USA vs Brazil predictions ahead of this international friendly. USA finalise Copa America preparations by hosting Brazil at Camping World Stadium, Florida, on Thursday. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.
Friendly | Jun 13, 2024 at 12am UK at Camping World Stadium
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USA vs Brazil Predictions
USA Brace for Brazil Test in Crucial Copa America Warm-Up
Key Stats
– USA have averaged 3.2 goals per game in recent competitions.
– Brazil have scored seven goals in three matches under Dorival Junior.
– Vinicius Junior is poised to return to the starting line-up, adding significant attacking threat.
As the USA prepare to host Brazil at Camping World Stadium in Florida, the stakes are high. This friendly match, serving as a crucial preparation ahead of the 2024 Copa America, pits the Stars and Stripes against the formidable Selecao. The encounter promises a blend of tactical battles and individual brilliance, setting the stage for an intriguing contest.
Match Preview
Gregg Berhalter’s tenure as the USA head coach began positively, with four wins in his first five matches. However, recent performances have been inconsistent, with the team suffering three defeats in their last five games, including a humbling 5-1 loss to Colombia. This result exposed significant defensive frailties and has raised questions about the team’s readiness for the upcoming Copa America.
Brazil, on the other hand, have shown resilience under new head coach Dorival Junior. After a series of disappointing results at the end of 2023, the Selecao have remained unbeaten in 2024, securing two wins and a draw in their last three games. Their recent 3-2 victory over Mexico, courtesy of a last-gasp goal from teenage sensation Endrick, highlighted their offensive prowess and fighting spirit.
Team News and Expected Line-ups
USA coach Berhalter is likely to field a strong line-up featuring players from Europe’s top leagues. Cameron Carter-Vickers might be recalled to strengthen the central defence, while Tyler Adams could return to the midfield after an injury-hit season. Christian Pulisic, aiming to move up the USA’s all-time top scorer list, is expected to play a pivotal role on the left wing. The probable starting eleven for the USA is:
USA possible starting lineup: Turner; Scully, Carter-Vickers, Ream, A. Robinson; McKennie, Adams, Reyna; Weah, Balogun, Pulisic
Brazil’s line-up may see the return of Real Madrid stars Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo, after their brief rest post-Champions League final. Andreas Pereira, fresh off his first international goal, might retain his place in the midfield, although competition from Lucas Paqueta and Bruno Guimaraes is strong. The Brazilian defence, likely to feature Marquinhos and Gabriel Magalhaes, will aim to provide stability. The expected line-up for Brazil is:
Brazil possible starting lineup: Alisson; Danilo, Militao, Bremer, Arana; Pereira, Guimaraes, Paqueta; Rodrygo, Evanilson, Vinicius Jr
Key Areas and Duels
Midfield control will be crucial in this match. The battle between Weston McKennie and Bruno Guimaraes will be pivotal, as both players are key to their teams’ ball progression and defensive solidity. In the attack, Vinicius Junior’s pace and dribbling will test the USA’s defensive resilience, particularly the full-backs, while Christian Pulisic’s creativity and goal threat will be vital for the hosts.
Gameplay Dynamics
The USA will likely adopt a proactive approach, seeking to control possession and press high up the pitch. Their 62.4% average ball possession in recent games reflects a team comfortable with the ball. However, defensive lapses, as evidenced by their recent matches, remain a concern. The USA average 14.8 tackles per game, and they will need to be sharp and disciplined to contain Brazil’s fluid attacking play.
Brazil, known for their attacking flair, will aim to exploit the USA’s defensive vulnerabilities. They average 11.2 shots per game, with 4.5 on target, indicating a potent offensive unit. Dorival Junior’s side will likely focus on quick transitions and utilising the wings, where Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo can stretch the USA defence.
Strengths and Weaknesses
USA: Strengths:
- Strong possession play and high pressing
- Talented attackers like Pulisic and Weah
Weaknesses:
- Defensive inconsistencies, especially under pressure
- Susceptibility to counter-attacks
Brazil: Strengths:
- Exceptional attacking talent and depth
- Solid passing accuracy and ball retention
Weaknesses:
- Occasional defensive lapses under high pressure
- Over-reliance on individual brilliance
Managerial Analysis
Gregg Berhalter’s management style has been questioned following the heavy defeat to Colombia. His tactical setup and player selections will be under scrutiny, and he needs a strong performance to silence critics. Dorival Junior, though new, has revitalised Brazil with his tactical flexibility and focus on youth, but his defensive strategies need refinement to ensure consistency.
Expected Goals Analysis
The USA have averaged 3.2 goals per game in recent competitions, highlighting their offensive potential. However, their defensive record, conceding 0.8 goals per game, shows room for improvement. Brazil’s average of 1.3 goals per game reflects their attacking efficiency, while their defensive record of 1.2 goals conceded per game indicates occasional vulnerabilities.
Betting Angles and Predictions
Given the detailed analysis, here are five key predictions for the match:
Best Bet: Brazil -2 to Win
Considering Brazil’s superior form and the USA’s defensive struggles, Brazil -2 seems a strong bet. Brazil’s attacking prowess, with players like Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo, should see them secure a comprehensive victory. The USA’s recent heavy defeat to Colombia also suggests they may struggle against high-calibre opposition.
Correct Score Prediction: USA 1-4 Brazil
Given Brazil’s attacking depth and the USA’s defensive vulnerabilities, a high-scoring match in favour of Brazil is likely. The Selecao’s ability to score multiple goals, combined with the USA’s propensity to concede, supports a 4-1 prediction. Brazil’s recent form under Dorival Junior and the USA’s inconsistencies further justify this scoreline.
Goalscorer Prediction: Vinicius Junior to Score Anytime
Vinicius Junior, with his pace and dribbling, poses a constant threat to any defence. His return to the starting line-up and recent form make him a prime candidate to score. Given the USA’s defensive lapses, Vinicius is expected to find the net at least once during the match.
First Half Result Prediction: Brazil Leading at Half Time
Brazil’s tendency to start games strongly, coupled with the USA’s recent slow starts, suggests that Brazil will be leading at the half. The Selecao’s attacking flair and the USA’s defensive uncertainties make this a plausible outcome.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target Over 10.5
Both teams have shown an inclination to take shots, with the USA averaging 7.6 shots on target per game and Brazil 4.5. This suggests a high number of goal attempts, especially given the stakes of this friendly. Combining their offensive tendencies, predicting over 10.5 shots on target for both teams appears justified.
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