Valladolid vs Mallorca Predictions

Valladolid vs Mallorca predictions for Friday’s La Liga fixture. Mallorca aim to extend their impressive start to the 2024-25 La Liga season as they travel to Estadio Jose Zorrilla to face Real Valladolid on Friday night. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Bundesliga | Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid vs Mallorca Predictions

Can Mallorca Continue Their Steady Climb Against a Struggling Valladolid?

• Valladolid’s Defensive Struggles: Valladolid have the worst defensive record in La Liga this season, conceding 15 goals in their first seven matches. Seven of these goals came in one match against Barcelona, highlighting their vulnerability against quality opposition but also their occasional capacity to tighten up against lower-ranked teams.
• Mallorca’s Defensive Prowess: Despite their modest attacking output of just six goals, Mallorca have conceded only five times in seven matches, giving them the joint-second best defensive record in the league. This solidity has been crucial to their early-season success, allowing them to remain competitive in low-scoring matches.
• Scoring Difficulties for Both Teams: Between them, Valladolid and Mallorca have managed just nine goals this season. Valladolid have fired blanks in four out of their seven matches, while Mallorca have only scored more than once on a single occasion. This lack of firepower suggests a tight, low-scoring encounter is on the cards.

Our Tips

The upcoming encounter between Real Valladolid and Mallorca at the Estadio José Zorrilla presents an intriguing clash of form and fortunes. Mallorca, currently riding high in fifth position, have amassed 11 points from their opening seven matches and will be looking to consolidate their strong start. In stark contrast, Valladolid are languishing in 18th place with only five points, a reflection of their early struggles in the campaign. As these two sides prepare to face off, there is a sense that this match could be pivotal for both, as Valladolid seek to arrest their slide while Mallorca aim to maintain their momentum.

The home side come into this match off the back of a disappointing 2-1 defeat against Sevilla, where they conceded a late goal that epitomised their frailties this season. Conceding 15 goals in just seven games, Valladolid’s defensive woes are evident, with the side struggling to keep opponents at bay. Their attack has been equally anaemic, with just three goals scored – the joint-lowest in the league. Such a poor record in both aspects of the game has left them desperate for a turnaround.

Mallorca, on the other hand, are enjoying a solid start to the season under Jagoba Arrasate. Their recent 2-1 victory over Real Betis, secured by a last-gasp winner from Valery, highlighted their resilience and ability to grind out results. While they’ve only scored six goals so far, their defence has been impressive, conceding just five times – a record bettered only by Barcelona and Real Madrid. This defensive solidity has been the cornerstone of their early success, making them a difficult side to break down. With both teams having clear areas of strength and weakness, this match promises to be a fascinating contest.

Best Bet: Draw and Both Teams to Score

Given the contrasting form and statistics of both teams, the most sensible bet for this encounter would be a draw with both teams finding the net. Despite Valladolid’s struggles, they have shown glimpses of attacking intent, especially in their home games. Conversely, Mallorca, while defensively sound, have not been prolific in front of goal, which could lead to a tightly contested match.

Valladolid’s defensive record this season has been the worst in the league, having conceded 15 goals already. However, it is worth noting that a significant portion of those goals came in a heavy defeat to Barcelona, which slightly skews the data. Excluding that match, their defence, while still porous, has been somewhat more stable, particularly in home games. They have managed to secure draws in their last two home fixtures, which suggests they are capable of putting up a fight, especially against teams outside the top echelons of La Liga.

On the attacking front, Valladolid have been toothless, with only three goals scored in seven matches. Yet, a closer look reveals they have been creating opportunities – their average of nine shots per game indicates they are getting into attacking positions but are lacking the finishing touch. If they can capitalise on these chances, particularly through players like Raúl Moro and Kike Pérez, they could pose problems for Mallorca.

Mallorca, by contrast, have built their success on a resolute defence, having only conceded five goals this season. However, they have not been entirely watertight, as evidenced by their 1-1 draw with Girona and the 2-1 defeat to Athletic Bilbao, where lapses in concentration were punished. Offensively, they have relied on a variety of sources for goals, with Dani Rodríguez and Cyle Larin expected to lead the line in this fixture.

The probability of both teams scoring is heightened by Valladolid’s need for points and Mallorca’s potential to exploit defensive frailties. BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa supports this view, stating: “With both teams struggling to score regularly yet being equally vulnerable at the back, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome. Valladolid are desperate to break their poor run, while Mallorca’s cautious approach will keep them from losing.” A score draw seems the logical outcome here, with both teams expected to find the net but neither likely to dominate proceedings.

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Given the analysis above, a 1-1 draw appears to be the most plausible scoreline. Real Valladolid’s defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Mallorca’s inability to score freely, suggest a low-scoring affair. Moreover, the hosts’ home form, where they have been more resolute, supports the likelihood of them notching at least a goal.

Valladolid, despite their low tally of three goals this season, have shown an ability to create chances, particularly through Raúl Moro and Ivan Sanchez, who will be key in this match. Their pressing need to find a result could see them adopt a more attacking approach, risking their already fragile defence but potentially yielding at least one goal.

Mallorca’s disciplined defensive shape and reliance on quick transitions make them a tough nut to crack. However, they have also struggled to score freely, with just six goals in seven matches. Their focus will likely be on maintaining their defensive shape while looking to exploit any openings on the counter-attack.

With both sides expected to be cautious and the fear of losing likely to outweigh the desire to push for a win, a 1-1 result seems a fair reflection of what to expect. Mallorca’s solid defensive structure will likely hold firm for most of the game, but Valladolid’s desperation for points could see them snatch a goal, making this a tight contest that ends all square.

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