Vitoria vs Atletico GO Predictions

Vitoria vs Atletico GO Predictions for this Brazil Serie A affair. Newly-promoted Vitoria and Atletico Goianiense, both winless, face off at Estadio Manoel Barradas on Saturday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Brasileiro | Gameweek 7 – Jun 1, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Manoel Barradas

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Vitoria vs Atletico GO Predictions

Vitoria and Atletico Goianiense Battle for Crucial Points in Relegation Clash

Vitoria and Atletico Goianiense will meet at Estadio Manoel Barradas on Saturday in a crucial encounter for both sides seeking their first win in the Brasileiro Serie A this season. After a lengthy break due to catastrophic floods in the Rio Grande do Sul region, both teams are eager to get their campaigns back on track.

Vitoria’s Struggles in the Top Flight

Vitoria, returning to the top tier after a five-year absence, have found the going tough. Despite winning the second-tier title last season, they have secured only one point from their first five league matches. Since a 2-2 draw with Bahia in late April, they have suffered five consecutive defeats across all competitions, including a two-legged Copa do Brasil loss to Botafogo.

Under new manager Thiago Carpini, Vitoria have yet to show signs of improvement. They were recently knocked out of the Copa do Brasil following a 2-1 home defeat to Botafogo, leaving them in 18th place in the league standings, four points adrift of safety. This poor run has put immense pressure on Carpini and his squad to turn things around quickly.

Injuries have compounded their problems, with key players like Willian Oliveira, Everaldo, and Raul Caceres sidelined. Additionally, Camutanga’s suspension after a red card in their last league match means further defensive reshuffling. Veteran winger Osvaldo, who has scored six goals this term, might provide the necessary spark in attack, though he has not yet started many matches.

Atletico Goianiense’s Parallel Plight

Atletico Goianiense have had a similarly disappointing start, also with one draw and four losses from their first five league fixtures. Their most recent outing resulted in a 1-0 defeat to Cruzeiro. However, they have found some solace in the Copa do Brasil, advancing to the last 16 with a 5-2 aggregate win over Brusque.

Sitting 19th in the table, one place below Vitoria, Atletico are also in desperate need of points. Manager Jair Ventura will be missing key players like Gustavo Campanharo and Luiz Fernando, the latter serving a four-match ban. However, they have the experienced Vagner Love leading the line, supported by Shaylon and Gabriel Barros.

Tactical Battles and Key Duels

The midfield duel will be critical, with Vitoria’s Andrade and Dudu needing to outwork Atletico’s Rhaldney and Baralhas. Both teams will aim to control the tempo and transition quickly to exploit defensive weaknesses.

Defensively, Vitoria’s makeshift backline of Uvini and Leonardo must handle the threat posed by Vagner Love. Meanwhile, Atletico’s defence, marshalled by Vinicius and Romao, must remain vigilant against Osvaldo’s creative incursions and Iury’s physical presence up front.

Expected Gameplay and Strategies

Vitoria, playing at home, will likely adopt a more aggressive approach, pressing high and looking to dominate possession. They need to convert this pressure into goals, given their struggle to find the net consistently. Atletico, conversely, will probably sit deep, absorbing pressure and looking to counter-attack through quick transitions and exploiting any defensive lapses by Vitoria.

Areas for Improvement

Vitoria need to bolster their defensive solidity and reduce the frequency of costly errors, having conceded 11 goals in five matches. Enhancing their attacking efficiency is also crucial, as they have failed to convert numerous opportunities into goals.

Atletico Goianiense must improve their overall goal-scoring ability, having netted only twice in five matches. They need better cohesion in their attacking play and more creativity from midfield to support their forward line.

Managerial Critique

Thiago Carpini faces criticism for failing to galvanise Vitoria since taking charge. His tactical decisions have yet to yield positive results, and the fans’ unrest adds to his pressure. Conversely, Jair Ventura has managed to stabilise Atletico somewhat with a decent cup run, but his inability to secure league points is concerning.

Expected Goals Averages

Vitoria’s expected goals (xG) reflect their struggles in attack, averaging only one goal per game. Their defensive issues are also evident, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match. Atletico’s xG indicates a similar problem, with just 0.4 goals per game and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match.

Betting Angles and Predictions

1. Best Bet: Atletico Goianiense to Win Atletico’s recent cup form and Vitoria’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest an away win is plausible. Vitoria’s home advantage might not suffice to overcome their broader issues, making Atletico’s win a solid bet.
2. Correct Score Prediction: Vitoria 1-2 Atletico Goianiense Given both teams’ form and defensive frailties, a 2-1 victory for Atletico seems likely. This prediction aligns with the expectation of Vitoria’s continued struggles and Atletico’s ability to exploit their weaknesses.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Vagner Love to Score Anytime Vagner Love’s experience and goal-scoring ability make him a prime candidate to score. His presence in the attack and Atletico’s counter-attacking potential will likely see him find the net.
4. First Half Result Prediction: Draw Both teams are likely to start cautiously, leading to a draw at halftime. Neither side can afford to concede early, and the first half may see a more conservative approach.
5. Innovative Market Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5 Given the attacking styles and defensive issues, both teams are likely to earn several corners. Vitoria average 3.2 corners per game, and Atletico average 4.2, supporting a bet on over 9.5 corners.

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