bet365
BetMGM
William Hill
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
Can Bournemouth’s left-sided aggression crack Tottenham’s offside trap at the Vitality Stadium? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
▾
Nantes are winless in seven at home and allow more shots than any other team. Paris FC’s possession and scoring record on the road provide high value.
▾
Nantes concede nearly two goals per game at home, while both sides are weak on set pieces and individual errors, pointing to a high-scoring visitor win.
Readers’ Tip
Vote your pick — quick & anonymous
Terms & Conditions (tap to view)
Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions and Best Bets
Bournemouth vs Tottenham — bet365 Market Snapshot
Pricing shown below based on match metrics and current market indicators.
Bournemouth enter as narrow favorites at home, with Tottenham’s recent road form contributing to a balanced pricing structure.
Implied probabilities from current market pricing suggest a competitive match with goals for both sides.
Bournemouth’s goal volume and Tottenham’s clinical away finishing suggest scoring potential for both teams.
- Bournemouth bring volume and chaos: 31 Premier League goals and 13.9 shots per game, but 38 conceded in 20 matches, so every attack carries risk at both ends.
- Tottenham games have tightened lately: their last three Premier League matches finished under 2.5 goals, including a 0-0 at Brentford and a 1-1 at home to Sunderland.
- Semenyo is Bournemouth’s reference point: nine league goals, three assists and 2.5 shots per game, forcing Tottenham’s defence to manage constant direct running and repeat duels.
Attacking Output: League Goals Scored
Both teams have shown high scoring reliability across their opening 20 Premier League fixtures.
Bournemouth average 1.55 goals per match, highlighting their consistent threat in the opposition’s half.
Tottenham remain efficient finishers, finding the net 1.4 times per match on average.
Defensive Profile: Goals Conceded
Comparison of defensive stability across the first 20 matchweeks of the season.
An average of 1.9 goals conceded per game illustrates the risks taken by their aggressive tactical style.
Tottenham maintain a tighter defensive record, conceding 1.2 goals per game this campaign.
For the second time in the space of two Premier League matchweeks, the Vitality Stadium rolls out the welcome mat for a North London heavyweight, as Bournemouth host Tottenham Hotspur on Wednesday night. The home side are still brushing themselves down after coming out on the wrong end of a five-goal thriller with Arsenal in gameweek 20, a 3-2 defeat that neatly captured both the fun and the frustration of Bournemouth right now.
Tottenham arrive with their own irritation to shake off. Sunderland left North London with a 1-1 draw over the weekend, and it was described as a painful one for the Lilywhites. With the sides sat next to each other in the lower half — Tottenham 13th on 27 points and Bournemouth 15th on 23 — this has the feel of one of those matches where both teams look at the fixture list and circle it for different reasons.
Bournemouth want the Vitality to keep behaving like a problem for visiting teams. Tottenham want their control to translate into a cleaner night. And looming over all of it is the tactical promise: Bournemouth like to control the game in the opposition’s half and play aggressively; Tottenham also play aggressively, press to steal the ball, and rely on an offside trap. That cocktail rarely produces a quiet evening.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Bournemouth’s possible starting lineup has Djordje Petrovic in goal, with Álex Jiménez, James Hill, Marcos Senesi and Adrien Truffert across the back. Marcus Tavernier and Alex Scott are listed as the central pair, with Antoine Semenyo, Justin Kluivert and David Brooks supporting Evanilson.
On paper, that looks like a side built to attack with energy and variety. Semenyo is the headline act: nine Premier League goals, three assists, and 2.5 shots per game. He doesn’t need much invitation to make things happen. Tavernier brings output too, with four goals and two assists, while Senesi’s three assists from centre-back hint at a team that can create from dead balls and restarts as well as open play.
There’s also a clear tension between the possible lineup and the availability list. Bournemouth’s injured and suspended section includes Veljko Milosavljevic (knee injury until 16.02.2026), Ryan Christie (knee problems until 16.01.2026), Tyler Adams (knee medial ligament tear until 16.02.2026), and James Hill (unknown injury). Adams is not in the possible XI, but Hill is, which adds a layer of uncertainty to the defensive picture.
Tottenham’s possible starting lineup lists Guglielmo Vicario in goal, with Djed Spence, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven and Ben Davies in defence. Archie Gray and Rodrigo Bentancur are the central midfielders, with Xavi Simons, Lucas Bergvall and Mathys Tel as the attackers shown.
That group leans into Tottenham’s stated identity: they play with width, attempt crosses often, press aggressively, and play an offside trap. They rotate their first eleven too, which fits the mix of names here. Romero and Van de Ven anchor the back line, Bentancur sets rhythm in midfield, and Simons offers a line-breaking, creative angle.
Both sides also come with very specific flaws. Bournemouth are very weak at defending counter attacks and very weak at protecting the lead, while also weak defending set pieces and weak in aerial duels. Tottenham, meanwhile, are very weak at defending skillful players and very weak at avoiding individual errors, while also weak at defending attacks down the wings. That combination almost guarantees moments that feel avoidable — and moments that feel inevitable.
How the Match Could Be Played
This match has two competing instincts: Bournemouth want to pin you back, Tottenham want to steal the ball and punch into space. Bournemouth’s style is clear — attacking down the left, controlling the game in the opposition’s half, attempting crosses often, taking long shots, and taking a lot of shots. They are aggressive, and they rotate their first eleven. Against Tottenham, that aggression meets a side that is very strong at stealing the ball from the opposition and strong at attacking down the wings.
That creates an immediate question about territory. Bournemouth average 51.0% possession in the Premier League with 80.2% pass accuracy, which fits a team comfortable having the ball and moving it. Tottenham sit at 50.6% possession with 81.8% pass accuracy, so neither side is designed to spend 90 minutes chasing shadows. One of them will have to accept being without the ball for spells, and the danger is what happens next.
Bournemouth’s main route to menace is the left-sided pressure and the shot volume that follows. Semenyo and Truffert on that flank can tilt Bournemouth’s attacks towards Tottenham’s weak point: defending against attacks down the wings. Bournemouth are also strong at creating chances through individual skill and strong at creating scoring chances, which makes this a night where Tottenham’s “defending against skillful players: very weak” sits right in the spotlight. If Bournemouth can get Semenyo isolated and running at his man, Tottenham’s line is forced into decisions — step out and risk the through ball, or hold shape and allow the cross.
Tottenham’s counter is just as sharp. They are strong at finishing scoring chances and strong at protecting the lead, and they attack down the wings with real intent. Bournemouth are very weak defending counter attacks, and they also defend against through ball attacks poorly. If Tottenham can win it and go early, Bournemouth’s back line gets pulled into sprints and recovery runs — the exact game state Bournemouth hate when they’re trying to control the game in the opposition’s half.
The offside theme is another thread that can run through the whole evening. Bournemouth are weak at avoiding offside. Tottenham play the offside trap. That means Bournemouth’s forward runners need their timing to be perfect, especially if Brooks and Kluivert are trying to slide passes in behind for Evanilson. Get it wrong, and Bournemouth’s best moves die on the whistle. Get it right, and Tottenham’s defence has to turn and chase, which is when the match becomes stretched.
Set pieces are the other obvious battleground. Bournemouth are very strong at shooting from direct free kicks and strong at attacking set pieces, but they are weak at defending set pieces. Tottenham are strong at defending set pieces. That tug-of-war shapes the rhythm: Bournemouth will want territory and fouls in useful areas; Tottenham will want to survive those phases, then make Bournemouth defend wide deliveries at the other end. With Tottenham’s willingness to cross and Bournemouth’s weakness in aerial duels, those moments can turn chaotic quickly.
And it’s worth remembering that both teams are described as aggressive. In a match where both want to win the ball high and play on the front foot, the midfield becomes a collision zone. If Bournemouth’s Tavernier and Scott can keep the ball moving under pressure, Bournemouth can keep Tottenham from settling into that steal-and-break pattern. If Tottenham’s Gray and Bentancur disrupt the first pass, Tottenham can turn Bournemouth’s “control in the opposition’s half” into a trap, not a virtue.
William Hill
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
BetMGM
Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Betfred
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
10bet
100% Up To £50 On First Deposit
Show Terms & Conditions
The Numbers That Support the Story
Bournemouth’s Premier League numbers are loud: 31 goals in 20 matches and 13.9 shots per game. That is a side that creates, shoots, and generally believes the next attack will be better than the last. The downside is in the table line: 38 goals conceded in 20 matches. When you concede 1.9 per game across 21 matches in all competitions, every lost duel and every broken transition becomes a storyline, not a footnote.
Tottenham’s league output is more controlled: 28 goals scored and 24 conceded in 20 matches. The match-by-match feel backs up a side that can keep games on a tighter leash, and Tottenham’s recent Premier League run includes a 0-0 at Brentford and a 1-1 at home to Sunderland. Their trends even spell it out: Tottenham’s last three Premier League matches have finished under 2.5 goals. That matters because Bournemouth’s recent games have been anything but quiet — a 4-4 at Manchester United and a 3-2 loss to Arsenal in the last six alone.
The standings underline why this feels edgy. Tottenham are 13th with 27 points from 20, Bournemouth 15th with 23. It’s not a chasm; it’s a nudge. And that nudge means the first goal changes the tone immediately, especially with Bournemouth labelled very weak at protecting the lead and Tottenham strong at protecting the lead. If Bournemouth score first, they still have to defend a game state that has bitten them. If Tottenham score first, they lean into a strength.
Individual production matters too. Semenyo’s nine goals make him Bournemouth’s top scorer, while Richarlison leads Tottenham’s Premier League scoring with seven goals. Tottenham also have multiple contributors from across the pitch: Van de Ven has three league goals, Romero has two, and Bentancur and Tel have chipped in. Bournemouth’s spread includes Kroupi’s six goals and Tavernier’s four, but Semenyo remains the main fire.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first moment is the wing duel Bournemouth keep trying to manufacture. If Semenyo can receive early and often, Bournemouth’s aggression has a purpose. Tottenham’s weakness defending attacks down the wings gives Bournemouth a target, and Bournemouth’s strength in individual skill gives them a tool to hit it.
The second is Tottenham’s counter-press and the first pass out. Tottenham are very strong at stealing the ball. Bournemouth want to control the game in the opposition’s half. Those ideas collide in the same five metres of grass, again and again. One sloppy touch, and Tottenham are running at a back line that doesn’t like counters.
Third, watch the offside line like it’s a subplot. Tottenham rely on an offside trap. Bournemouth are weak at avoiding offside. That means Bournemouth’s best-looking through ball can still end in frustration, and Tottenham can defend without always winning the duel — they just need the timing to be right.
Fourth, keep an eye on set-piece mood swings. Bournemouth are strong at attacking set pieces and very strong from direct free kicks. Tottenham are strong at defending set pieces. When those forces meet, the game can hinge on execution rather than flow — a delivery, a clearance, a second ball, a shot through bodies.
What could go wrong with this read? Tottenham’s very weak habit of individual errors can hand Bournemouth the sort of chance they don’t need to build for five minutes. Bournemouth’s own very weak protection of the lead means even a strong start can unravel quickly if the game turns into a transition-fest.
Best Bet for Bournemouth vs Tottenham
[bt4y_article_veil]
Both Teams to Score
The high-octane tactical identities of both Bournemouth and Tottenham make a clean sheet for either side highly improbable at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth’s matches are defined by high volume and high risk; they average 13.9 shots per game and have already netted 31 goals across 20 league fixtures. However, this aggressive pursuit of goals leaves them exposed, as evidenced by the 38 goals they have conceded this season. They have kept only a handful of clean sheets and have conceded in each of their last five matches. This defensive fragility is a direct consequence of their desire to control games in the opposition half, which frequently leaves them vulnerable to the exact type of rapid transitions Tottenham excel at.
Tottenham arrive with a clinical edge that punishes defensive lapses. Despite creating fewer overall chances than some of their peers, they are strong at finishing scoring chances and have scored 28 times this campaign. Their reliance on an aggressive offside trap is a double-edged sword; while it can nullify attacks, any failure in timing allows opponents clear runs at goal. Bournemouth are particularly well-equipped to exploit this, as they are strong at creating chances through individual skill and possess players like Antoine Semenyo, who has already scored nine league goals.
The historical and recent trends further solidify this selection. Tottenham have found the net in 80% of their away matches this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game on the road. Conversely, Bournemouth have conceded in 70% of their home fixtures. Both teams have significant defensive weaknesses: Bournemouth are very weak at defending counter-attacks, while Tottenham are very weak at defending against skillful players and wing-based attacks. These specific flaws align perfectly with the opponent’s strengths, creating a scenario where both goalkeepers are likely to be beaten.
What could go wrong
The primary risk to this pick is the potential for a tactical stalemate if both teams over-prioritize defensive stability following recent frustrating results. If Tottenham’s offside trap operates with perfect precision, they could repeatedly frustrate Bournemouth’s forward line, while a more cautious approach from the hosts could limit the transition opportunities Tottenham rely on for their own goals.
Correct score lean
Bournemouth 1-1 Tottenham
A 1-1 draw is the most logical outcome given the statistical profiles of both clubs. Both sides have drawn over a third of their Premier League matches this season, showing a consistent inability to pull away from opponents or close out games. Bournemouth are very weak at protecting a lead, while Tottenham have recently struggled for wins, recording draws against Sunderland and Brentford in their last two outings. With both teams averaging roughly 1.4 to 1.5 goals per game and possessing similar possession stats, they are likely to cancel each other out in a tightly contested midfield battle.
Selected Bookmakers Offers
| |
New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. | |
| |
Open Account Offer - New Customers only. Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets when you join bet365. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value settle. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs , time limits & exclusions apply. Registration Required. #Ad. 18+ Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility exclusions & T&Cs Apply. | |
| |
New cust only. Opt-in required. Deposit & place a bet within 7 days and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater to be credited with 3 x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 football. Free Bets cannot be used on e-sports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+. T&Cs apply. Acca Club: Available to new & existing customers. 3 or more selections. Min Odds: 3/10 (1.3) per leg. Max stake: £500. Max Winnings: £200,000 per boost. Profit Boost amounts vary. Horse Racing, Greyhounds & Trotting excluded. Exclusions apply. Full T&C’s apply. 18+ GambleAware.org. | |
 | |
New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. Virtuals) 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days; £20 use on sportsbook, £10 on Bet Builder. Stake not returned. T&Cs.+ deposit exclusions apply #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New bettors. Select bonus at signup or use code SPORT. Wager deposit & bonus 8x. Max qualifying bet = bonus. Valid 60 days. Odds, bet & payment limits apply. T&Cs Apply; 18+ | Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
New customers only, 18+. Min deposit £10. Place a £50 bet on any sport at 2.0+ to qualify for £25 in free bets and 10 Free Spins. Free Bets and Spins valid 7 days. £0.10 Free Spins. T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly. #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook (ex. virtuals), placed & settled at 1.5 min odds in 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days, use on sportsbook only (ex. virtuals), stakes not returned. T&Cs Apply and deposit exclusions apply. Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
18+ New customers only. Opt in, and bet £10 on football markets (odds 2.00+). No cash out. Get 6x£5 football free bets at specified odds for set markets, which expire after 7 days. Offer valid from 12:00 UK Time on 25/08/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply | gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
