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The upcoming Premier League clash between Liverpool and Aston Villa promises high intensity and attacking flair, with both sides needing points for very different reasons. Liverpool are desperate to halt their domestic slump, while Unai Emery’s Villa arrive in superb form, looking to extend their impressive winning run.
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This Bet Builder brings together a mix of shot markets and goal-based selections, combining statistical consistency with tactical insight. Each leg is carefully reasoned, ensuring the blend of data, form, and player roles supports every pick.
Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Liverpool vs Aston Villa, which has been placed with Bet365:
Why this pick
Liverpool’s attack at Anfield remains fierce, but their high line has invited chances in every recent game. Villa arrive in scoring form under Emery, breaking quickly through Watkins, Rogers and McGinn. With both sides committed to front-foot football, clean sheets look unlikely and a trade of goals fits the tactical picture.
Why this pick
Gakpo’s movement into the half-spaces pairs well with Villa’s advanced full-backs. Liverpool’s wide service and cut-backs leave the Dutchman shooting from central areas, and his recent output has consistently forced saves rather than blocks. One effort on target is a fair expectation in a game that should produce volume.
Why this pick
Operating higher under Emery, McGinn times late arrivals into space Liverpool often leave when full-backs push. His willingness to strike from range and attack second phases makes at least one shot on target a strong angle, especially with Villa’s transitions targeting gaps between defence and midfield.
Why this pick
Rogers brings direct dribbling and quick releases, precisely the profile that troubles Liverpool’s right side. Given license to attack his full-back and shoot when lanes open, the winger’s recent form suggests he will work the goalkeeper at least once.
Why this pick
Salah remains Liverpool’s primary end-product. His inside runs against a high line routinely generate high-value looks, and his record at Anfield is relentless. Expect at least one purposeful effort to test Martínez from open play or set pieces.
Open game script: both teams to score, plus on-target efforts from Gakpo and Salah for Liverpool and McGinn and Rogers for Villa. Liverpool’s defensive risks and Villa’s sharp transitions provide multiple routes for shots and goals.
Liverpool vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
Both Teams to Score
Liverpool’s home record at Anfield remains intimidating, yet their defensive struggles have been impossible to ignore. Arne Slot’s side have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last ten matches across all competitions, conceding to teams such as Brentford and Crystal Palace. That pattern suggests their high defensive line continues to be exploited, particularly when opponents press aggressively or counter at speed.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, have scored in each of their last nine fixtures. Emery’s tactical fluidity has allowed them to transition seamlessly from defence to attack, often through quick interchanges between McGinn, Rogers and Watkins. They have been particularly efficient in exploiting wide spaces and second balls, areas where Liverpool have been vulnerable.
Given Liverpool’s attacking might at home – with Salah and Gakpo frequently among the shots on target – it’s difficult to imagine either team keeping a clean sheet. The data, form, and tactical outlook all point towards both teams finding the net.
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Cody Gakpo: 1+ Shots on Target
Cody Gakpo has been one of Liverpool’s few bright sparks in recent weeks. Whether deployed through the middle or cutting inside from the left, his direct approach and eye for goal make him a persistent threat. The Dutchman averages over one shot on target per game this season and has registered attempts in nearly every Premier League outing.
Facing Villa’s high defensive line could suit his style. With Unai Emery encouraging his full-backs to push forward, Gakpo’s movement into the half-spaces will be crucial. His ability to receive the ball on the turn and drive at goal often forces saves rather than blocks, making the shots-on-target market appealing.
Liverpool’s creative structure under Slot still allows for frequent delivery from wide areas, and Gakpo’s positioning near the penalty spot gives him a strong chance of testing Emi Martínez at least once during the game.
John McGinn: 1+ Shots on Target
John McGinn’s leadership and relentless energy have been central to Villa’s resurgence. Operating in a more advanced role under Emery, the Scottish international consistently finds himself arriving late into shooting positions. He has averaged around two shots per match during this winning run and remains one of Villa’s most direct midfield threats.
Liverpool’s midfield often leave gaps between the lines, particularly when their full-backs push forward. McGinn’s knack for timing his runs into these spaces provides opportunities for strikes from distance or inside the box. His strong shooting technique and confidence in both feet make him an excellent pick for a shot on target.
Expect McGinn to test the goalkeeper at least once, especially from set plays or second-phase attacks, where Liverpool have looked particularly disorganised.
Morgan Rogers: 1+ Shots on Target
Morgan Rogers’ recent emergence has added dynamism to Villa’s attack. The young winger thrives in one-on-one situations, driving towards goal and cutting inside to shoot. Emery has given him licence to be expressive, and his dribbling ability often leads to shooting opportunities, either from direct runs or rebounds.
Liverpool’s defence has shown vulnerability against pacy, unpredictable forwards. Rogers’ left-footed deliveries and quick decision-making could cause significant issues for the Reds’ right-hand side. Moreover, he’s been encouraged to shoot whenever space opens up, contributing to a consistent pattern of efforts on target in recent weeks.
With Villa expected to press high and break quickly, Rogers should see enough of the ball to register a shot on target.
Mohamed Salah: 1+ Shots on Target
Mohamed Salah’s consistency at Anfield is unmatched. The Egyptian is now just one goal or assist away from equalling Wayne Rooney’s record for the most Premier League goal contributions for a single club. He’s had a shot on target in nearly every league appearance this season and continues to be Liverpool’s primary attacking outlet.
Even with Liverpool struggling for form, Salah’s positioning and finishing instincts ensure constant involvement in goal attempts. His duel with Lucas Digne could be decisive; Salah’s ability to drift into central spaces and exploit defensive lapses often results in shots from high-value positions.
Given Villa’s high line and Salah’s track record at Anfield, at least one shot on target from the Liverpool talisman looks highly probable.
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