Uruguay vs Peru Predictions

Uruguay vs Peru predictions for this World Cup qualifying clash. Uruguay host Peru in Montevideo on Thursday’s penultimate World Cup qualifying matchday, with Peru in last-chance territory needing victory to maintain hopes of reaching Qatar 2022. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

World Cup | Sep 5 2025 at 12:30 am UK at Montevideo, the capital city of Uruguay

Uruguay vs Peru Predictions

Could Uruguay’s struggles in front of goal give Peru a glimmer of hope in Montevideo?

• Peru’s barren away run
  • Peru have failed to score in all eight of their away qualifiers, drawing blanks against every side they have faced on the road.
• Uruguay’s goal drought
  • La Celeste have only managed to score in three of their last ten qualifying fixtures, showing a clear lack of attacking consistency.
• Low-scoring patterns
  • Nine of Uruguay’s last ten matches have ended under 3.5 goals, and Peru’s last six games have produced just three goals combined.

Best Bet for Uruguay vs Peru

The streets of Montevideo will come alive on Thursday night as Uruguay welcome Peru in what feels like a match between two sides standing at opposite ends of fate. Uruguay are basically one breath away from the World Cup – not mathematically secure, but almost impossible to imagine missing out now. For Peru, though, this is pure survival mode. If they don’t win, the dream is dead, simple as that. The issue? They haven’t managed a single goal away from home in this entire qualifying campaign. And now they need to break that curse in one of the hardest away trips on the continent.

There is drama in the air. Uruguay’s form has been poor in recent months, the goals have dried up, and Marcelo Bielsa has been juggling injuries and suspensions. Yet they showed against Venezuela that when it really matters, they can grind something out. Peru, on the other hand, look like a boxer staggering on the ropes – determined, but barely standing. Still, with everything on the line, sometimes desperation can spark the unexpected. Could they shock Montevideo? Or are we destined for a straightforward evening for La Celeste?

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Best Bet for this Match

Here at BettingTips4You we don’t bombard readers with endless options. We always deliver one carefully chosen prediction, and for this clash our Best Bet is: Uruguay to win and under 3.5 goals in the match.

This is the standout wager for a number of reasons. Uruguay, despite their attacking talent, have only scored in three of their ten qualifiers since the Copa America. They are far from prolific, and the absence of José Giménez at the back and Maximiliano Araujo on the flank still leaves gaps, but their defensive record at home remains solid. Against Venezuela they managed a clean sheet, and Santiago Mele may even keep his place in goal despite Sergio Rochet’s return.

Peru’s problems could fill a novel. Without Paolo Guerrero, Gianluca Lapadula and André Carrillo, they look toothless. Yoshimar Yotun, with eight goals in 128 caps, is their top scorer in the squad – and that says everything. They’ve played eight qualifiers on the road and failed to find the net in any of them. To make matters worse, Edison Flores and Alex Valera have both pulled out injured. It is hard to see where the goals are coming from.

Uruguay should have Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde back in the starting side, which gives them more dynamism, but Bielsa’s men are not in the mood to chase cricket scores. They want control, composure, and a safe passage to the finals. A narrow win is more than enough, and that is exactly how they will approach it.

BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa explained it well:

“Uruguay are practically through already, and their problem has been scoring freely. Peru have no cutting edge, so expect Uruguay to do just enough – a win without fireworks.”

Looking at the balance, a 2-0 home victory feels the most plausible outcome. It matches the narrative of Uruguay doing what is necessary without ever hitting top gear, and Peru extending their barren run away from home.

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