Verona vs AC Milan Predictions

Verona vs AC Milan predictions for this Serie A fixture. AC Milan visit Hellas Verona on Friday, aiming to strengthen their top-four hopes after slipping out of Serie A title contention, with both teams seeking vital points before the halfway mark. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Dec 20, 2024 at 7;45pm UK at Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi

Verona vs AC Milan Predictions

Can AC Milan Turn Their Struggles Around Against Hellas Verona?

• Verona’s Vulnerable Defence: The hosts have conceded in every one of their last 13 Serie A matches, averaging nearly three goals against per game at home.
• Milan’s Away Form Woes: The Rossoneri have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten away matches across all competitions, showcasing their fragility on the road.
• Leao’s Key Role: All three of Rafael Leao’s Serie A goals this season have come away from home, underlining his importance in Milan’s attacking set-up.

Our Tips

With their title ambitions all but extinguished, AC Milan head to the Stadio Bentegodi to take on a Hellas Verona side who are equally desperate for points. This Friday evening clash in Serie A carries significant weight for both sides, albeit for vastly different reasons. Milan are scrambling to salvage their season with a top-four finish, while Verona are fighting tooth and nail to steer clear of the relegation zone.

The Rossoneri find themselves languishing in eighth, a stark contrast to their lofty expectations. A frustrating goalless draw against Genoa last week encapsulated their inconsistency, leaving head coach Paulo Fonseca under increasing scrutiny. However, a recent uptick in their cup performances offers a glimmer of hope amidst the gloom. Verona, on the other hand, are buoyed by a thrilling 3-2 victory over Parma, a rare bright spot in a campaign fraught with defensive woes. Yet, their alarming habit of trailing for long spells in matches leaves little room for optimism against a Milan side desperate to capitalise on their superiority.

The stage is set for a tense encounter in Verona, with both teams carrying significant baggage into the tie. Can Milan finally find their stride, or will Verona channel the spirit of their historic moniker as ‘Fatal Verona’ to further derail the visitors’ season?

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Best Bet: AC Milan to Win and Both Teams to Score

AC Milan’s dominance over Hellas Verona in recent years is impossible to overlook. Seven consecutive victories, including their last three visits to the Stadio Bentegodi, paint a picture of superiority. However, the Rossoneri’s defensive frailties, particularly away from home, add an intriguing layer of complexity to this fixture.

Milan have struggled to maintain a consistent defensive structure, keeping just one clean sheet in their last ten away matches across all competitions. Despite this, they boast a potent attack led by Rafael Leao, who thrives away from San Siro. His ability to create and convert chances could be pivotal, especially against a Verona side that have conceded in their last 13 Serie A outings.

The hosts’ defensive record is, to put it mildly, shambolic. Averaging nearly three goals conceded per game at home, Verona are a side ripe for exploitation. However, they are not entirely toothless in attack. Daniel Mosquera’s impressive form as a super-sub and his recent contributions in the final third suggest that Verona could breach Milan’s vulnerable defence.

The blend of Verona’s defensive generosity and Milan’s attacking quality makes backing the visitors to win while both teams find the net a compelling choice. As Luca Pratesi of BettingTips4You.com aptly summarises: “Milan have the firepower to dismantle Verona, but their defensive lapses could easily allow the hosts a way in. It’s a recipe for goals on both sides.” With Milan’s superior record and Verona’s struggles, this bet strikes the perfect balance of value and likelihood.

Correct Score Prediction: Hellas Verona 1-3 AC Milan

Given the context of both teams’ recent form and inherent weaknesses, a 3-1 victory for AC Milan appears the most probable outcome. Milan’s record against Verona supports this projection, with two of their last three visits to the Stadio Bentegodi ending in 3-1 wins.

The Rossoneri’s inconsistency in defence means Verona are likely to score, especially with the likes of Mosquera and Tengstedt capable of exploiting moments of indecision. However, the home side’s inability to keep things tight at the back will likely see Milan rack up the goals, with Leao and his supporting cast enjoying ample opportunities to capitalise on Verona’s disarray.

In justifying this scoreline, Verona’s inability to build on leads – as evidenced by their 639 minutes spent trailing this season – aligns perfectly with Milan’s knack for taking control of matches against weaker opposition. This prediction also aligns seamlessly with the Best Bet, further reinforcing the expectation of a Milan win with goals from both sides.

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