Werder Bremen vs St Pauli Predictions

Werder Bremen vs St Pauli predictions & tips for Saturday’s Bundesliga tie. The Bundesliga relegation battle may still be in its early chapters, but this fixture already has the feel of a six-pointer. Click here for all our free predictions and tips.

14:30 • Oct 4, 2025
Weser-Stadion
Werder Bremen crest
Werder Bremen
St Pauli crest
St Pauli
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Werder Bremen vs St Pauli — Predictions
Bundesliga • Oct 4, 2025 • 2:30pm UK • Weser-Stadion
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Total Picks2
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds 4/5

Over 2.5 Goals fits this matchup: Bremen leak chances and St Pauli attack boldly; shaky defending, 80 shots faced, plus improved visitors’ output, points to a game where resistance cracks repeatedly here.

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Correct Score: 2–2
Odds 11/2

Bremen’s openness meets St Pauli’s direct attacks; neither defence convinces. Momentum swings likely, making a goal-trading stalemate the fair outcome.

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Werder Bremen vs St Pauli Predictions and Best Bets

  • Werder Bremen’s defensive issues: The Green-Whites have allowed 80 shots in their first five Bundesliga matches, only Hamburg have faced more during this period.
  • St Pauli’s attacking improvement: With eight goals scored already, St Pauli have doubled their tally compared to the same stage of last season, showing greater potency in the final third.
  • Goals trend in Bremen’s matches: Four of Werder Bremen’s five Bundesliga games have seen three goals or more, underlining their tendency to get involved in high-scoring affairs.

Can Werder Bremen Finally Kick-Start Their Season Against St Pauli?

Werder Bremen are sitting perilously close to the drop zone with only four points to their name, and the mood at Weserstadion is tense after back-to-back defeats. The 4-0 humbling by Bayern Munich last time out only deepened concerns over a defence that has looked shaky from the very start of the campaign.

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On the other hand, St Pauli have had a mixed but lively return to life in the top division. They are ninth with seven points, yet recent performances have dipped after a promising start, losing their last two league games, including a 2-1 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. What makes this match fascinating is that both clubs are known for their attacking intent but neither has convinced when it comes to keeping clean sheets. It could be the sort of nervy, chaotic contest where every mistake is punished, and where the energy from the stands might push Bremen to either sink or swim.


Best Bet for This Match

Here at BettingTips4You we focus on one single bet per fixture, the selection we believe offers the sharpest edge and the clearest value. We don’t throw dozens of picks at you because we prefer quality over quantity, making accountability straightforward and ensuring readers know exactly what to back. For this encounter between Werder Bremen and St Pauli, our Best Bet is Over 2.5 Goals.


Rationale for the Prediction

The reasoning behind this call is clear. Werder Bremen’s backline has been alarmingly soft, conceding three or more goals in four of their five league fixtures. The departure of first-choice keeper Mio Backhaus through injury has made matters worse, with Karl Hein thrust into action under pressure. Defenders Karim Coulibaly and Marco Friedl have been tasked with organising a defence that has allowed 80 shots in just five Bundesliga games, the second-highest tally in the league.

At the same time, Bremen are not entirely toothless in attack. Marco Grull remains their focal point up front, and with Cameron Puertas providing support from midfield, the Green-Whites can still hurt opponents when given space. The issue is consistency—they tend to score in bursts, and when they do, they leave the back door wide open.

St Pauli’s numbers suggest an equally unpredictable side. They have scored eight goals already—double what they managed at the same stage last season. Andreas Hountondji and Mathias Pereira Lage give them presence and mobility in attack, and while they were frustrated against Leverkusen, they still carried a threat. Defensively, however, Blessin’s side continue to give chances away. They conceded twice against Stuttgart and three times against Frankfurt earlier in the campaign, and their clean sheet against Hamburg looks more like an outlier than a trend.

Put simply, neither team are built to keep things tight. Bremen have failed to win at home, and St Pauli are too adventurous to sit back. This all points towards a match where goals will flow at both ends.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten summarises:

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“You have two sides who defend nervously but play bravely going forward. When both managers trust attack more than defence, goals become inevitable.

The correct score prediction here is 2-2, as both sides have the offensive talent to exploit the defensive gaps, and neither looks capable of closing the door completely.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!