USA vs Guatemala Predictions

USA vs Guatemala predictions for this CONCACAF Gold Cup. Hosts USA face underdogs Guatemala in Wednesday’s Gold Cup semi-final, needing one more win to reach the final. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Best Odds Boost for this Match
William hill
BRENDEN AARONSON TO SCORE, USA TO WIN, BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
6/1 (was 5/1)
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CONCACAF Gold Cup  | Jul 3 2025 at 12:00 am UK at Energizer Park

USA vs Guatemala Predictions

USA
Guatemala
Can Guatemala Keep the Dream Alive or Will the Hosts Crush Their Cinderella Run in St. Louis?
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USA VS GUATEMALA
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  • US are firing in front of goal
    • Ten goals in four Gold Cup matches show that this rotated squad is far from toothless — they’ve scored in every game so far.
  • Guatemala’s defence has cracks
    • They’ve let in five goals in their last three matches, including against 10-man Canada, highlighting a back line under strain.
  • Goals come in bunches for USA
    • The Americans have hit the net in both halves in three of their four Gold Cup games — they don’t wait around to turn it on.

Best Bet for USA vs Guatemala

USA to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
10/11 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
The United States are creating chances at will, and Guatemala’s defence looks too fragile under pressure. With attacking talent stepping up, expect a high-scoring win for the tournament hosts.

Wednesday night at the CONCACAF Gold Cup will have all the drama, pressure and unpredictability that you’d expect from a semi-final. The United States, hosting this year’s edition, will walk out at a packed stadium in St. Louis, with the national anthem still ringing in their ears and the weight of expectation squarely on their shoulders. Across from them stand Guatemala, the plucky underdogs who’ve battled their way to the last four, one dramatic penalty shootout at a time. It’s a match between a powerhouse in transition and a team riding the wave of belief, and don’t be surprised if nerves run high from the very first whistle.

The Americans have reached this stage more times than most can count – 17 out of 18, to be exact – but they’re not doing it the easy way this year. With a squad missing big names and their manager under pressure to deliver, this has felt less like a procession and more like a proving ground. Guatemala, meanwhile, are living out a footballing fairytale. They’ve never reached the final before and weren’t even widely tipped to survive their group. But here they are, still standing, fuelled by spirit, chaos, and just enough quality to keep things interesting. Now, can they go one step further?

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Best Bet for USA vs Guatemala: USA to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You.com, we don’t bombard you with a dozen “maybe” bets and hope one sticks. We put all our effort into picking one Best Bet per match, so our readers get clarity, value, and results. We believe in quality, not quantity, and with this fixture, we’ve found the bet that checks every box.

Our Best Bet for this semi-final is: USA to Win & Over 2.5 Goals. Here’s why that’s our top tip.


Let’s not dress this up too much: the United States are expected to win, and anything else would be a massive upset. But backing them to win outright offers very little value in the markets. Instead, combining their victory with a goal-heavy outcome provides the most rewarding and realistic angle, given how both teams have been playing.

Across their four Gold Cup games, the US have hit double digits in goals – ten in total – and they’ve found the net in every match so far. That attacking form has come even with a makeshift squad, thanks in part to the emergence of Malik Tillman and Patrick Agyemang, who have formed a dangerous pairing. Max Arfsten and Diego Luna have also been vital in creating chances, with both contributing three goal involvements. This team might not be full of household names, but they’ve gelled remarkably well when going forward.

Guatemala, for their part, are not without threat. Rubio Rubin has popped up at the right moments, Oscar Santis adds pace and unpredictability, and they’ve shown grit in coming from behind to beat Canada. But they’ve also conceded five goals in their last three matches and looked vulnerable when teams attacked with pace. That fragility is unlikely to hold up against a US side playing on home turf and with a ticket to the final dangling in front of them.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:

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“This isn’t just a story of talent versus tenacity — it’s about momentum, pressure, and goals. The USA are creating chances with ease, and Guatemala simply won’t contain them.Mark Wighan, BettingTips4You.com

Guatemala might score – they certainly have the players to do it – but they’ll struggle to keep the Stars and Stripes quiet for 90 minutes. Expect the US to control the tempo, make their pressure count, and book their place in Sunday’s final with a bit of flair along the way.


Correct Score Prediction: USA 4-1 Guatemala

As much as we all enjoy an underdog story, this one feels like it’s nearing its final chapter. The US have too much attacking quality, even with a reshuffled squad, and Guatemala have been living dangerously. A 4-1 scoreline seems likely — enough to reflect Guatemala’s threat, but still a clear show of superiority from the hosts.

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