Valencia vs Las Palmas Predictions

Valencia vs Las Palmas predictions for this La Liga tie. Valencia, hosting winless Las Palmas, are favourites. With both teams struggling, Valencia’s home advantage could be decisive. Las Palmas’ winless form makes a narrow Valencia victory likely. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Valencia
Las Palmas

Serie A | Oct 21, 2024 at 8pm UK at Stadio Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Las Palmas Predictions

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Can Valencia Edge Out Las Palmas in a Must-Win Relegation Battle?

Best Odds Boost for this Match
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  • Valencia’s goal drought continues: They have failed to score in their last three La Liga games, a run spanning over 300 minutes of football.
  • Las Palmas’ struggles on the road: The Islanders have lost all four of their away matches this season, conceding over two goals per game on average.
  • Valencia’s home dominance: Despite their poor overall form, Valencia have lost just one of their last 13 home games against Las Palmas in La Liga, winning nine.

Our Tips

West Ham to Win
11/10 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
West Ham are well-placed for a narrow victory, with solid home form and Bowen’s attacking influence set to challenge an Everton side struggling away. Dyche’s team lacks finishing consistency, deepening their road woes.
West Ham 2-0
10/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 2-0 win for West Ham is plausible, given their reliable home form and Everton’s scoring struggles on the road. West Ham’s solid defence and Everton’s inefficiency up front point to a controlled Hammers victory.

As La Liga rolls into another intense round of fixtures, Valencia face Las Palmas at the Mestalla in what can only be described as a relegation dogfight. Neither side has had much to cheer about this season, with both teams languishing at the foot of the table, battling for survival in a campaign that’s been nothing short of disastrous for each. The stakes are painfully high. Valencia, a club with a rich history, are facing the nightmare of relegation, while Las Palmas, yet to secure their first win of the season, are similarly on the ropes.

The last time these two sides met, it was Las Palmas who emerged victorious, but with Valencia’s notable home form and the potential return of a few key players, the dynamics of this encounter may favour the hosts. However, both teams come into the game struggling to find the back of the net, and a tight, tense affair seems to be on the cards.

Best Bet: Valencia to win and Under 2.5 Goals

Why should you back Valencia to win and under 2.5 goals? Well, for starters, neither side is exactly firing on all cylinders when it comes to scoring. Valencia’s goal drought is reaching worrying proportions – they haven’t scored in three straight La Liga matches. It’s been over 300 minutes since Dani Gomez’s strike against Girona gave them their last taste of victory. In fact, with just five goals scored across nine matches this season, Valencia have been toothless up front. So, even if they manage to eke out a win against a woefully underperforming Las Palmas, it’s unlikely to be a goal-fest.

On the other hand, Las Palmas have been slightly more productive in attack, with nine goals in as many games. However, their defensive issues have been crippling, having conceded a worrying 17 goals so far, leading to the sacking of manager Luis Carrion and the appointment of Diego Martinez. With Martinez now at the helm, expect Las Palmas to try and tighten things up defensively – especially since their last four away games have all ended in defeat, with an average of more than two goals conceded per game.

Valencia may not be the most free-scoring side, but their defence has shown signs of resilience at times. They’ve kept three clean sheets in their last four matches, and with their crisis mode in full swing, they’ll be desperate to scrape out a result here, likely focusing on keeping things tight at the back. “This game has all the signs of a low-scoring, cagey affair,” says BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa. “Valencia will do just enough to edge it, but with their misfiring attack, we don’t expect more than a goal or two in this game.”

Moreover, Valencia’s record at the Mestalla against Las Palmas is solid, having lost only one of their last 13 home games against the Islanders. The odds favour the hosts in this matchup, despite their struggles, and the data points towards a narrow win, probably by a single goal margin. Therefore, backing Valencia to win with under 2.5 goals looks like the best value bet here.

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Correct Score Prediction: Valencia 1-0 Las Palmas

Given the likely cautious approach from both teams and their underwhelming attacking records, predicting a 1-0 win for Valencia feels spot on. Las Palmas’ inability to keep things tight on the road, combined with Valencia’s own scoring issues, points to a single-goal victory for the home side. It’s a result that aligns perfectly with the “under 2.5 goals” bet as well.

Valencia, despite their poor form, have managed to keep things relatively tight defensively, especially at home. And with Las Palmas’ dismal away record – four straight defeats on their travels – it’s hard to see them suddenly finding the firepower to break through. Their top scorer, Alberto Moleiro, may pose some threat, but with Sandro Ramirez sidelined, Las Palmas are lacking the firepower to trouble a resolute Valencia defence.

Valencia’s forwards, particularly Hugo Duro, who may return from injury, will be keen to end the drought, but expecting them to run riot is overly optimistic. A grinding, pragmatic 1-0 win seems the most likely outcome, with Pepelu pulling the strings in midfield and Valencia just edging the encounter.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.