Paris Saint-Germain v HSC Montpellier predictions for Friday’s Ligue 1 affair at Parc des Princes. PSG, who have had a slow start of the season for their expectations, can move to the top of the table with a victory on Friday night. Read on for our free Ligue 1 predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Friday, 3rd November at 8:00 pm In:
PSG vs Montpellier Predictions
[wptb id="391282" not found ]PSG and Montpellier: The Battle at Parc des Princes
Key Stats
– Akor Adams has secured three braces for Montpellier this season.
– Historically, PSG have dominated Montpellier in their last nine meetings.
Paris Saint-Germain are hitting a purple patch, chasing their fifth straight win in all competitions as they gear up to play Montpellier HSC at the Parc des Princes. Having fended off a spirited Brest side, triumphing 3-2, Enrique’s team seems unstoppable. The PSG youth sensation, Warren Zaire-Emery, dazzled the crowd with an outstanding opening goal. With Brest being an early-season dark horse in Ligue 1, their resilience was showcased as they twice equalised, only to be bested by an Mbappe finish late into the match.
It’s clear that Enrique’s influence is guiding PSG. Even though they’re trailing Nice in the top spot by a solitary point, their formidable +14 goal difference stands out in the league. Notably, at home, PSG’s resilience is remarkable. They’ve emerged victorious in their last four home matches without conceding, while ensuring they hit the back of the net twice in each of their last six home games.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
BEST VALUE BET £20 Returns £32   Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Best Value Bet Rationale
Furthermore, PSG’s current form at the Parc des Princes is impeccable; they’ve emerged triumphant in their last four home matches, keeping clean sheets and registering at least two goals in each of their last six games in front of their fans. This trend, combined with the boosted BettingTips4You Expert Rating for top players like Mbappe and Hakimi, gives an indication of PSG’s dominance in attack.
On the other side, Montpellier managed a commanding 3-0 victory against Toulouse, highlighting their potential to find the net, but historically, they’ve been on the losing end against PSG in their recent nine encounters. Moreover, PSG’s slight defensive vulnerability, showcased in their last match against Brest, suggests that Montpellier could snatch a goal.
Considering all these factors, a Correct Score of PSG 3-1 seems like the best value bet for this game. This selection has been boosted from 9/1 to 10/1 by Bet365 at the time of writing (odds subject to change, T&C’s apply). Given both teams’ current form and historical data, this scoreline presents a well-reasoned bet for those seeking value.
Montpellier’s Mixed Bag
Montpellier, on the other hand, have been grappling with controversies. A shocking incident during their match against Clermont saw severe sanctions levied against them. But they didn’t let these off-field troubles deter them. Against Toulouse, they showcased their grit, especially with Nigerian star Akor Adams netting two goals in a 3-0 victory. Adams has been in stellar form, already bagging three braces this Ligue 1 season.
However, Montpellier’s overall form has been inconsistent. With only two wins in their last seven Ligue 1 encounters, they’re treading dangerously close to the relegation zone. Still, with three clean sheets in their recent four matches, Montpellier might just give PSG a challenge they’re not expecting.
Historically, the odds are against Montpellier. PSG have been the dominant side in their last nine meetings. The last time PSG didn’t score more than one goal against Montpellier was way back in 2017.
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Key Players & Expected Line-ups
For PSG, the absence of Marquinhos during their five-goal spectacle against Brest might have been a factor, but he might make a comeback this weekend. Enrique, however, will miss several key players like Nuno Mendes and Marco Asensio due to injuries.
Montpellier’s Joris Chotard faced a setback during their win against Toulouse. Still, indications suggest he’s recovered well. Der Zakarian, the Montpellier head coach, will be keen on playing his best XI, especially after their convincing victory over Toulouse.
Paris Saint-Germain Possible Starting XI: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Hernandez; Lee, Ugarte, Zaire-Emery; Dembele, Kolo Muani, Mbappe
Montpellier HSC Possible Starting XI: Lecomte; Sacko, Kouyate, Esteve, Sylla; Chotard, Ferri; Al-Tamari, Savanier, Fayad; Adams
Crunching The Numbers
PSG’s top performers this season, based on BettingTips4You Expert Rating, include Kylian Mbappé (8.14), Achraf Hakimi (7.69), and Marco Asensio (7.67). Their stats are impressive, with an average of 2.3 goals per match, a ball possession of 69.4%, and 16.5 shots per game.
Montpellier’s standout players include Mousa Al-Taamari with a rating of 7.55, Teji Savanier at 7.53, and Akor Adams at 7.30. Their season average stands at 1.7 goals per match, showcasing their attacking intent.
Predictions:
1. Match Outcome: Paris Saint-Germain to Win
Considering Paris Saint-Germain’s recent form and their performances, especially at the Parc des Princes, it’s hard to look beyond a win for them. They have managed to achieve victory in their last four home matches, not conceding even once, and with the prolific Kylian Mbappe in their ranks, they seem unstoppable. While Montpellier HSC have shown moments of resilience, particularly in defence, PSG’s attacking prowess might be too much for them to handle. Montpellier’s previous record against PSG also doesn’t inspire much confidence, with PSG dominating their recent head-to-head encounters. Taking into account both team’s form and history, PSG appear to be the more likely victors in this clash.
2. Correct Score Prediction: 3-1 in favour of Paris Saint-Germain
Given PSG’s recent track record of netting three goals in several of their matches, a 3-1 scoreline in their favour seems plausible. Montpellier, on their day, can be a threat going forward, especially with Akor Adams showcasing his goal-scoring touch. While Montpellier’s defence might have been able to prevent some goals from lesser teams, PSG’s frontline, spearheaded by the likes of Mbappe and Ousmane Dembélé, has the capability to breach the best of defences. Montpellier might nick a goal, possibly capitalising on any brief lapse in PSG’s defence, but PSG’s firepower should ensure they bag all three points.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Kylian Mbappé to Score
Kylian Mbappe has been in red-hot form, leading the scoring charts for PSG with 10 goals. His speed, dribbling ability, and clinical finishing make him a constant menace for opposing defences. Given Montpellier’s recent shaky performances at the back, it’s more than likely that Mbappe will find himself on the scoresheet. His recent exploits, like the rebound goal in the 89th minute against Brest, show that he is always lurking and ready to pounce. It would not be surprising to see him either initiate scoring or be the player to break a deadlock if the match is tight.
4. Corner Prediction: PSG to have more corners with a total of 10 corners in the game
Paris Saint-Germain’s aggressive attacking style, combined with their penchant for playing wide with players like Achraf Hakimi, often results in numerous corner opportunities. Given their average of 5.5 corners per match and considering the likely pressure they’ll exert on Montpellier, it’s conceivable they could force even more corners in this encounter. On the flip side, Montpellier might win a few corners themselves when they venture forward. Adding the potential corners from both sides, a total of around 10 corners during the match seems a reasonable expectation. Given the attacking dominance PSG are expected to have, they will likely edge Montpellier in the corner tally.
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