A crucial fixture at the bottom of the Premier League table sees 20th-placed Wolves host 18th-placed West Ham at Molineux. Both sides are under immense pressure to find form, having endured difficult campaigns defensively. Combined, these two teams have conceded nearly 80 goals in just 19 games, highlighting the fragility of both backlines.

Wolves enter the match winless this season (0W, 3D, 16L) but showed fighting spirit in their recent draw at Old Trafford. West Ham, sitting just above the drop zone, have managed to score more frequently than their hosts (21 goals vs 11) but share similar struggles in keeping opponents out. The match presents a contrast in styles: Wolves typically look to utilize width and wing-backs, while West Ham rely on quick transitions and counter-attacks.

Key Factors to Watch:

• Defensive Records: Both teams average around 2.0 goals conceded per game. Wolves haven’t kept a clean sheet in 23 league matches; West Ham in 16.
• Shot Volume: The teams generate similar offensive output (approx 9.7 shots per game), suggesting opportunities will be created at both ends.
• High Stakes: With both teams desperate for points to escape the danger zone, the tension could lead to a cagey affair or an open game depending on who scores first.

The Verdict: The statistics paint a picture of two vulnerable defenses. Our model has identified a specific angle that capitalizes on these long-term trends while accounting for the high-pressure nature of a relegation six-pointer.