Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma predictions for their clash in the Brasileiro. Newly promoted Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma face off in Wednesday’s gameweek 10 match at Estadio Antonio Accioly. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
Brasileiro | Jun 19, 2024 at 11.00pm UK at Estadio Antonio Accioly
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Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma Predictions
Can Atletico Goianiense Capitalise on Criciuma’s Defensive Woes?
Key Stats
– Criciuma have conceded 14 goals in just seven matches, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
– Atletico Goianiense have scored 2 or more goals in six of their last ten home matches.
– Both teams have found the net in each of Criciuma’s last seven fixtures.
As the Brasileiro’s 10th gameweek approaches, Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma, both recently promoted, prepare to clash at Estadio Antonio Accioly. Both sides have faced challenges adjusting to the top flight, yet the home side appears marginally better positioned, sitting in 13th place with two wins, two draws, and five losses.
Current Form and Team Analysis
Atletico Goianiense
Atletico Goianiense’s journey in the Brasileiro has been a tale of resilience. Despite a rocky start with three consecutive losses, they have shown signs of recovery. Their recent form, including a two-game unbeaten streak, suggests a team finding its feet in the top division. Victories against Fluminense and Corinthians, coupled with a draw against the latter, have been pivotal in their ascent from the lower echelons of the table.
Key players such as Luiz Fernando and Mateo Zuleta have been instrumental, each contributing crucial goals. The team’s ability to score from various positions on the field, evidenced by goals from inside and outside the box, adds a layer of unpredictability to their attack.
Criciuma
Criciuma’s return to the Brasileiro after a decade has been less than stellar. Despite their capacity to score in every match, their defensive frailties have been glaring. Conceding 14 goals in just seven matches highlights the pressing need for a more robust defensive strategy. The absence of key players like Wilker Angel due to international duties and injuries to Felipe Vizeu and Felipe Mateus has further compounded their struggles.
Their offensive efforts have been led by Matheusinho and Fellipe Mateus, both of whom have shown a knack for finding the net. However, their defensive lapses, particularly in matches against Palmeiras and Cuiaba, where they conceded heavily, underscore the need for a tactical overhaul.
Expected Lineups
Atletico Goianiense: Ronaldo; Maguinho, Martins, Henrique, Cruz; Rhaldney, Kal, Baralhas; Shaylon, Rodriguez, Fernando
Criciuma: Alisson; Jonathan, Rodrigo, Figueiredo, Hermes; Ronald, Newton, Barreto, Matheusinho; Bolasie, Caike
The return of Guilherme Romao from suspension is a boost for Atletico Goianiense, while Criciuma will miss Gustavo due to suspension, forcing a reshuffle in their goalkeeping department.
Key Areas and Player Duels
This match is likely to be decided in the midfield, where Atletico’s trio of Rhaldney, Kal, and Baralhas will face off against Criciuma’s Ronald, Newton, and Barreto. The battle for possession and the ability to transition from defence to attack swiftly will be crucial. Additionally, the performance of wingers Luiz Fernando and Shaylon for Atletico, against Criciuma’s full-backs Jonathan and Hermes, will be a significant factor.
Gameplay and Strategy
Atletico Goianiense’s Strategy
Atletico are expected to adopt a balanced approach, focusing on maintaining possession and exploiting the wings through Fernando and Shaylon. Their recent form suggests they will look to press Criciuma high up the pitch, forcing errors and capitalising on set pieces.
Criciuma’s Strategy
Criciuma, on the other hand, will likely focus on a counter-attacking game, given their defensive vulnerabilities. Quick transitions and the pace of Bolasie could be their key to unlocking Atletico’s defence. They will need to tighten up defensively, especially against set pieces where they have been vulnerable.
Managerial Analysis
Jair Ventura
Jair Ventura has managed to stabilise Atletico after a turbulent start. His tactical adjustments and ability to motivate the squad have been commendable. However, his propensity to revert to defensive tactics under pressure has sometimes cost the team vital points.
Claudio Tencati
Claudio Tencati’s tenure at Criciuma has been challenging. While his attacking philosophy has seen the team score regularly, his inability to shore up the defence has been a significant drawback. He needs to find a balance between attack and defence to ensure the team can climb out of the relegation zone.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Atletico Goianiense
Strengths: Versatility in attack, ability to score from set pieces, recent unbeaten streak. Weaknesses: Occasional defensive lapses, inconsistency in maintaining leads.
Criciuma
Strengths: Consistent goal-scoring, pace on the counter-attack. Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, inability to keep clean sheets, reliance on key players.
Expected Goals Analysis
Atletico Goianiense have averaged 0.9 goals per game while conceding 1.3. Criciuma, meanwhile, have scored at an average of 1.7 goals per game but conceded 2. This disparity highlights Criciuma’s defensive issues and Atletico’s struggles in attack, suggesting a potentially open and high-scoring match.
Betting Angles and Trends
Given the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, markets such as Both Teams to Score (BTTS) and Over 2.5 Goals offer value. Atletico’s recent form at home and Criciuma’s away struggles also point towards a home win.
Predictions
Best Bet: Both Teams to Score
Considering both teams’ scoring form and defensive weaknesses, the best bet for this match is Both Teams to Score. Criciuma have found the net in every game, while Atletico have scored in their last few matches. This bet offers good value and aligns with the attacking stats of both sides.
Correct Score: Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Criciuma
A 2-1 victory for Atletico Goianiense is a plausible outcome. Their improved form and home advantage, combined with Criciuma’s defensive woes, support this prediction. Atletico are expected to edge out a win, but Criciuma’s ability to score ensures they will likely get on the scoreboard.
Goalscorer: Luiz Fernando
Luiz Fernando has been in fine form, contributing significantly to Atletico’s attack. His knack for finding the net, especially in crucial games, makes him a strong candidate to score in this fixture. His ability to exploit defensive lapses will be key.
Corner Prediction: Atletico Goianiense to Win More Corners
Atletico’s attacking style and higher number of shots per game suggest they will win more corners. Criciuma’s tendency to concede corners due to their defensive play supports this prediction. Expect Atletico to dominate in this aspect, especially at home.
Innovative Market: Total Cards Over 4.5
Given the competitive nature of the match and the disciplinary records, predicting over 4.5 total cards seems logical. Both teams have shown a propensity for picking up yellow cards, which will likely continue in this high-stakes encounter.
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