Venezia vs Palermo predictions ahead of this Serie B Promotion play-off semi-final. Venezia and Palermo continue their promotion bid in the second leg of their Serie B playoff semi-final on Friday night. Venezia’s 1-0 first-leg win gives them the advantage at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.
Serie B | 2nd Leg – May 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
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Venezia vs Palermo Predictions
Venezia and Palermo Set for Decisive Playoff Battle at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Key Stats
– Joel Pohjanpalo has scored 22 goals this season, making him a key player for Venezia.
– Venezia have won five of their last seven matches, demonstrating strong form.
– Palermo have only won two of their last 11 games, highlighting their recent struggles.
As Venezia prepare to host Palermo in the second leg of their Serie B playoff semi-final, the stakes are high for both teams. Venezia hold a slender advantage following a 1-0 victory in the first leg, but Palermo are far from out of the running. The stage is set for a thrilling encounter at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, with both teams eyeing a spot in the final and a chance at promotion to Serie A.
Match Preview
Venezia’s season has been marked by resilience and a strong finish to the campaign. Despite missing out on automatic promotion by a narrow margin, Paolo Vanoli’s squad has bounced back impressively. The first leg saw Nicholas Pierini score the decisive goal, highlighting his knack for crucial strikes. This win was Venezia’s fifth in their last seven matches, underscoring their excellent form.
Palermo, in contrast, have struggled with consistency. Despite winning their last two regular-season matches, their overall performance has been patchy. Under the relatively new management of Michele Mignani, who took charge in April, Palermo have shown flashes of potential but have often failed to deliver. Their inability to score in the first leg puts them at a disadvantage, but their capability to surprise should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis and Key Players
Venezia’s success has been built on a solid home record and an effective attacking unit. Joel Pohjanpalo has been their standout performer, netting 22 goals this season. His partnership with Nicholas Pierini, who has five goals, has been pivotal. Midfielders Tanner Tessmann and Gianluca Busio provide the creative spark, while the defence, led by Michael Svoboda and Jay Idzes, has been reliable.
For Palermo, Matteo Brunori stands out as their key player with 17 goals. His performance will be crucial if Palermo are to overturn the deficit. Supporting him are Jacopo Segre and Federico Di Francesco, who have contributed significantly in attack. Defensively, Fabio Lucioni and Pietro Ceccaroni will need to be at their best to contain Venezia’s potent forward line.
Tactical Dynamics and Gameplay
Venezia are expected to adopt a proactive approach, leveraging their home advantage and strong attacking record. They average 13.8 shots per game, with 4.4 on target, indicating their offensive intent. Vanoli’s side will likely control possession, aiming to exploit Palermo’s defensive weaknesses.
Palermo, needing at least two goals to advance, will likely focus on a high-pressing strategy, aiming to disrupt Venezia’s rhythm. Their counter-attacking ability, combined with Brunori’s finishing skills, could pose problems for Venezia. However, Palermo’s defensive frailties, highlighted by their 53 goals conceded, remain a concern.
Managerial Analysis
Paolo Vanoli has steered Venezia with a balanced approach, combining solid defence with effective attack. His ability to adapt tactics according to the situation has been commendable. In contrast, Michele Mignani’s short tenure at Palermo has been marked by inconsistency. While he has managed to stabilise the team to some extent, his tactical decisions have sometimes lacked clarity, leading to mixed results.
Expected Lineups and Commentary
Venezia Possible Starting Lineup: Joronen; Idzes, Sverko, Svoboda; Candela, Tessmann, Lella, Busio, Zampano; Pierini, Pohjanpalo
Commentary: Venezia are likely to stick with their successful formation, relying on the midfield strength of Tessmann and Busio to control the game. The forward duo of Pierini and Pohjanpalo will be crucial in breaking down Palermo’s defence.
Palermo Possible Starting Lineup: Desplanches; Graves, Marconi, Lucioni; Diakite, Gomes, Ranocchia, Segre, Di Mariano; Brunori, Soleri
Commentary: Palermo might opt for a more aggressive lineup, with Brunori and Soleri leading the attack. The midfield, led by Gomes and Segre, will need to support both offensively and defensively to bridge the gap from the first leg.
Key Areas and Player Duels
The midfield battle will be crucial, with Tessmann and Busio facing off against Gomes and Ranocchia. On the flanks, Diakite and Di Mariano’s duels with Candela and Zampano could be decisive in determining the flow of the game. Brunori’s ability to find space against Svoboda and Idzes will also be a critical factor.
Expected Goals Averages
Venezia have averaged 1.8 goals per game, reflecting their attacking efficiency. Palermo, with 1.6 goals per game, have also shown they can score but will need to improve their accuracy and decision-making in the final third.
Potential Betting Angles
Given Venezia’s strong home form and Palermo’s pressing need to attack, betting on both teams to score seems reasonable. Additionally, considering the average number of corners per game for both teams, betting on over 9.5 corners could be a viable option.
Predictions
- Best Bet: Draw A draw seems likely given the tight nature of playoff encounters. Venezia’s solid home form and Palermo’s need to attack will create a balanced game. Both teams are expected to score, but neither is likely to dominate completely.
- Correct Score: 1-1 Considering Venezia’s home advantage and defensive solidity, along with Palermo’s urgent need to score, a 1-1 draw appears probable. Venezia will likely score first, with Palermo equalising in their quest to stay in the tie.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Joel Pohjanpalo to Score Anytime Pohjanpalo’s scoring record makes him a prime candidate to find the net. His ability to capitalise on defensive errors and his excellent positioning will be key in breaking down Palermo’s defence.
- First Half Result: Venezia Leading Venezia have a strong record of starting games well, particularly at home. They are likely to take an early lead, leveraging their home crowd’s support and their attacking prowess.
- Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target for Venezia Over 5.5 Venezia’s attacking stats suggest they will have numerous opportunities. With an average of 4.4 shots on target per game, and considering Palermo’s defensive issues, it is likely Venezia will exceed this average in a crucial match.
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