Newcastle vs Brighton Predictions

Newcastle vs Brighton predictions for this FA Cup clash. Newcastle face Brighton in the FA Cup quarter-finals at St James’ Park, aiming for a domestic cup double. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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FA Cup | Mar 2, 2025 at 1:45pm UK at St. James’ Park

Newcastle vs Brighton Predictions

Newcastle
Brighton
Can Newcastle’s Home Advantage Halt Brighton’s Surge?
  • Newcastle’s Defensive Issues Continue – The Magpies have conceded 11 goals in their last three Premier League matches, highlighting a significant vulnerability at the back.
  • Brighton’s Away Form is Impressive – The Seagulls have won four of their last five away matches, showcasing their ability to perform on the road.
  • Newcastle’s FA Cup Resilience at This Stage – The Magpies have won their last nine FA Cup fifth-round matches, underlining their pedigree in this competition.

Best Bet for Newcastle vs Brighton

Over 2.5 Goals
6/4 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Hull and Derby are both forced to chase victory, making a cagey game unlikely. With recent scoring improvements and high stakes, a goal-filled showdown feels not just possible — but probable.

The FA Cup quarter-finals bring a fascinating encounter at St James’ Park as Newcastle United host Brighton & Hove Albion. With a trip to Wembley at stake, both teams will be desperate to progress, and given their recent form, this could be one of the most evenly matched ties of the round.

Newcastle, already with one cup final on the horizon in the EFL Cup, will be hoping to make it a domestic double. However, their defensive vulnerabilities have been a growing concern, with Eddie Howe’s side conceding 11 goals in their last three league outings. Despite this, they have shown resilience at home, claiming important victories over Arsenal and Nottingham Forest.

Brighton, meanwhile, have found their rhythm again after a mid-season wobble, and their recent form suggests they will not be an easy opponent. The Seagulls have won four of their last five away matches and are brimming with confidence after their 2-1 triumph over Bournemouth in midweek. Moreover, they have already beaten Newcastle at St James’ Park this season, which will only add to their belief.

With both sides showing strengths in attack and weaknesses in defence, this promises to be an intriguing battle where momentum could swing either way.

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Best Bet for Newcastle United vs Brighton: Draw

At BettingTips4You, we don’t believe in overwhelming readers with multiple predictions. Instead, we focus on delivering the single best selection for each event, ensuring clarity and accountability. For this FA Cup clash, our standout pick is the draw.

This match has all the hallmarks of a tightly contested affair. Newcastle’s defensive issues have been well documented, and Brighton’s attacking form suggests they will exploit any lapses. However, Newcastle’s home advantage and the high stakes of the occasion mean they will not go down without a fight.

The Magpies’ frailties at the back were evident in their 3-2 win over Birmingham in the previous round, where they required a late Joe Willock strike to secure victory. Their defensive struggles have continued in the league, making it difficult to back them with full confidence.

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On the other hand, Brighton have been highly effective away from home, winning four of their last five on the road. Their front three of Welbeck, Joao Pedro, and Rutter have been in excellent form, and with Newcastle’s defence leaking goals, the Seagulls will fancy their chances of finding the net.

That said, while Brighton’s attack looks dangerous, they have their own defensive issues. Injuries to key defenders like Lewis Dunk and Joel Veltman mean they are far from solid at the back. This should allow Newcastle, even without Alexander Isak, to create chances.

A crucial factor is that both teams have already faced each other at St James’ Park this season, with Brighton winning 1-0. However, cup ties tend to be different affairs, and with Newcastle’s motivation at an all-time high, a repeat of that result seems unlikely. Instead, a closely fought draw appears the most plausible outcome.

“Newcastle’s defence has been far from convincing, while Brighton’s attack is in full flow. However, the Magpies’ home crowd and cup pedigree should prevent them from losing outright. A draw looks the most logical outcome in what should be a fascinating cup tie.”
BettingTips4You.com expert Gram Dodd

Likely Correct Score: Newcastle United 2-2 Brighton

A high-scoring draw seems like the most reasonable outcome given both teams’ tendencies to concede and score freely. Newcastle’s defensive struggles will allow Brighton to get on the scoresheet, but with the likes of Gordon and Wilson, the Magpies should be able to respond in kind. Expect a pulsating encounter that could potentially go beyond 90 minutes.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.