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The VAR Black Hole: How Much Actual Football Have We Lost to Delays This Season?

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Press Release & Data Hub | Published: 24 February 2026

Video Assistant Referee (VAR) systems were introduced to bring absolute clarity to football’s most crucial moments. Yet, midway through the 2025-26 Premier League campaign, the narrative is dominated not by clarity, but by the sheer volume of time evaporating while fans and players wait for a decision.

While official VAR errors have risen 30% season-on-season (from 10 to 13), total overturns have actually dropped by 17.54% (from 57 to 47). However, the core frustration for match-goers and broadcasters alike is the VAR Black Hole: the minutes permanently lost to forensic, frame-by-frame reviews.

🔍 Methodology: The KMI Panel & Time Tracking

To ensure a neutral and robust analysis, our data relies on two primary methodologies:

  • Delay Time Metric: Calculated strictly from the moment the referee halts play for a VAR check to the exact second the ball re-enters play.
  • Error Verification (The KMI Panel): All “errors” listed in this report are officially ratified by the Premier League’s Key Match Incidents (KMI) Panel. Created in 2022 to take performance stats out of the hands of the refereeing body, the panel assesses if decisions align with how the Premier League expects games to be refereed.
  • Panel Composition: The KMI Panel features five members: three former players/coaches, one Premier League representative, and one Professional Game Match Officials (PGMO) representative. They vote on both the on-field decision and the VAR intervention based on the “clear and obvious” threshold.

1. The Time Drain: Minutes Lost & Ball-In-Play

The lengths of VAR checks are steadily increasing as officials attempt to avoid appearing on the KMI Panel’s error list. The pursuit of perfection is severely impacting the flow of the game.

Average VAR Delay by Top 5 European League

Premier League 4m 12s
Slowest in Europe
Serie A 3m 05s
La Liga 2m 50s
Bundesliga 2m 15s
Ligue 1 1m 55s

The knock-on effect of the VAR Black Hole is a direct reduction in the amount of actual football being played. Despite directives to add exact time on at the end of halves, average ball-in-play time continues to drop.

Season (First Half) Avg. Ball-in-Play Time Total VAR Errors Total Overturns
2025-26 54 min 30 sec 13 47
2024-25 55 min 15 sec 10 57
2023-24 56 min 02 sec 20 62
2022-23 55 min 45 sec 23 68

2. Club Impact: The Winners and Losers

Which clubs are suffering the most from the 13 verified VAR errors this season? Chelsea has gained the most from incorrect decisions, while clubs like Bournemouth, Brentford, and Manchester United have repeatedly found themselves on the wrong end of KMI Panel findings.

Club Errors Suffered (Against) Errors Gained (For) Net Difference
Chelsea03+3
Newcastle02+2
Arsenal01+1
Tottenham01+1
West Ham01+1
Bournemouth220
Everton110
Wolves110
Brighton10-1
Crystal Palace10-1
Fulham10-1
Liverpool10-1
Man City10-1
Brentford21-1
Man Utd20-2

3. The 13 Verified VAR Errors: Full Case Log

All but two of the 13 mistakes this season are missed interventions—instances where the VAR failed to advise the referee to change a clearly incorrect decision. Below is the complete, granular breakdown of every KMI-verified error this season, including the panel’s voting splits.

1. Liverpool 4-2 Bournemouth

Missed Red Card

Marcos Senesi accidentally handled the ball but deliberately batted it away to stop Hugo Ekitike running through on goal. The referee deemed it not foul play. VAR Michael Oliver only reviewed the first accidental touch.

On-Field Vote (Correct-Incorrect): 1-4
VAR Vote (Correct-Incorrect): 1-4
“There is a secondary action by Senesi to flick the ball away… an obvious goal-scoring opportunity.”

2. Chelsea 2-0 Fulham

Incorrect Disallowance

Josh King scored to give Fulham the lead. Referee Rob Jones awarded the goal, but VAR Michael Salisbury wrongly ruled it out for a foul by Rodrigo Muniz on Trevoh Chalobah in the build-up. The VAR was subsequently stood down.

On-Field Vote: 5-0
VAR Vote: 0-5
“Muniz has possession and Chalobah tries to step in… this contact is normal in the context of the skill.”

3. Wolves 2-3 Everton

Missed Penalty

Hugo Bueno went down under a challenge from Iliman Ndiaye. Referee Michael Oliver played on, and VAR Craig Pawson deemed there was not enough contact for a review.

On-Field Vote: 1-4
VAR Vote: 2-3
“Ndiaye does not make any contact on the ball. The contact is careless; a penalty should have been awarded.”

4. Brentford 3-1 Man Utd

Missed Red Card

Nathan Collins pulled back Bryan Mbeumo to prevent a clear shot. Referee Craig Pawson gave a penalty but only a yellow card. VAR Andy Madley incorrectly agreed, claiming Mbeumo was not in control.

On-Field Vote: 0-5
VAR Vote: 0-5
“Impactful holding action by Collins which is not an attempt to play the ball. Mbeumo is prevented from having a clear shot.”

5. Chelsea 1-3 Brighton

Missed Penalty

Malo Gusto raised a high boot making clear contact with Yankuba Minteh’s head. Referee Simon Hooper saw no contact, and VAR Darren England felt there was no conclusive proof to overturn.

On-Field Vote: 0-5
VAR Vote: 0-5
“Gusto’s foot makes clear contact with the shoulder and head of Minteh. VAR should have intervened.”

6. Crystal Palace 3-3 Bournemouth

Incorrect Final Outcome

VAR correctly sent referee Jarred Gillett to the monitor for a DOGSO foul by Marcos Senesi on Ismaila Sarr. Gillett rejected the VAR advice and stuck to his yellow card, a final decision the panel ruled incorrect.

On-Field Vote: 2-3
VAR Vote: 3-2 (Correct intervention)
“Sarr was very likely to gain possession with the ability to create an obvious goalscoring opportunity.”

7. Brentford 3-1 Newcastle

Missed Penalty

Dan Burn tripped Dango Ouattara. Ouattara reacted theatrically, causing VAR Paul Tierney to dismiss the penalty claim. The panel was unanimous the on-field call was wrong, but split on the VAR error.

On-Field Vote: 0-5
VAR Vote: 2-3
“Unanimous view that Burn commits a careless tripping offence.”

8. Bournemouth 2-2 West Ham

Missed Red Card (DOGSO)

Max Kilman handled the ball on the ground, preventing Evanilson from shooting. Referee Thomas Bramall gave a penalty and yellow card. VAR Michael Oliver failed to upgrade it to a red for DOGSO.

On-Field Vote: 0-5
VAR Vote: 1-4
“Clear evidence Kilman makes an additional movement with his arm to swipe the ball… denies an obvious goalscoring opportunity.”

9. Newcastle 2-1 Man City

Missed Penalty

Phil Foden released a shot and was caught late and recklessly by Fabian Schar. Neither the referee nor the VAR intervened, giving the defender too much latitude for a blocking collision.

On-Field Vote: 2-3
VAR Vote: 2-3
“Despite Foden getting a shot away, Schar makes a reckless foul challenge.”

10. Wolves 1-4 Man Utd

Missed Penalty

Emmanuel Agbadou leaned into a shot to block the ball with a straight arm. VAR Stuart Attwell did not send referee Michael Salisbury to the monitor.

On-Field Vote: 0-5
VAR Vote: 1-4
“Agbadou leans in towards the ball with a straight arm and his arm blocks the shot.”

11. Everton 0-1 Arsenal

Missed Penalty

William Saliba kicked Thierno Barry as they challenged for a bouncing ball. VAR Michael Salisbury deemed the contact insufficient to warrant an on-screen review.

On-Field Vote: 2-3
VAR Vote: 2-3
“A late challenge where Saliba carelessly kicks Barry with no contact on the ball.”

12. Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth

Missed Penalty

Malo Gusto jumped to head a cross, and the ball struck his outstretched arm. VAR Craig Pawson incorrectly determined the ball hit the ‘sleeve’ area rather than the handable red zone.

On-Field Vote: 1-4
VAR Vote: 2-3
“The ball hit the ‘red zone’ of his arm that was raised in an unjustifiable position.”

13. Brentford 0-0 Tottenham

Missed Red Card

Cristian Romero made a wild swipe, making no contact on the ball, bringing down Igor Thiago who was travelling towards goal. VAR Alex Chilowicz felt there was no clear and obvious error.

On-Field Vote: 2-3
VAR Vote: 2-3
“Romero brings down Thiago, who has a high likelihood of gaining control of the ball, travelling towards goal, with no covering defenders.”

4. The ‘Clear and Obvious’ Grey Area

The KMI Panel also catalogues errors where the on-field referee made a mistake, but the incident did not meet the strict “clear and obvious” threshold for VAR to legally intervene. This season, there are 15 such on-field mistakes (up from 12 last season).

  • Man City v Tottenham: Penalty not given for a foul on Oscar Bobb
  • Brentford v Aston Villa: Goal disallowed for a push on Emiliano Martinez
  • Arsenal v Leeds: Penalty given for a foul on Max Dowman
  • Fulham v Man Utd: Goal awarded despite push on Calvin Bassey
  • Sunderland v Brentford: Penalty not given for Reinildo holding Nathan Collins
  • West Ham v Tottenham: Disallowed goal for a foul by Micky van de Ven
  • Man City v Liverpool: Disallowed goal, Andrew Robertson offside and impacting
  • Sunderland v Bournemouth: Penalty given for a foul on Reinildo
  • Chelsea v Arsenal: Enzo Fernandez offside and impacting on Trevoh Chalobah goal
  • Tottenham v Brentford: No Cristian Romero serious foul play red card
  • Fulham v Crystal Palace: Penalty not given for challenge by Joachim Andersen
  • Liverpool v Brighton: No serious foul play red card for Diego Gomez
  • Newcastle v Chelsea: No penalty for challenge on Anthony Gordon
  • Wolves v Brentford: Penalty award for foul by Caoimhin Kelleher
  • Brentford v Tottenham: No penalty for a foul on Archie Gray

Missed Second Yellow Cards

VAR cannot intervene on second yellow cards. The KMI Panel ruled that the following five players incorrectly escaped a second caution and subsequent dismissal:

  • Malick Thiaw for Newcastle at Bournemouth
  • Andre for Wolves at Aston Villa
  • Aaron Wan-Bissaka for West Ham at Manchester United
  • Ruben Dias for Manchester City at Nottingham Forest
  • *A fifth unlogged instance is noted in the panel’s aggregate data.

Press & Media Contact

This data set is compiled based on official publications from the Premier League Key Match Incidents Panel and broadcast timing data. For full access to raw data sets, expert commentary, or broadcast-ready graphics regarding the ‘VAR Black Hole’ study, please contact our press office:

Email: [email protected]

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Gram Dodd
Gram Dodd is a seasoned sports writer with over fifteen years of experience producing high-authority betting previews across the NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. His analytical style blends data-driven insight with real-match intuition, helping readers make smarter, more confident betting decisions. Gram’s all-time favourite sporting moment is the Miracle of Istanbul, a reminder of why he believes sport is at its best when chaos meets belief.
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