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Blackburn vs Ipswich predictions for Tuesday’s Championship fixture. Blackburn Rovers and Ipswich Town meet again at Ewood Park with a sense of unfinished business hanging over the pitch like one of those stubborn Lancashire rainclouds. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Blackburn’s home fixtures and Ipswich’s away matches both consistently deliver open contests. Rovers have seen both teams score in six of nine league games at Ewood Park, while Ipswich have produced six both-teams-to-score outcomes in eight away trips and rarely keep clean sheets on the road. The visitors’ attacking process is outstanding, with high expected goals, strong shot volume in the box and dangerous set-piece output, while Blackburn’s defence allows plenty of attempts and struggles at dead balls. At the same time, Rovers create enough themselves to punish Ipswich’s aggressive shape. That combination makes BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals a logical main selection.
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A 2-2 outcome reflects the likelihood of an open, emotionally-charged game in which neither side fully controls proceedings. Ipswich’s attack generates sustained pressure and multiple big chances, so scoring twice is well within reach, especially against a Blackburn defence that gives up significant shot and set-piece volume. Yet Rovers’ motivation after the abandoned fixture, their home both-teams-to-score record and Ipswich’s modest away clean-sheet rate all suggest the hosts can also find the net more than once. In a match shaped by revenge, promotion pressure and tactical front-foot intent, a high-scoring draw with two goals apiece looks a plausible and attractive correct score.
Blackburn Rovers vs Ipswich Predictions and Best Bets
- Goal Trading Trend
- Both sides show powerful “goal trading” patterns, with Blackburn recording six home both-teams-to-score outcomes from nine and Ipswich seeing six away BTTS results from eight, pointing strongly towards mutual scoring again.
- Ipswich Chance Machine
- Ipswich’s attacking process is relentless, generating 2.21 expected goals across their last four league games, 9.5 shots inside the box and 23.75 penalty-area touches, underlining constant pressure on opposition defences.
- Blackburn’s Defensive Strain
- Blackburn’s defence has allowed 182 shots and 58 on target this season, with 2.29 expected goals against from set plays in their last four matches, highlighting persistent vulnerability under sustained and well-delivered attacking pressure.
Can Blackburn And Ipswich Contain The Chaos In This High-Stakes Ewood Park Clash?
The original fixture in September was drifting towards what looked like a priceless home win, with Rovers 1-0 up, when the heavens opened and the game was abandoned in the closing stages because of a waterlogged surface. Home supporters were furious, visiting fans were quietly relieved, and everyone left the ground feeling like football had paused mid-sentence.
Now the replayed clash arrives with even more riding on it. Blackburn are parked in 18th place, having collected six victories, two draws and nine defeats from their 17 Championship outings. That record screams inconsistency, and their recent run backs it up: just one win in their last four league matches, with the solitary high coming away at Preston North End straight after the international break.
Blackburn’s Frustrating Home Story
Ewood Park has not exactly been a fortress. Rovers have celebrated only once in eight home Championship fixtures this season, which is the sort of return that makes even the most optimistic supporter start checking the weather forecast rather than the league table. Valerien Ismael’s side followed that Preston victory with a flat 1-0 home defeat to Queens Park Rangers, before suffering fresh frustration when Wrexham pinched a 90+ minute equaliser after Andri Gudjohnsen had seemingly set them on course for another away win.
There is, however, a twist. Although Blackburn have struggled in front of their own fans recently, they were leading in the abandoned game against Ipswich and have taken six wins from their last eight completed home meetings with the Tractor Boys. The caveat is that Ipswich did win 1-0 here in March 2024, so even the head-to-head narrative has a bit of internal conflict – much like Rovers’ season.
Team selection is also complicated. Sondre Tronstad, Hayden Carter, Augustus Kargbo, Scott Wharton and Balazs Toth are all sidelined, while Todd Cantwell and Kristi Montgomery are unlikely participants. Sidnei Tavares could return after illness, which at least offers an extra option in the middle of the park for Ismael. The predicted line-up suggests a 3-4-1-2 framework, with Pears in goal, Miller, McLoughlin and Pratt at the back, Alebiosu and Hedges patrolling the flanks, Forshaw and Gardner-Hickman screening the defence, Morishita in the pocket and an Ohashi–Gudjohnsen partnership leading the line.
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Ipswich’s Push for the Playoffs
On the other side, Ipswich arrive with promotion ambitions very much alive but recently shaken. They had pieced together a six-match unbeaten streak in the league, splitting that run into four wins and two draws, including an impressive 2-0 triumph at Hull City in their latest away outing. That sequence suggested a side with clear attacking patterns and strong mentality.
Then came the bump in the road at Oxford United. At the Kassam Stadium, Ipswich found themselves 1-0 down, responded through a smart finish from Leif Davis early in the second half, but failed to press home that momentum and were punished by a late Oxford winner in the 77th minute. It was the kind of defeat that irritates managers and gives rival fans a reason to crow on social media.
Despite that setback, Ipswich’s overall attacking profile remains strong. They travel as the league’s third-highest scorers, having struck 29 goals in 17 games. When the Tractor Boys get into rhythm, they are hard to contain, and their record shows they have won all three away league fixtures in which they have netted first – a clear sign that an early blow from them usually leads to a successful raid.
Personnel-wise, Kieran McKenna has his own headaches. Jens Cajuste, Wes Burns, Harry Clarke, Conor Townsend and Alex Palmer are expected to be unavailable, while Sammie Szmodics is unlikely to make it back in time to face his former club. However, there is still enough quality in the projected XI: Walton in goal, a back four of Furlong, O’Shea, Kipre and Davis, a double pivot of Matusiwa and Taylor, with McAteer, Nunez and Clarke operating behind central forward Azon. Dara O’Shea’s threat from set pieces, with regular shots across the season, adds another attacking channel that Blackburn will need to respect.
Add in the fact that Ipswich’s process numbers are outstanding – second in the league for non-penalty xPTS, an impressively low non-penalty xGA and a huge tally of 53 big chances created – and you get a side who are structurally sound but prone to chaotic, chance-heavy games.
A Game Loaded With Narrative and Nerves
The abandoned first meeting, the emotional reaction from Blackburn, and the possibility of more heavy rain all combine to create a dramatic context. Rovers feel they have unfinished business, Ipswich want to prove the earlier comeback attempt was no fluke, and both sets of players know that a victory here would shift their season narrative.
Blackburn’s mid-table metrics – 24.3 non-penalty xPTS, positive non-penalty xGD of 3.9, 22.6 xGF and a solid volume of 38 big chances created – show a side capable of competing with almost anyone on their day. Yet six home “both teams to score” outcomes from nine games underline how open their matches at Ewood Park can become. Ipswich, by contrast, bring six away BTTS results from eight, plus just one clean sheet on the road, which basically screams “expect goals”.
Defensively, Blackburn have conceded 19 league goals, facing 182 shots and 58 on target, with 2.29 xGA from set plays in their last four games hinting at fragility when defending dead balls. Ipswich, meanwhile, have generated 2.21 xG across their last four league matches – the highest figure in that window – alongside 9.5 shots in the box per game and 23.75 touches in the opposition area. It sounds less like a cautious tactical battle and more like an evening where the ball refuses to sit still in either box.
If you are a neutral, this is the sort of Championship fixture you watch with a cup of tea in one hand and a sense that your heart-rate monitor might complain on your behalf.
Best Bet for This Match
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Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals
Here at BettingTips4You, we do things a little differently. Rather than bombarding you with a shopping list of bets and leaving you to play “pick your own disaster”, we focus on one primary prediction per game. We sift through the tactical patterns, the underlying numbers, the recent trends and the team news, and we hand-pick the single selection that, in our view, best represents value and clarity. Quality over quantity, every time.
That approach makes life simpler for you – there is no need to juggle half a dozen conflicting ideas – and it keeps us fully accountable. With just one best bet per match, it is very easy to track whether our analysis is delivering over time. For this clash at Ewood Park, the selection we are backing as our ultimate view of the contest is Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals.
Why We Are Backing Goals From Both Sides
This game looks custom-built for a high-intensity, chance-heavy script. Blackburn’s home profile and Ipswich’s away habits practically shake hands in the middle and shout: “We’re not doing 0-0 tonight.”
Start with the hosts. Rovers have produced six “both teams to score” results from nine home league fixtures, which is a huge signal that their matches at Ewood Park rarely stay tidy. They generate enough attacking threat – 22.6 expected goals from open play across the season, plus 38 big chances created – to hurt opponents, yet their defence is permissive. Nineteen goals conceded and 182 shots faced, including 58 on target, suggest that when Blackburn games open up, they really open up.
Recent data backs that up further. In their last four matches they have allowed 7.75 shots inside their own box and 16.25 touches in the penalty area per outing, while conceding 2.29 expected goals from set plays across that spell. That combination of central-space looseness and vulnerability at dead balls is not what you want when Dara O’Shea is attacking corners and Leif Davis is delivering from wide areas.
Ipswich, for their part, bring one of the most dangerous attacking processes in the league. They sit second for non-penalty xPTS, have fashioned 53 big chances and, in the last four games alone, have posted 2.21 xG, 9.5 shots in the box and 23.75 touches in the opposition area. Their open-play xG of 1.35 and huge 3.43 set-piece xG over that spell show they can create in multiple ways – intricate combinations, wide overloads, or O’Shea being launched at the six-yard line like a guided missile.
Crucially, Ipswich’s away clean sheet rate is low, with only one shut-out from eight trips and six BTTS outcomes on the road. They score, but they also give opponents room to counter when they throw bodies forward to break down deep blocks. Blackburn’s ability to exploit that space, especially through the movement of Ohashi and Gudjohnsen in transition, makes a home goal highly probable.
Factor in the emotional charge from the abandoned first meeting, the desire for revenge inside the Rovers camp, and the pressure on Ipswich to reclaim a top-six spot, and you have a volatile mix. Tight, cagey affairs generally need nerves of steel and perfect concentration. This fixture, on the other hand, looks far more likely to descend into a wonderfully messy, end-to-end exchange.
BettingTips4You.com expert quote: “With Ipswich pushing high and Blackburn refusing to sit quietly, we expect chances to fly at both ends. A calm, low-scoring chess match? Not in this universe.”
Put simply, everything in the recent numbers and the tactical match-up points towards both sides scoring and the total clearing the 2.5 line.
Likely Correct Score: Why 2-2 Feels Right
If we are leaning towards a goal-heavy encounter with both attacks finding joy, we also need to be realistic about the balance of power. Ipswich’s process is stronger overall – better non-penalty xPTS, lower non-penalty xGA, more big chances, and a status as one of the division’s top scorers. They certainly have the tools to win this fixture.
However, Blackburn’s determination after leading in the abandoned match, combined with Ipswich’s recent setback at Oxford and their low away clean-sheet rate, suggests Rovers are unlikely to roll over. The injuries for both sides mean neither defence is at full strength, and Blackburn’s record of six BTTS outcomes from nine home games underlines their ability to find a route to goal even when they are under pressure.
A 2-2 correct score neatly reflects this tension. It acknowledges Ipswich’s attacking quality, especially with creators like Nunez, Clarke and Davis supplying Azon and the aerial presence of O’Shea at set plays. At the same time, it respects Blackburn’s capacity to exploit transitions and set-piece chaos through players such as Gudjohnsen and Ohashi. In a match where emotion, revenge and promotion stakes collide, a frantic, high-scoring draw feels not just plausible, but almost logical.
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