover mean they have won both of their latest listed home fixtures, scoring five goals and conceding twice.
Across their last six matches, they have scored nine goals at an average of 1.5 per game, finding the net in five of those six. Their shooting volume is relatively modest at 9.33 attempts per match, with only 27% on target, yet those figures have still produced a respectable scoring return.
There is an obvious caution. The 3-0 loss at Bielefeld showed that their new level can punish them heavily, and Cottbus have gone out in the first round of this competition in eight of the last nine seasons. Their recent league progress has not yet translated into cup resilience.
Augsburg’s season starts with questions at both ends
Manuel Baum oversaw a substantial improvement last season, with Augsburg winning eight of their final 16 league matches after managing three victories in the opening 12. They eventually finished ninth, but their pre-season has been difficult to read.
Augsburg lost 4-0 to Union Berlin, drew 1-1 with Saarbrucken and were beaten 5-2 by Bournemouth before producing a 15-0 win over Schwaz and a 3-2 victory over Sassuolo. Their final friendly ended in another 4-0 defeat, this time against Leeds United. Results that volatile do little to establish a clear pattern.
The longer-term figures offer more substance. Across 36 matches, Augsburg have averaged 13.19 shots and 1.31 goals per game, compared with Cottbus’s 9.33 shots and 1.5 goals across six. The visitors create greater volume, but that has not translated into a clearly superior scoring average.
Away form gives Cottbus encouragement
Augsburg’s recent away record is one of the clearest areas of weakness. Their last six listed away matches brought two wins, one draw and three defeats, including losses at Union Berlin, Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig.
They have also conceded 62 goals across 36 matches, an average of 1.72 per game, while recording only six clean sheets. That is difficult to ignore against a Cottbus side who have scored in five of their last six and have already put three past Hannover at home this season.
Cottbus also average slightly more dangerous attacks per game, 43.17 to Augsburg’s 41.17, despite producing fewer total attacks and considerably fewer shots. That suggests the hosts are not simply relying on volume to create threat.
Selection issues are heavier for the hosts
Wollitz must manage several absences. Jannis Boziaris has a calf problem, Erik Engelhardt is sidelined with a ligament injury, King Manu has a knee issue and Leonardo Bittencourt is suspended.
Augsburg have fewer concerns, with Alexis Claude-Maurice the main doubt because of an ankle problem. Baum also has options in attack, where Michael Gregoritsch scored six goals in 17 league appearances last season and could face competition from Rodrigo Ribeiro and Steve Mounie.
📊 Market Explainer
Win & Both Teams to Score
Selection: Augsburg to win and both teams to score. The selected team must win in normal time and both teams must score. If the selected team draws or loses, or either side fails to score, the bet loses.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Cottbus vs Augsburg 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
Pick 1: Augsburg to win and both teams to score @ 6/4
Energie Cottbus host Augsburg in the DFB-Pokal with recent scoring momentum, having found the net in five of their last six competitive matches. Claus-Dieter Wollitz’s side average 1.5 goals per game over that stretch, having recently scored five goals across victories against SV Wehen and Hannover at the Stadion der Freundschaft. However, the hosts encounter a divisional step up against a top-flight side that generates greater shot volume. Augsburg averaged 13.19 shots per match across 36 games last season, providing a far higher platform for chance creation than Cottbus’s average of 9.33 attempts.
That difference in offensive volume favours the visitors, yet Augsburg’s defensive figures leave the door open for Cottbus. The Bundesliga side conceded 62 goals in 36 fixtures last term, an average of 1.72 per match, and collected only six clean sheets. Cottbus actually lead the visitors in dangerous attacks per game, producing 43.17 compared to Augsburg’s 41.17. With Wollitz’s side demonstrating efficiency from limited attempts—converting a 27% shot accuracy rate into nine goals over six matches—the hosts possess a factual foundation to breach a visiting backline that regularly concedes on the road.
A major challenge for Cottbus lies in their selection list, as Jannis Boziaris, Erik Engelhardt, King Manu, and the suspended Leonardo Bittencourt are all unavailable. Cottbus have also exited this tournament in the first round in eight of the past nine seasons. Nonetheless, Augsburg’s record of just two wins from six away matches and persistent defensive vulnerability make a combined selection requiring a visiting victory alongside goals at both ends a coherent reflection of the matchup.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Cottbus scored 9 goals in their last 6 competitive matches, finding the net in 5 of those games.
- Augsburg conceded 62 goals across 36 matches last season (1.72 per game), recording just 6 clean sheets.
- Cottbus average 43.17 dangerous attacks per game compared to Augsburg's 41.17.
Risk Factor: Cottbus are missing Jannis Boziaris, Erik Engelhardt, King Manu, and suspended Leonardo Bittencourt, which could impair their attacking continuity and leave Augsburg to win with a clean sheet.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 43.17 dangerous attacks per match, surpassing Augsburg's 41.17 despite lower overall shot counts.
Conceded 62 goals in 36 matches with only 6 clean sheets, suffering 3 defeats in their last 6 listed away games.
Pick 2: Cottbus vs Augsburg 1-2 @ 7/1
A 2-1 away victory for Augsburg aligns directly with the underlying scoring and defensive patterns of both clubs. Cottbus have shown consistent scoring capability at home, finding the net five times in their last two competitive matches at the Stadion der Freundschaft. Across their last six outings, Wollitz’s team have failed to score only once, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Facing an Augsburg defence that averages 1.72 goals conceded per match and kept only six clean sheets in 36 outings last season, the host side possess sufficient backing to manage a single goal.
Equally, justifying two goals for Augsburg relies on the step up in opposition and total attacking volume. Augsburg averaged 13.19 shots per game across 36 matches, significantly outshooting Cottbus, who allow space and recently conceded three goals against Arminia Bielefeld. Manuel Baum’s side averaged 1.31 goals per game over a 36-match sample in top-flight football, establishing a broader baseline of scoring than Cottbus’s lower-tier experience. While Cottbus generate 43.17 dangerous attacks per match, their defensive setup remains vulnerable following a 3-0 defeat in their previous league fixture.
The primary risk to a 1-2 correct score is Augsburg’s poor cup pedigree and erratic pre-season, having suffered 4-0 defeats to Union Berlin and Leeds United alongside a 5-2 loss to Bournemouth. Augsburg have also progressed beyond the second round of the DFB-Pokal only once in seven years. Because correct-score selections are inherently fragile and fail if a single extra goal is scored, any unexpected clinical surge from Michael Gregoritsch or a late breakdown by either defence could easily alter the final scoreline.
Risk Factor: Augsburg's erratic pre-season and poor cup record add risk to the 1-2 correct score prediction.
Frequently Asked Questions
What needs to happen for "Augsburg to win and both teams to score" to win?
Augsburg must win the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and both Energie Cottbus and Augsburg must score at least one goal. A draw, a Cottbus win, or an Augsburg victory with a clean sheet results in a loss.
How does the Correct Score market settle in cup matches?
Correct score bets settle strictly on the scoreline at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout do not count toward settling this selection.
Why is Cottbus expected to score despite playing in a lower division?
Cottbus have scored nine goals across their last six competitive matches and scored five goals in their last two home games. Furthermore, Augsburg conceded 62 goals in 36 matches last season and kept only six clean sheets.
Does Augsburg's higher shot volume make them clear favourites?
Augsburg averaged 13.19 shots per match compared to Cottbus's 9.33 attempts, reflecting top-flight output. However, Cottbus average more dangerous attacks per game (43.17 to 41.17), indicating that the hosts create meaningful pressure despite fewer total shots.
How do Cottbus's squad absences affect this match?
Cottbus are missing Jannis Boziaris, Erik Engelhardt, King Manu, and the suspended Leonardo Bittencourt. These absences limit Wollitz's rotation options, though Cottbus retain their core home scoring form from recent league fixtures.
What is the main difference between Both Teams To Score and Match Result & BTTS?
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) simply requires both teams to score at least once regardless of who wins or draws. Combining Augsburg to win with BTTS adds the condition that Augsburg must win, offering higher odds in exchange for greater risk.
How reliable is Augsburg's recent cup record?
Augsburg have progressed past the second round of the DFB-Pokal only once in the past seven years. This historical trend highlights their vulnerability in early cup rounds, even when facing lower-league opponents.
What happens to my bet if the game goes into extra time at 1-1?
If the match is tied 1-1 at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, both Pick 1 (Augsburg win & BTTS) and Pick 2 (1-2 Correct Score) lose. Settlement is determined exclusively on regular time outcomes.
