Villarreal vs Real Madrid predictions for this La Liga clash. Real Madrid aim for 10th consecutive La Liga win against Villarreal at Estadio de la Ceramica on Sunday evening. Click here for all our free predictions and betting tips.
La Liga | Gameweek 37 – May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK at Estadio de la Ceramica
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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Predictions
Showdown at Estadio de la Ceramica: Villarreal’s European Dreams vs. Real Madrid’s Unstoppable Run
Key Stats
– Real Madrid have won their last nine La Liga matches.
– Villarreal have scored in each of their last 13 league games.
– Alexander Sorloth has netted 19 goals for Villarreal this season.
Real Madrid, fresh off being crowned La Liga champions, seek their tenth consecutive league victory as they travel to face Villarreal, who are chasing a European spot. The match at Estadio de la Ceramica promises to be a compelling encounter, with both teams motivated for different reasons.
Villarreal’s Quest for Europe
Villarreal’s season has been a tale of two halves. They struggled initially but have found form in 2024, positioning themselves for a potential seventh-place finish and a spot in the Conference League playoff round. Currently eighth, the Yellow Submarine are five points behind Real Betis, with two matches to overturn this deficit. They come into this fixture on the back of a 1-0 win over Girona, having won four of their last five league games.
The team has shown inconsistent home form, winning seven, drawing four, and losing seven of their 18 league matches at Estadio de la Ceramica. However, recent performances suggest a resurgence, with four victories in their last five home games and only one defeat in their last nine. Despite a lengthy injury list, including key players like Raul Albiol, Francis Coquelin, and Gerard Moreno, Villarreal have been resilient.
Real Madrid’s Dominance
Real Madrid, having secured the La Liga title on May 4, continue their impressive run with a series of dominant performances. They have booked a spot in the Champions League final and have recorded significant victories over Granada and Alaves. With 29 wins, six draws, and just one defeat from 36 matches, they have amassed 93 points, showcasing the league’s best attacking and defensive records.
Carlo Ancelotti has been rotating his squad to keep players fresh for the Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund. Despite this, they have continued to perform at a high level, aiming to extend their unbeaten run in La Liga to 31 games, a record that dates back to 1988-1989. Their previous encounter with Villarreal saw them triumph 4-1, and they will look to replicate that success.
Expected Lineups and Tactics
Villarreal:
Possible Starting XI: Jorgensen; Cuenca, Bailly, Mosquera, Terrats; Traore, Comesana, Parejo, Baena; Guedes, Sorloth
With key absentees, Villarreal are expected to field a makeshift defence, but their attack remains potent. Alexander Sorloth, with 19 league goals, will be crucial, supported by Goncalo Guedes and Bertrand Traore, who impressed against Girona.
Real Madrid:
Possible Starting XI: Lunin; Vazquez, Rudiger, Nacho, F Garcia; Ceballos, Camavinga, Modric; Guler; Brahim, Joselu
Ancelotti is likely to continue rotating his squad. Andriy Lunin might start in goal, with a mix of experienced and younger players featuring across the lineup. Luka Modric’s presence in midfield will provide stability, while Brahim Diaz and Joselu lead the attack.
Match Analysis
Key Battles and Tactical Insights
Midfield Duel: Parejo vs. Modric
The midfield battle between Dani Parejo and Luka Modric will be pivotal. Parejo’s ability to control the tempo and distribute effectively will be vital against Modric’s experience and creativity. This duel could determine which side dominates possession and creates more opportunities.
Villarreal’s Attacking Threat
Villarreal’s attack, led by Sorloth, is their primary weapon. Real Madrid’s defence, despite its solidity, will need to be cautious of the striker’s form and the support from Traore and Guedes. Villarreal’s recent scoring streak enhances their threat.
Real Madrid’s Versatile Attack
With a blend of youth and experience, Real Madrid’s attack is versatile. Joselu’s physical presence and Brahim Diaz’s agility can trouble Villarreal’s depleted defence. The wide play from Guler and support from midfield will be crucial in breaking down Villarreal.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Villarreal
Strengths:
- Recent form has been impressive, particularly at home.
- Strong attacking unit with Sorloth and Guedes in form.
- Tactical adaptability under Marcelino.
Weaknesses:
- Inconsistent home form throughout the season.
- Key injuries weakening defence and midfield.
- Dependence on Sorloth for goals.
Real Madrid
Strengths:
- Exceptional form with nine consecutive league wins.
- Balanced squad with depth and quality in all areas.
- Strong defensive record, conceding only 22 goals.
Weaknesses:
- Rotating squad might lack cohesion.
- Potential focus on upcoming Champions League final.
- Vulnerability in underestimating opponents.
Managerial Critique
Marcelino
Marcelino has revived Villarreal’s season with tactical astuteness, but his side’s inconsistency has been a drawback. The injuries have tested his squad’s depth, and while he has managed well, there are concerns about the team’s reliance on key players.
Carlo Ancelotti
Ancelotti’s success with Real Madrid is undeniable, but his rotational strategy ahead of the Champions League final poses risks. While he has kept the squad fresh, there is a danger of losing momentum or underestimating league fixtures. His ability to balance this will be crucial.
Expected Gameplay
Villarreal, needing a win, will likely play an attacking game, trying to exploit Real Madrid’s rotated defence. Real Madrid, even with a rotated squad, will aim to control possession and use their attacking depth to break down Villarreal’s defence. The match could see an open play with both sides having chances, but Real Madrid’s quality might edge the encounter.
Predictions
Best Bet: Both Teams to Score
Given Villarreal’s recent scoring form and Real Madrid’s attacking prowess, both teams finding the net seems likely. Villarreal have scored in their last 13 league games, and Real Madrid’s rotated defence might concede.
Correct Score Prediction: Villarreal 1-2 Real Madrid
Despite Villarreal’s strong form, Real Madrid’s overall quality should prevail. Expect a close game, but Real Madrid’s attacking options might secure a narrow victory.
Goalscorer Prediction: Alexander Sorloth
Sorloth, Villarreal’s top scorer with 19 goals, is in fine form and will be the main threat against Real Madrid. With Villarreal needing goals, Sorloth is likely to score.
Corner Prediction: Over 9.5 Corners
Both teams average a good number of corners per game (Villarreal 4.6, Real Madrid 5.7). An attacking game should see plenty of corners, making over 9.5 a strong bet.
Innovative Market Prediction: Player to be Carded – Dani Parejo
Parejo’s central role and the need to disrupt Real Madrid’s play could see him involved in physical duels. His likelihood of committing fouls makes him a candidate for a booking.
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