Uruguay vs Paraguay Predictions

Uruguay vs Paraguay predictions, betting tips and match previews ahead of this World Cup qualifying fixture. Uruguay face Paraguay at the Estadio Centenario on Saturday for matchday seven of their South American World Cup qualifying campaign, with both teams seeking vital points to boost their chances. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Sep 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK at Estadio Centenario

Uruguay vs Paraguay Predictions

Can Uruguay Deliver Another Dominant Display Against Paraguay?

• Uruguay have won their last three World Cup qualifiers, keeping a clean sheet in each.
• Paraguay have only scored one goal in six qualifying matches, averaging 0.2 goals per game.
• Uruguay’s defence has conceded just 0.8 goals per game in the qualifiers, showcasing their defensive solidity.

Best Bet

Uruguay return to the World Cup qualifying campaign this Saturday as they face Paraguay at the iconic Estadio Centenario. Currently sitting second in the South American standings with 13 points, Uruguay have been in formidable form under new manager Marcelo Bielsa. Meanwhile, Paraguay find themselves in seventh, struggling to climb the table with only five points so far. This encounter promises to be a defining moment for both teams as they look to gain crucial points in their respective campaigns.

Backing Uruguay with a -1 handicap in this fixture seems the most reliable choice. The hosts have showcased a commanding performance in both the Copa America and the World Cup qualifiers, and despite a few key suspensions, they still maintain significant depth and quality in their squad. In contrast, Paraguay have been woeful in recent performances, which includes crashing out in the group stages of the Copa America and accumulating a disappointing record of just one win in their six qualifying matches.

Uruguay’s recent success is built on a solid defence, allowing them to claim three clean sheets in their last three competitive matches. Under Bielsa, the team has been particularly effective at home, and with the likes of veteran Luis Suarez leading the line in his final international appearance, motivation will be high. While Uruguay may be missing Darwin Núñez and a few key defensive figures like Ronald Araujo, Bielsa’s system has brought out the best in the squad’s collective effort. Their defensive solidity coupled with their ability to create chances—2.8 big chances per game—suggests that a comfortable victory is within reach.

Paraguay, on the other hand, have managed just one goal in six qualifying games. They have failed to capitalise on attacking opportunities, as evidenced by their low goal-scoring record of 0.2 goals per game. Even with players like Antonio Sanabria and Miguel Almirón, Paraguay’s attack has been largely ineffective, with most of their efforts stymied by stronger defences. The Uruguayans, with a defensive record of 0.8 goals conceded per game, should have little difficulty containing their opponents.

The attacking prowess of Uruguay, combined with the confidence of playing at home, points towards a scenario where Uruguay should comfortably score at least two or three goals. This is further supported by the fact that Uruguay average 2.2 goals per game in the qualifiers, while Paraguay have conceded an average of 0.5 goals per match. It is difficult to envision Paraguay creating enough attacking threat to score, let alone avoid a significant defeat.

“Uruguay are clearly the stronger side both defensively and offensively, and with Suarez playing his final game, expect the hosts to dominate from start to finish,” says BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa. “Backing Uruguay with a -1 handicap offers excellent value, considering their current form and Paraguay’s struggles.”

Correct Score Prediction: Uruguay 3-0 Paraguay

With Uruguay expected to control the game, a 3-0 scoreline seems like a fitting outcome. Although the hosts will be without key attacking figures like Darwin Núñez, the experience of Suarez and the creativity of Pellistri and De la Cruz should provide enough firepower. Uruguay’s form in front of goal, alongside their impressive home performances, suggests that they will have little trouble finding the net multiple times against a Paraguay side that has been defensively vulnerable.

Moreover, Paraguay’s struggles in front of goal indicate that they are unlikely to break through Uruguay’s defence. Paraguay’s sole goal in this qualification campaign came from Antonio Sanabria, and with an average of 13 shots per game but only one goal to show for it, their lack of efficiency in front of goal is glaring. With Uruguay’s strong defensive setup and their ability to keep possession (49.3% on average), they should be able to suffocate Paraguay’s limited attacking threats.

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