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Saturday night in Riyadh unfolds with the kind of intensity only a major boxing night can generate. Under the glowing lights of the ANB Arena, fighters arrive carrying not just belts, but expectations, reputations and the pressure of knowing that global eyes are fixed on every feint, every adjustment and every punch thrown. The Ring IV card is no afterthought; it is a carefully curated event designed to keep viewers trapped in a cycle of anticipation, drama and pure sporting chaos until the final ring-walk around 2am. Read on for the best bet for this event and the analysis in addition to the best betting offers to take full advantage of.
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Boxing betting tips: David Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde Predictions
Can Anthony Yarde Survive the Early Storm in Riyadh—or Is Benavidez Set to Explode Out of the Gate?
- Benavidez’s high-tempo approach relies on early pressure and constant forward momentum, making his opening rounds some of his most dangerous phases against challengers who prefer measured pacing.
- Yarde’s career shows that he performs strongly in bursts but has struggled to maintain defensive stability under prolonged fire, creating conditions where early attrition can turn quickly.
- Jesse Rodriguez’s run of finishing fights in the later rounds reflects the general pattern of pressure fighters overwhelming opponents—mirroring the way Benavidez breaks opponents down when his tempo ramps early.
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Benavidez’s pressure-heavy style forces opponents into uncomfortable exchanges from the opening bell, and Yarde’s past struggles under sustained aggression make the early rounds particularly dangerous. With the champion expected to impose pace and physicality immediately, a stoppage between rounds 1 and 6 offers strong strategic value at 7/2.
The headline act between David Benavidez and Anthony Yarde has understandably dominated pre-fight conversation. Benavidez step in still undefeated at 30-0, a fighter who has built his brand on suffocating pressure, volume punching and an almost industrial capacity to break opponents down. Yarde, meanwhile, has been here before—twice. He has pushed elite champions close only to fall short, and now he stare at the reality that this third world-title opportunity may be the last meaningful window of his career. That emotional edge gives this fight a dangerous unpredictability, even though the champion is the deserved favourite.
A night stacked with intriguing tests
What surrounds the main event is arguably just as compelling. Devin Haney and Brian Norman Jr meet in a welterweight showdown that is being marked by many insiders as a genuine coin toss. Haney’s reputation is built on technical sharpness and intelligent ring management, while Norman Jr walk in with a hunger that usually makes such matchups crackle. A victory for either man immediately shifts the power rankings at 147lbs, which tells you how much is riding on this one.
Further down the card, Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez defend his super-flyweight belts in a matchup that feels loaded with potential momentum swings. Rodriguez, with 25 wins and a tendency to crank up the pressure after the halfway mark, face Argentina’s Fernando Martinez, who bring enough grit to make the early rounds competitive. Whether he can absorb the usual ‘Bam’ surge, however, is another question.
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Then comes the lightweight battle between Abdullah Mason and Sam Noakes—two fighters with wildly contrasting styles. Mason moves with refinement and angles, but his knockdowns against Yohan Vasquez last year proved that pressure can rattle him. Noakes is tailor-made to test that weakness: forward, aggressive, and eager to drag classically styled fighters into physical chaos.
All this sits beneath Vito Mielnicki Jr versus Samuel Nmomah in a clash that completes a bill built around ambition, risk-taking and fighters attempting to convert potential into legacy.
Best Bet
Here at BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on clarity, not clutter. Instead of giving you a confusing menu of ten different angles, we deliver one carefully chosen tip per event—the selection we genuinely believe carries the strongest reasoning and the best balance between risk and reward. It keeps things simple, accountable and far more useful for long-term bettors who want quality, not quantity.
For this Riyadh card, our standout selection is:
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David Benavidez To Win In Round 1–6 at 7/2
The available information paints a clear picture of Benavidez as a fighter who thrive on relentless pressure, heavy volume and an intensity that is difficult to withstand once he hits his gear. His reputation is built on breaking opponents down with a pace that few can match, and despite stepping up to light-heavyweight, he has demonstrated that his engine and output remain elite-level. Against Yarde, those strengths become particularly relevant.
Yarde’s threat is obvious—he carries serious power and has fast hands—but his vulnerabilities are just as clear. The Brit is at his best when he can dictate the pace and unleash explosive bursts. The moment he is forced into exchanges he cannot control, his defensive gaps widen, his composure sometimes wavers, and fatigue becomes a factor. His earlier world-title defeats followed a similar pattern: competitive early passages that unraveled once the pressure surpassed his ability to reset.
Benavidez, by contrast, tends to accelerate through the opening rounds rather than coast. He does not generally give opponents the freedom to build their rhythm. If anything, his style is tailor-made to suffocate fighters who rely on timing and single-shot power—exactly the blueprint that tends to trouble Yarde.
The champion’s volume punching, tight defensive shell and heavy combination work—particularly those short-range flurries that shift momentum in an instant—suggest that Yarde will be required to defend far more than he is able to counter. And given that Benavidez has already shown a willingness to invest heavily to the head and body early, a mid-round collapse from the challenger becomes a realistic scenario.
What makes the 7/2 price compelling is that this is not an outlandish ask. It is a bet rooted in stylistic logic: Benavidez applies front-loaded pressure, Yarde historically fatigues under extended fire, and the champion’s chin and physicality mean he is comfortable walking through the early danger zones to impose his game. The first six rounds are exactly where these factors typically converge.
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