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West Ham vs Tottenham Hotspur predictions for this Premier League fixture. Tottenham play first match since Daniel Levy’s exit, hosting West Ham in a Premier League London derby on Saturday evening. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Premier League | Sep 13 2025 at 5:30 pm UK at London Stadium
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions
Can West Ham’s spark unsettle Spurs’ new order, or will efficiency win the day?
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- Bowen’s lane, Spurs’ leak
- West Ham are averaging 8.33 shots in the box, while Spurs are conceding 9.67 in the same zone. That combination screams repeat shooting opportunities for the hosts’ primary finisher.
- Chaos breeds chances
- Both sides rank high for allowing efforts in the box, with West Ham fourth-worst and Spurs second-worst. A stretched derby fuels transitions, which favours direct shooters like Bowen.
- Momentum meets fragility
- West Ham’s 3-0 away win at Nottingham Forest followed sharp chance creation, and Spurs have won only one of their three xG battles, indicating control issues that can present on-target looks.
Best Bet for West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Galatasaray/Draw Double Chance | |
6/5 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Galatasaray start fast, score freely at RAMS Park, and face a Liverpool defence allowing big chances. The double chance at 6/5 captures home momentum and covers a draw against late Reds pressure.
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Saturday night under the lights at the London Stadium, and you can feel the mood turning. West Ham United are suddenly walking a little taller after that three-goal statement at Nottingham Forest, while Tottenham Hotspur arrive with curiosity swirling around them and the noise of upheaval still ringing. It’s a London derby that carries more than just points: it’s pride, narrative, and a small dose of theatre after the international break ripped everyone out of rhythm.
Graham Potter’s side were purring late on at the City Ground, Jarrod Bowen grinning like a cat who’s just found the cream, Lucas Paquetá back doing Lucas Paquetá things, and Callum Wilson neatly reinforcing the point. Yes, the Hammers had taken a bruising before that, but momentum is a stubborn friend; once it shows up, it tends to hang around longer than the opposition like.
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Spurs, meanwhile, are still processing a club-level earthquake. Life after Daniel Levy is a sentence that looked like fiction for two decades, yet here they are, stepping on to the pitch without the figure who, for many, defined an era. They remain a team with contrasting readings: a powerful win at Manchester City hinted at a ruthless streak, and yet that flat 1-0 home slip against Bournemouth told a more awkward story. It’s early, but the data isn’t lying—Tottenham are allowing too many efforts in the box, and that is not the sort of habit you want to bring to Stratford when Bowen is in his groove.
Team news adds spice and a sprinkle of chaos. West Ham are adjusting with Niclas Füllkrug out of the picture for now, Wilson ready to take central billing, and the possibility of Crysencio Summerville being unleashed from the start if Potter decides to shift Bowen inside. Over in the away camp, Tottenham have glossy names to parade—Xavi Simons brings class and unpredictability, while Randal Kolo Muani is in the building but not primed to start. Some pillars are missing, of course: James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski won’t feature, and the likes of Radu Drăgușin and Kota Takai remain out of contention. It’s a long list. It usually is with Spurs at this time of year.
What we’re left with is a clash that feels open, human, and volatile. West Ham are not exactly watertight at the back, but their attacking production is lively. Tottenham have looked slick in phases, less so when asked to absorb. And in a derby, that blend normally translates into goalmouth activity and nervous drinks on 80 minutes.
Now, the main business.
Best Bet for this match: Jarrod Bowen 2+ Shots On Target at 5/2
Here at BettingTips4You we do things differently—and frankly, better. We don’t throw a dozen picks at you and pray something sticks. We provide one single prediction per match, the best of the lot, the selection we’d actually put our name next to. Quality, not quantity. That way you aren’t guessing which tip to trust, and we are totally accountable for profit and loss on every fixture. For this derby, the standout play is Jarrod Bowen to record 2 or more shots on target at 5/2. No fluff, no hedging—this is the one.
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The logic draws a straight line from the data to the grass. West Ham are among the most active teams inside the box in the early going, averaging 8.33 shots in the area per match, a figure that screams sustained presence in dangerous zones. Bowen is at the centre of that, not just because he scored at Forest, but because his role under Potter is deliberately elastic; he starts wide, darts inside, and pops up in the channel where Tottenham have looked most generous. And Tottenham, bless them, are conceding the second-most shots in the box so far at 9.67 per game. If you could sketch an opponent Bowen would fancy, it’s probably this version of Spurs: adventurous enough to push up, loose enough to leave gaps, and still gelling in key areas.
There’s more. Tottenham’s structure without certain creative anchors sometimes becomes a touch helter-skelter, and while they can slice through you on the break, they also invite waves when they lose their press. That’s when Bowen becomes your storm warning. His habit is to take early efforts, not wait for the perfect angle. With Paquetá threading through balls and Mateus Fernandes injecting legs from midfield, Bowen’s supply line looks plentiful. If Potter moves him central to accommodate Crysencio Summerville from the off—or even for a significant chunk of the match—those target-friendly chances multiply. And if Wilson starts through the middle, Bowen’s diagonal dart to the far post tends to yield the neat, low-percentage-to-save hit that keeps the keeper honest.
Yes, the Hammers’ balance isn’t flawless; they concede space of their own and have been fourth-worst for shots in the box allowed. But ironically, that actually helps this bet. An open game with transitions means Bowen will get repeat entries into the final third, not just sterile possession. The edge here is volume and shot quality on target, not goals per se. Two efforts on target from Bowen does not require West Ham dominance; it requires moments. He is built for moments.
The opposition picture helps as well. Tottenham’s back line is excellent at recovery running but can be made to turn, and when the ball-side full-back is caught high—Pedro Porro loves to roam—there’s real acreage for a left-to-right Bowen movement to be hit. Micky van de Ven’s pace rescues plenty, but a clean rescue doesn’t prevent a shot on target—it often merely narrows the angle. Remember too that Spurs have only won one of their three xG battles so far and sit on 4.14 xPTS, which suggests their control phase isn’t fully locked in yet. If they start fast, the Hammers counter. If they sit off, West Ham’s 8.33 shots in the box template kicks in. Either way, Bowen shoots.
I’ll be candid: 5/2 looks chunky for a player who is both form-relevant and role-central in a team that just won 3-0 away and is now playing at home against a defence that permits a high number of box entries. It’s the sort of price that makes you raise an eyebrow and then click “add to betslip” before someone notices. Even if Potter flips Bowen centrally for only part of the match—say, to squeeze in Summerville later on—you’re still getting a minutes-weighted position that leans towards more shots, not fewer.
Here’s our BettingTips4You.com expert quote to crystallise it. UK voice for a London derby? It has to be.
BettingTips4You.com expert quote — Graham Hartshorn:
“In fixtures like this, it’s not about romance, it’s about repeats. West Ham will generate enough box touches, and Bowen’s movement finds lanes. Two shots on target at 5/2 is simply mispriced.”
One last, slightly controversial aside: Tottenham’s midfield will win spells, because Rodrigo Bentancur and João Palhinha can stuff a centre circle like a pair of grumpy doormen. But even with that muscle, Spurs’ defensive numbers tell you they’ll allow looks. And Bowen, who thrives on first-time contact and quick releases, is not the forward you want to be giving looks to.
For scoreline purposes—and yes, I know this is where tempers flare—I lean towards a 2-2. West Ham are not the type to keep the door bolted for 90, and Spurs’ front line with Richarlison central and Mohammed Kudus floating between lines will create. But in an end-to-end contest, the profile that persists is Bowen hitting the target more than once. You don’t need him to score twice; you just need the keeper to feel sore wrists.
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