USA vs Mexico Predictions

USA vs Mexico predictions for Friday’s CONCACAF Nations League semi-final at Allegiant Stadium. Who will prevail between these two rivals? Read on for our free Nations League predictions and betting tips.

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Match Live Friday, 16th June at 3:00 am In:
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USA vs Mexico Predictions

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Clash of Titans in the Nations League Semi-finals

Key Stats
– USA have an unbeaten run of 17 home matches across all competitions.
– Mexico have tied three out of their last four games, with the last two encounters with USA ending in draws.
– The USA, with an average of 3.5 goals per game, leads in the competition, whilst Mexico scores an average of 2 goals per game.

As the Nations League Semi-finals beckon, the United States and Mexico prepare to square off in what promises to be a captivating encounter. The rivalry between these teams has consistently produced highly competitive matches, with seven out of the last nine meetings witnessing less than 2.5 goals scored. Both teams sailed through their Nations League groups, unbeaten, setting up a mouth-watering semi-final clash. The victors will face either Panama or Canada in the decisive final.

Mexico’s Tendency to Draw

Recent trends show Mexico with a propensity to draw, having tied three out of their last four games. Moreover, the last two encounters between these opponents concluded in stalemates after 90 minutes of play. With the teams cautious not to overcommit after an arduous season, another draw could be in the cards. However, diving deeper into the data may hint at a different story.

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USA’s Unbeaten Run

The USA holds an impressive record. They have not lost any of their last 17 home matches across all competitions. Additionally, they remained undefeated in 28 of their last 32 games, a testament to their solid performance. When it comes to CONCACAF Nations League, the USA has five straight home victories under their belt. They’ve conceded a meagre average of 0.50 goals per game, speaking volumes about their defensive capabilities.

The Mexican Challenge

Mexico, on the other hand, haven’t lost at halftime in their last 13 consecutive matches across all competitions. The team remains unbeaten in 35 of their last 39 encounters. They also have an average of six draws at halftime in their recent away matches. When it comes to conceding goals, Mexico’s performance is commendable, letting in an average of 0.75 goals per game across all competitions.

USA To Narrowly Edge It

In light of the above analysis, our main prediction is a win for the USA with both teams scoring. This stems from several key data points. The USA have exhibited a prolific attacking record, scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game, with 13 out of 14 goals coming from inside the box. Their offensive prowess is backed by a staggering average of 17.5 total shots per game, of which 8 are on target. Despite Mexico’s defensive solidity, the USA’s attacking firepower is likely to find the net.

Additionally, Mexico boasts an average of 2 goals per game with a substantial number of shots on target per game (6.3). Given the USA’s history of conceding half a goal per game, it’s plausible that Mexico could score.

Hence, we predict a thrilling 2-1 victory for the USA in the correct score market. The USA’s attacking statistics suggest they could score twice, whilst Mexico’s offensive potency hints at a consolation goal.

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£10 Returns £75

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.