Venezuela vs Uruguay Predictions

Venezuela vs Uruguay predictions, betting tips and match previews for their South American World Cup qualifying clash. Uruguay visit Venezuela for Tuesday’s 2026 World Cup qualifier. Despite Uruguay’s superior squad, Venezuela’s home advantage could make this a closely contested match. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Uruguay

World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Sep 11, 2024 at 1am UK at Estadio Monumental de Maturin

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Venezuela vs Uruguay Predictions

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SALOMON RONDON TO SCORE WITH A HEADER
14/1 (was 12/1)
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Can Venezuela’s Home Form Hold Off Uruguay’s Defensive Might?
  • Venezuela’s Impressive Home Defence: Venezuela have been a fortress at home in this World Cup qualifying campaign, collecting seven points from their three home games, all without conceding a goal. They’ve kept clean sheets against strong sides like Paraguay, Chile, and Ecuador, proving their resilience at home.
  • Uruguay’s Defensive Solidity: Uruguay have been rock-solid in defence during this qualifying campaign, conceding only five goals in seven matches. They have kept four consecutive clean sheets in their World Cup qualifying fixtures, a testament to their defensive organisation, despite the absence of key players.
  • Uruguay’s Struggles in Attack Without Key Players: Since the retirement of Luis Suarez and the suspension of Federico Valverde and Darwin Nunez, Uruguay’s attack has looked less threatening. In their last match, they managed only one shot on target against Paraguay, which ended in a 0-0 draw. This lack of firepower could hinder their chances against Venezuela.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Venezuela/Draw Double Chance @ 13/25
Reasoning
Venezuela's strong home form and Uruguay's key absences make a Venezuela/Draw Double Chance appealing. Uruguay’s struggles in attack and Venezuela’s solid defence suggest a low-scoring, closely contested match.
Odds subject to change
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Uruguay travel to Maturín to take on Venezuela in a crucial World Cup qualifier, with both teams looking to solidify their positions in the CONMEBOL standings. Venezuela sit fifth with nine points and are aiming to recover from a recent heavy defeat against Bolivia, while Uruguay are second, five points clear of their hosts, and keen to maintain their pursuit of Argentina at the top. The stakes are high for both teams, with Venezuela eager to keep their strong home form intact and Uruguay looking to adapt after the retirement of key players like Luis Suarez. Despite Venezuela’s recent defensive troubles, their unbeaten home record in this qualifying campaign makes them a formidable opponent, particularly on home soil.

Uruguay, on the other hand, are entering a new phase without the services of several key players due to suspensions and injuries. Their defensive resilience has been notable, keeping four consecutive clean sheets in World Cup qualifying. With both teams boasting some impressive statistics, this encounter promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. Will Venezuela’s home strength be enough to topple Uruguay, or will Uruguay’s solid form prevail? The outcome could come down to who makes the most of their chances in front of goal.

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For this fixture, the Venezuela/Draw Double Chance stands out as the best betting option. Venezuela have been formidable at home, collecting seven points from their three home matches in the current World Cup qualifying campaign, all without conceding a single goal. Given their strong form at home and Uruguay’s weakened squad, Venezuela have a realistic chance of at least securing a draw in this encounter.

Uruguay, despite being higher up in the standings, come into this game with significant absences. Key players such as Federico Valverde, Nahitan Nandez, and Darwin Nunez are all unavailable due to suspensions. Furthermore, the retirement of Luis Suarez leaves Uruguay without their most reliable goal-scorer, which has clearly impacted their attacking threat, as seen in their recent 0-0 draw with Paraguay. Although they remain defensively solid, the absence of these players could limit Uruguay’s ability to break down Venezuela’s defence, especially on the road.

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Venezuela, despite their recent 4-0 defeat to Bolivia, have demonstrated impressive form in their home matches. Their defence has been particularly solid, evidenced by their three clean sheets at home in qualifying. The likes of Salomón Rondón and Yeferson Soteldo will also provide a significant threat going forward, and given Uruguay’s defensive stability, this could be a low-scoring, tightly contested match.

Moreover, Uruguay have been prone to draws recently, with four of their last five matches ending in stalemates. This suggests that, while they remain difficult to beat, they are also struggling to find the cutting edge needed to secure victories. Venezuela, meanwhile, will be eager to bounce back from their disappointing result against Bolivia, and their home form suggests they are capable of frustrating Uruguay. With both teams likely to adopt cautious approaches, Venezuela’s ability to defend their home turf while also posing a threat in attack makes the double chance a solid betting option.

BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa agrees, noting: “With Uruguay missing key players and Venezuela boasting a strong home record, a double chance on Venezuela or draw represents excellent value. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair with Venezuela’s home strength giving them an edge in this encounter.

Correct Score Prediction: Venezuela 1-1 Uruguay

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In keeping with the prediction for the best bet, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome. Both sides have been defensively strong in recent matches, but they also possess enough attacking quality to find the back of the net. Venezuela’s solid defence at home, combined with Uruguay’s current struggles in attack due to missing key players, points towards a low-scoring draw.

Venezuela’s three clean sheets at home suggest that they are capable of limiting Uruguay’s chances. However, Uruguay’s defensive discipline, having kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, indicates that they will be tough to break down. While Venezuela will likely create opportunities through the likes of Soteldo and Rondón, Uruguay’s defensive organisation should prevent them from scoring more than once. Similarly, Uruguay have struggled to create clear-cut chances without Suarez, and with several other attackers unavailable, their goal-scoring potential appears limited.

Given these factors, a 1-1 draw seems like a reasonable conclusion, as both teams are likely to cancel each other out in a tense, tactical affair. Uruguay’s solid defence and Venezuela’s home form will likely lead to both teams scoring, but neither side is expected to dominate the other.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.