bet365
BetMGM
William Hill
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
Can Morocco’s control break Tanzania’s resistance in Rabat? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Works worldwide • Email + on-site access • Instant unlock
▾
Juventus hold a 13-match unbeaten home streak and face an opponent that hasn't scored in three straight away games.
▾
Matches involving Cremonese on the road are low-scoring affairs, and Juventus have the quality to score twice without reply.
Readers’ Tip
Vote your pick — quick & anonymous
Terms & Conditions (tap to view)
Morocco vs Tanzania Predictions and Best Bets
Morocco vs Tanzania — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Pricing shown below is informational. Market snapshot based on tournament form and technical analysis.
Pricing reflects Morocco’s dominant Group A showing, while Tanzania’s long odds reflect their status as one of the best third-placed finishers.
Single and multi-goal margins for the home side are the most realistic outcomes based on Morocco’s tournament average of 2 goals per game.
Morocco’s record of just one goal conceded in the group stage makes the “No” outcome the statistically dominant side of this market.
- Morocco’s group-stage authority: Seven points from three matches with six goals scored and only one conceded, setting a platform of control that can shape knockout tempo and risk management.
- Volume versus selectivity: Morocco average 16.7 shots per game at the tournament, while Tanzania average 9.3, hinting at very different attacking rhythms and defensive workloads over 90 minutes.
- Two creators, same output so far: Azzedine Ounahi has two assists for Morocco and Novatus Miroshi has two assists for Tanzania, a reminder that one decisive pass can swing a knockout match.
Tournament Control: Average Possession
The technical gulf is highlighted by the volume of the ball each side keeps, suggesting the territory for this knockout tie.
With an 88.4% passing accuracy, the hosts have established a platform for sustained offensive pressure throughout the group phase.
Tanzania are accustomed to long defensive phases, relying on structural discipline and select moments to transition forward.
Attacking Frequency: Shots per Game
A comparison of how often each side tests the opposition’s defensive shape in the final third.
Led by Diaz’s 3.7 shots per game, Morocco frequently create opportunities to breach organized defenses.
Tanzania average fewer looks but have managed to find the net in every group match so far this tournament.
Hosts Morocco step into the knockout rounds with momentum and a neat bit of authority already established. Sunday’s round-of-16 tie against Tanzania at Stade Prince Moulay Abdellah brings a clean, high-stakes change of rhythm: group-stage control gives way to a one-off where moments can swing everything.
Morocco arrive as Group A winners after two victories and a draw, finishing the section with seven points, six goals scored and just one conceded. Tanzania’s route has been more precarious but no less earned: they’ve come through as one of the best third-placed finishers, navigating Group C with two points from three matches, scoring three and conceding four.
On paper, it reads like a game of territory and pressure versus resistance and timing. In practice, it’s the kind of tie where the first fifteen minutes matter — not because anyone will “win it early”, but because it will quickly tell you whether Morocco can pin Tanzania back in a way that turns possession into proper chances, or whether Tanzania can keep their shape, stay alive, and make Morocco run the other way.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Morocco could line up with Bono in goal; Salah-Eddine, El Yamiq, Aguerd and Mazraoui across the back; Ounahi, Amrabat and El Aynaoui in midfield; and a front three of Saibari, El Kaabi and Diaz.
That selection hints at balance rather than chaos. The back line has clear structure with Aguerd and El Yamiq central, while Mazraoui’s presence on the right suggests a full-back who can contribute to progression and combination play. In midfield, Amrabat and El Aynaoui give the look of stability, with Ounahi offering the more creative connective tissue — and his tournament return of two assists underlines that he’s not just there to shuffle passes.
Further forward, there’s a clear focal point: El Kaabi has already scored three at the tournament, and he’s done it from 2(1) appearances, which speaks to impact rather than mere accumulation. Diaz has matched that with three goals of his own across three appearances, and his 3.7 shots per game indicates a player who doesn’t need an invitation to pull the trigger. Saibari, meanwhile, gives Morocco a third attacker who can link, arrive, and keep the front line moving.
Tanzania’s possible XI is listed as Masalanga; Hussein, Hamad, Nwamnyeto and Job; Miroshi and Msanga; Msuva, Salum and Mnoga; with the final forward line entry unclear in the same list. Even so, Tanzania’s tournament formation summary points to a 4-2-3-1, and the personnel around the spine offers some clear themes: Miroshi has two assists and a strong rating of 7.24, Salum has a goal and a 7.04 rating, and goalkeeper Zuberi Foba has been outstanding in his minutes with a 7.52 rating and two Man of the Match awards.
If this is a game where Tanzania need their keeper to be sharp, the early signs suggest they’ve got the right man for the job.
How the Match Could Be Played
The shape notes point towards Morocco operating in a 4-1-4-1, while Tanzania lean 4-2-3-1. That combination usually creates a familiar battle: Morocco trying to establish a stable platform behind the ball, push numbers into the middle band, and lock the opponent into a low, narrow block; Tanzania trying to stay connected between their lines and spring forward when Morocco over-commit.
Morocco’s tournament numbers support the idea of a side comfortable with the ball. They’ve averaged 63.1% possession and completed passes at 88.4%, and they’re taking 16.7 shots per game. That is not “sterile dominance”; it is volume, and it suggests Morocco are spending long periods in the attacking half, forcing opponents to defend sequences rather than single moments.
So where might the pressure come from? The likely Moroccan midfield trio offers a clue. With Amrabat and El Aynaoui sitting in the engine room, Morocco can build with patience and still have protection behind the ball. That matters against a 4-2-3-1 because turnovers can become instant counter-attacks if your rest-defence is loose. Morocco look set up to keep at least one screening midfielder in place as the full-backs and eights rotate and advance.
Tanzania, by contrast, have averaged 40.6% possession at the tournament with a pass completion of 76.9% and 9.3 shots per game. That profile doesn’t scream “high-possession build”; it points towards longer defensive phases and more selective attacking moments. In those moments, the attacking midfield line becomes crucial. Msuva has contributed a goal, Salum has contributed a goal, and the creative hub looks to be Miroshi with two assists — suggesting that when Tanzania do break forward, there is at least one reliable final-ball source.
A key tension could be where Morocco choose to speed the game up. With Diaz averaging 3.7 shots per game and El Kaabi already on three tournament goals, Morocco have the temptation to make this a shooting gallery. Tanzania’s defensive priority will be to prevent clean central looks and force Morocco into lower-quality attempts, ideally from wide angles or crowded areas. Tanzania’s aerial numbers are strong — 11.3 aerials won per match at the tournament — which hints they can compete in the air when Morocco go direct or load the box, but aerial defending is only one piece of the puzzle. The bigger challenge is the constant shifting: the second balls, the cut-backs, the late arrivals.
Morocco’s wide dynamics matter here. With Mazraoui on the right and Saibari ahead of him, there’s the potential for combination play that pulls Tanzania’s left side out of shape. On the other side, Salah-Eddine’s inclusion suggests Morocco can push an extra body into advanced zones and keep the opponent pinned. If Morocco can keep Tanzania’s wide midfielders facing their own goal, the knock-on effect is that Tanzania’s attacking midfielders are asked to run longer distances to support counters — and counters become sprints into empty space rather than composed attacks.
For Tanzania, the best route to making the game feel uncomfortable is to survive the Moroccan pressure without sinking too deep, then use their three behind the striker to carry the ball into the final third and win territory. Even a couple of sequences where Salum and Msuva receive between the lines and turn can change the emotional temperature of a knockout match. And if the game starts to feel stretched, players like Mnoga and Msuva have the platform to hit Morocco in transition.
William Hill
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
BetMGM
Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Betfred
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
10bet
100% Up To £50 On First Deposit
Show Terms & Conditions
The Numbers That Support the Story
Morocco’s Group A campaign paints a picture of control with punch: seven points from three matches, six scored, one conceded. That goals-against figure matters because it suggests Morocco haven’t simply attacked; they’ve also managed risk well enough to avoid turning games into track meets.
Their tournament shot volume is another clear marker. Averaging 16.7 shots per game tells you Morocco are creating frequent opportunities to test a defence, even if every chance isn’t a clean one. It also changes what Tanzania must do psychologically: defending one or two big chances is hard enough; defending wave after wave without switching off is harder.
Tanzania’s tournament profile points the other way. With 9.3 shots per game and 40.6% possession, they’re more likely to choose their moments than dominate the ball. But there are encouraging individual signs within that. Miroshi’s two assists indicate Tanzania can produce decisive passes, while Salum and Msuva both contributing goals shows the threat isn’t confined to a single player.
And then there’s Foba. A 7.52 rating with two Man of the Match awards suggests Tanzania’s keeper has already had games where he’s been central to keeping them competitive. If Morocco do create the shot volume their tournament average suggests, the goalkeeper becomes a storyline, not a footnote.
Key “Moments” to Watch
One moment to watch is how Morocco turn possession into clear finishing situations rather than hopeful shooting. Diaz’s 3.7 shots per game shows he’ll take responsibility, while El Kaabi’s three goals show Morocco have an end product up front. The question is whether Tanzania can block the most dangerous lanes and make those shots feel rushed or uncomfortable.
Another is the battle for the second ball around Tanzania’s box. Morocco’s passing accuracy of 88.4% and their possession share point to long spells in advanced areas, but knockout matches are often decided by scrappy details: a loose clearance, a half-cleared cross, a ricochet that falls kindly. With Morocco’s shot volume, there will be rebounds. Tanzania’s ability to reset their line quickly — and to get out when they do win it — could decide whether this stays tight or gradually tilts.
Then there’s the creative contest: Ounahi arrives with two assists, and Miroshi arrives with two assists. That symmetry matters. It suggests both sides have at least one player who can put a teammate in with a single action, even if the broader flow of the match is different. If either of them gets time to lift their head in the final third, the game can shift fast.
What could go wrong with this read? A match can refuse to follow the expected script. A side can dominate the ball but fail to land the punch, while the other side only needs one well-constructed move to change the entire emotional shape of the night. Fine margins — a save, a deflection, a moment of composure in the box — are often the real authors of knockout football.
Best Bet for Morocco vs Tanzania
Works worldwide • Email + on-site access • Instant unlock
Morocco to win and under 3.5 goals
Rationale
The knockout stages of the tournament bring a different psychological burden, and Morocco enter this tie as significant favorites with a profile built on efficiency and control. Throughout the opening phase of the competition, they have demonstrated a remarkable ability to dominate the ball, averaging 63.1% possession and maintaining a passing accuracy of 88.4%. This high level of technical security allows them to squeeze opponents into their own half, as evidenced by their 16.7 shots per game. However, while they create high volume, their defensive solidity is perhaps their most defining trait in this tournament cycle. Having conceded only once in three matches, the Moroccan backline—shielded by the industrious presence of Sofyan Amrabat—rarely offers clear sights of goal to the opposition.
Tanzania, by contrast, have navigated their way through with a more resilient, low-possession style. Their tournament average of 40.6% possession suggests they are comfortable defending for long periods without the ball. Their defensive strategy is bolstered by strong aerial numbers, winning 11.3 aerial duels per match, which helps negate direct service into the box. While they have shown a clinical edge by scoring in all three group matches, the step up in quality against a side that has kept five clean sheets in their last eight head-to-head meetings is steep. Historically, Morocco have won seven of the eight previous encounters between these two nations, often doing so without conceding; in fact, Tanzania have failed to score in any of the last four matches against the Atlas Lions.
The likely game state involves Morocco probing a deep Tanzanian block. With Brahim Diaz and Ayoub El Kaabi both in scoring form with three goals each, the hosts possess the individual quality to break the deadlock. However, Tanzania’s habit of staying in games—evidenced by the fact they reached this stage with just two points—suggests they will focus on damage limitation and shape. Morocco’s tendency is to manage the game once ahead rather than chasing a lopsided scoreline, making a controlled victory the most logical outcome. Given that Tanzania have conceded only four goals in three group games despite facing heavy pressure, a Moroccan win within a total of three goals or fewer aligns with both teams’ established patterns.
What could go wrong
Knockout football is frequently defined by the “perfect storm” of a missed Moroccan chance followed by a moment of individual brilliance on the counter-attack from someone like Miroshi or Salum. If Tanzania can leverage their aerial strength to snatch a goal from a set-piece, they may force Morocco into an uncharacteristic state of panic, potentially opening the game up for more goals than the statistical average suggests.
Correct score lean: Morocco 2-0
Rationale A 2-0 scoreline reflects the gulf in technical quality while respecting Tanzania’s defensive organization. Morocco have averaged exactly two goals per game in this tournament (six goals in three matches), while their defensive record—one goal conceded—indicates they are unlikely to be breached by a Tanzanian side that has historically struggled to score against them. Morocco’s previous two victories in World Cup qualifiers against this same opposition both ended in 2-0 scorelines. With Diaz and El Kaabi providing consistent threats and Morocco’s ability to starve opponents of the ball, a multi-goal margin with a clean sheet is the most consistent projection.
Selected Bookmakers Offers
| |
New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. | |
| |
Open Account Offer - New Customers only. Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets when you join bet365. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value settle. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs , time limits & exclusions apply. Registration Required. #Ad. 18+ Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility exclusions & T&Cs Apply. | |
| |
New cust only. Opt-in required. Deposit & place a bet within 7 days and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater to be credited with 3 x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 football. Free Bets cannot be used on e-sports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+. T&Cs apply. Acca Club: Available to new & existing customers. 3 or more selections. Min Odds: 3/10 (1.3) per leg. Max stake: £500. Max Winnings: £200,000 per boost. Profit Boost amounts vary. Horse Racing, Greyhounds & Trotting excluded. Exclusions apply. Full T&C’s apply. 18+ GambleAware.org. | |
 | |
New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. Virtuals) 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days; £20 use on sportsbook, £10 on Bet Builder. Stake not returned. T&Cs.+ deposit exclusions apply #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New bettors. Select bonus at signup or use code SPORT. Wager deposit & bonus 8x. Max qualifying bet = bonus. Valid 60 days. Odds, bet & payment limits apply. T&Cs Apply; 18+ | Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
New customers only, 18+. Min deposit £10. Place a £50 bet on any sport at 2.0+ to qualify for £25 in free bets and 10 Free Spins. Free Bets and Spins valid 7 days. £0.10 Free Spins. T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly. #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook (ex. virtuals), placed & settled at 1.5 min odds in 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days, use on sportsbook only (ex. virtuals), stakes not returned. T&Cs Apply and deposit exclusions apply. Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
18+ New customers only. Opt in, and bet £10 on football markets (odds 2.00+). No cash out. Get 6x£5 football free bets at specified odds for set markets, which expire after 7 days. Offer valid from 12:00 UK Time on 25/08/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply | gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
