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Liverpool are in an uncomfortable spot, and that’s putting it politely. The champions’ Premier League form has nose-dived into something close to freefall, with six defeats in their last seven matches in all competitions and four league reverses on the spin. The awkward subplot is that another loss would push them towards an unwanted piece of history, the kind that gets thrown around on phone-ins all week. It’s been 72 years since they lost five straight top-flight games, and people in the city will be reminding each other of that number without smiling. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Mohamed Salah To Score Or Assist (Impact Sub Applies)
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Anfield energy and Liverpool’s firepower point to victory, yet Villa’s nine-game scoring run makes a clean sheet unlikely; home win with BTTS.
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High tempo at Anfield, Liverpool’s attack firing, Villa dangerous in transition; a chaotic contest settles 3–2 with pressure breaking resistance.
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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Predictions and Best Bets
- Liverpool’s BTTS streak underlines our angle: the Reds have seen both teams score in each of their last six league matches, mirroring their broader ten-game run without a clean sheet across all competitions.
- Aston Villa’s attack should not be underestimated: after failing to find the net in their opening four fixtures, Emery’s side have scored in nine consecutive matches, including last weekend’s decisive 1-0 win over Manchester City.
- Anfield remains a factor despite Liverpool’s wobble: only one of their last seven league defeats came at home, while Villa’s historical returns away to the reigning champions are bleak, pointing to a narrow home edge.
Are Anfield’s floodlights about to spark a dramatic gear change?
Yet Anfield under the lights is a different animal. Only one of those recent league setbacks has occurred on home turf, and that matters here because Aston Villa arrive as the division’s form side. Unai Emery’s team are buzzing, four league wins on the bounce and freshly buoyed by a statement 1-0 victory over Manchester City thanks to Matty Cash’s decisive moment. Villa stumbled in Europe against Go Ahead Eagles with a rotated side, but domestically they have discovered rhythm — they have scored in each of their last nine games after opening the campaign with four blanks. You could call that a turnaround; you could also say they have found their identity again.
The personnel picture colours the mood as well. Liverpool expect Ryan Gravenberch to be in the frame again after ankle issues, which at least gives Arne Slot another progressive option in midfield. Alisson Becker, Jeremie Frimpong and Giovanni Leoni are sidelined, while Alexander Isak and Curtis Jones are considered virtually out of this one. Amara Nallo is suspended, although he wouldn’t have started. Mohamed Salah is a single goal or assist away from equalling Wayne Rooney’s record of 276 goal contributions for one Premier League club, which rather raises the stakes for the Egyptian on a night when his team could use his knack for drama.
Villa’s absentees are significant in their own way. Harvey Elliott cannot face his parent club and would have missed out anyway based on last weekend. Emiliano Buendia picked up a foot problem against Manchester City, Youri Tielemans and Andres Garcia remain out, and there’s a call to be made in the wide forward slot with Jadon Sancho and Donyell Malen both pressing for inclusion. Still, Emery’s core is stable: Emiliano Martinez behind a back four of Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres and Lucas Digne, with Boubacar Kamara and Amadou Onana policing the centre, John McGinn knitting the attack together, Morgan Rogers offering angles between the lines and Ollie Watkins prowling up top.
Liverpool are likely to shape up with Mamardashvili in goal, Conor Bradley and Milos Kerkez at full-back, Ibrahima Konate and Virgil van Dijk centrally, Gravenberch alongside Dominik Szoboszlai, and an attacking quartet of Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekitike. That has goals written all over it and, frankly, a bit of volatility too. Which is pretty much the theme of the season so far.
Best Bet for this match: Liverpool to win and both teams to score
Here at BettingTips4You we keep things simple and accountable: one game, one pick, the standout angle we believe offers the best blend of probability and price. No scattergun. No hedging. Just our strongest view. For this Anfield clash, after weighing up form, availability and tactical tendencies, our ultimate prediction is Liverpool to win and both teams to score.
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Let’s address the elephant in the room first. Yes, Liverpool’s league form is grim. The line of defeats is long enough to choke the confidence of most sides. But not every loss looks the same, and the texture of their home performances differs from their away fade-outs. Only one of the recent league defeats came at Anfield, and even through the rough patch Liverpool are still creating opportunities. The glaring issue has been control in transition and the drop-off without Alisson. Those are not small problems, but they don’t wipe away the reality that Liverpool possess enough firepower to score here, probably more than once.
The data points lean into our angle. Both teams have scored in Liverpool’s last six Premier League matches, and Liverpool have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last ten across all competitions. If you’re looking for a shortcut to the character of their matches, there it is: chance-heavy, defensively leaky, but always with a goal threat. Slot’s set-up has been positioned on brave spacing and assertive ball progression; when it works, it’s exhilarating, and when it misfires, you can feel the gaps open under your feet. Against a Villa team who are thriving on confident forward runs and quick switches, we should anticipate more of that end-to-end flow.
Why not just back Villa then? Because the context nudges this towards a Liverpool response. Anfield’s psychology is not a fairy tale — it’s practical. The atmosphere can turbocharge intensity and accelerate waves of pressure. With Salah one contribution away from a historic milestone, with Gravenberch expected back to add a ball-carrying release valve, and with Wirtz and Gakpo supplying between-the-lines rotations, Liverpool’s structure should generate enough shots to tilt the balance. Hugo Ekitike’s movement across the front line provides a channel for vertical passes when Villa squeeze, and that is exactly where Emery’s high-defensive IQ still faces the occasional risk: a single pass into the pocket, a cut-back, and you’re picking it out of the net.
Villa are in terrific nick and deserve respect. Four straight league wins speak to organisation and self-belief, and that win over Manchester City was not accidental. Kamara and Onana set thresholds in midfield; McGinn is uncomfortably clever in half-spaces; Rogers can slide into pockets nobody else sees; Watkins is a menace if your defensive line loses synchronization for even a heartbeat. They’ve scored in nine consecutive matches, which tells you they will create something, even at Anfield. That’s precisely why the BTTS element is not a bolt-on here — it’s the foundation of the bet.
Discipline and selection matter too. Liverpool are without Alisson, and that naturally trims their floor in terms of shot-stopping margins. Konate has not been at his cleanest, and the full-back pairing of Bradley and Kerkez can be vulnerable when the ball turns over early. On Villa’s side, Buendia’s absence removes one thread of invention, and Elliott is ineligible, narrowing Emery’s creative choices. He still has Sancho or Malen to slot in, and both offer dribble-first options that challenge defensive posture. But if you line up Liverpool’s front four against Villa’s back line, the sheer volume of movements — Salah’s diagonal bursts, Wirtz’s third-man slides, Gakpo’s reception angles, Ekitike’s channel darts — feels like the heavier weight class at home.
There’s also that awkward historical layer printed into the preview notes: Villa have lost each of their last eleven Premier League matches away to the reigning champions and have won just one of their last thirty such trips. Even if we take those numbers with the standard pinch of salt — different seasons, different line-ups — they frame the mental picture of visiting a titleholder away. More recently, Villa have failed to win across their last seven visits to Anfield. We’re not tipping the bet because of old ghosts, but those patterns do support the thesis that Liverpool’s edge in this specific venue tends to be decisive.
Tactically, expect a high tempo. Slot won’t retreat at home; he as good as said he isn’t keen on ditching his principles. That likely equals aggressive spacing, early verticality, and a willingness to play through pressure even if it invites counters. Emery’s plan should involve laser-precise pressing triggers on Liverpool’s right, testing Bradley’s decision-making, and targeting the gaps behind Kerkez when Digne breaks. It’s an attractive exchange on paper and, honestly, it sounds like a goal-rich game.
“Liverpool’s firepower remains real, even in a wobble,” says Graham Hartshorn in our BettingTips4You.com expert quote. “If Villa’s form guarantees they land a punch, Anfield’s surge and Liverpool’s front unit suggest the Reds land two. Liverpool to win with BTTS is where the value converges.”
If you want a bolder line, you can make a serious case for over goals. Chelsea’s cup mayhem, Liverpool’s BTTS league run, Villa’s nine-game scoring streak: they all signpost a match state that breathes chances. But our single, premium-quality selection is clear. The BTTS element carries strong probability; the home edge and attacking cast tip the result.
Expected match pattern and correct score
Liverpool should try to set a frantic rhythm and push the full-backs high to pin Villa’s wide players, particularly Rogers and McGinn, while Wirtz attempts to knit midfield to attack in the inside-right corridor. Villa will absorb, then burst — Cash overlaps, Kamara covers, Onana compresses space, and Watkins drags centre-backs into running races they would rather avoid. The result? Momentum swings, yes, but the heavier count of big chances leaning towards the hosts.
A likely correct score is Liverpool 3-2 Aston Villa. That accounts for Liverpool’s attacking volume at home, Villa’s very compelling scoring form, and the known defensive variance in the champions’ recent run without Alisson. It will not be serene; it might be the full rollercoaster.
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