Uruguay vs Bolivia Predictions

Uruguay vs Bolivia Predictions Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Previews. Uruguay, confident after their Group C opener, aim to continue their strong Copa America run against Bolivia on Friday. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.


Copa America | Group Stage – Jun 28, 2024 at 2am UK at MetLife Stadium

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Uruguay vs Bolivia Predictions

Can Uruguay Maintain Their Dominance Against Bolivia in Copa America?

Key Stats

– Uruguay have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game in the World Championship Qualifiers.

– Bolivia have failed to score in three of their last four matches.

– Darwin Nunez has scored five goals in his last six appearances for Uruguay.

As the Copa America continues, Uruguay are set to face Bolivia in a Group C fixture on Friday. Uruguay enter this match in excellent form, having secured a convincing 3-1 victory over Panama in their opening game. Goals from Maximiliano Araujo, Darwin Nunez, and Matias Vina propelled them to a dominant position before Panama managed to pull one back late in the game. This result is part of a broader trend of strong performances from Uruguay, who have lost only once in their last eight matches across all competitions, including notable victories against Brazil and Argentina.

Bolivia, on the other hand, have had a less auspicious start to their campaign. They were comprehensively beaten 2-0 by the United States in their opening fixture, a result that extended their poor run of form. Bolivia have now lost six of their last seven matches, struggling particularly in attack, where they have failed to score in three of their last four outings. Their defensive frailties were also evident against the USA, highlighting the challenges they face heading into the match against a formidable Uruguay side.


Tactical Analysis and Key Duels

Uruguay’s tactical approach under Marcelo Bielsa has been characterised by high pressing, quick transitions, and solid defensive organisation. Their 4-3-3 formation, which maximises the strengths of their attacking trio, is likely to be retained against Bolivia. Darwin Nunez, who has been in prolific form, will be the focal point of their attack, supported by the creativity of Federico Valverde and the dynamism of Facundo Pellistri. The defensive partnership of Mathias Olivera and Ronald Araujo provides a solid backbone, crucial for maintaining defensive stability.

Bolivia, managed by Antonio Carlos Zago, are expected to line up in a 5-4-1 formation, aiming to absorb pressure and hit on the counter-attack. Guillermo Viscarra will continue in goal, with the defensive unit of the Sagredo brothers, Jose and Jesus, alongside Jairo Quinteros, Carlos Haquin, and Roberto Fernandez. The midfield will be tasked with breaking up Uruguay’s play, while the lone forward, likely to be Carmelo Algaranaz, will be responsible for leading any counter-attacks.

Key duels in this match will include Darwin Nunez against Bolivia’s defensive line. Nunez’s pace and finishing ability will be a constant threat, and how Bolivia handle him could determine the outcome of the match. Additionally, the midfield battle between Uruguay’s Valverde and Bolivia’s Ramiro Vaca will be pivotal, with Valverde’s ability to dictate play likely to cause significant problems for Bolivia.

Expected Goals Analysis

Uruguay’s expected goals (xG) metrics have been impressive, reflecting their ability to create high-quality chances. Their average of 2.2 goals per game in World Championship Qualifiers underscores their attacking prowess. In contrast, Bolivia’s xG suggests a struggle to create and convert opportunities, with only 0.7 goals per game. This disparity highlights the challenges Bolivia will face in both defence and attack.



Best Bet: Uruguay -2 to Win

Uruguay enter this match as overwhelming favourites, given their impressive recent form and Bolivia’s ongoing struggles. In their opening Copa America fixture, Uruguay demonstrated their attacking prowess with a comprehensive 3-1 victory over Panama. Darwin Nunez, Maximiliano Araujo, and Matias Vina were all on the scoresheet, showcasing the team’s offensive capabilities. Meanwhile, Bolivia were defeated 2-0 by the USA, a result that highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities and lack of attacking threat.

With Uruguay having won five of their last eight matches and Bolivia losing six of their last seven, a -2 handicap in favour of Uruguay seems a prudent bet. Uruguay’s defensive solidity, combined with their potent attack, suggests they can comfortably secure a win by at least three goals, especially considering Bolivia’s difficulty in scoring and keeping clean sheets.

Correct Score Prediction: Uruguay 3-0 Bolivia

Predicting a 3-0 victory for Uruguay aligns with the team’s current form and Bolivia’s defensive issues. Uruguay’s attack, spearheaded by Darwin Nunez, has been in fine form, scoring multiple goals against strong opponents. Their recent matches include a 3-1 win over Panama and a solid 2-0 victory against Argentina, underscoring their ability to score against both strong and weaker defences.

Conversely, Bolivia have struggled defensively, conceding nine goals in their last four matches. Uruguay’s defensive record also supports this prediction, with several clean sheets in recent fixtures, including against top teams like Brazil. Thus, a 3-0 scoreline reflects Uruguay’s dominance and Bolivia’s struggles.

Goalscorer Prediction: Darwin Nunez to Score

Darwin Nunez has been in exceptional form for Uruguay, making him a prime candidate to score in this match. Nunez netted in Uruguay’s opening game against Panama and scored twice in their last encounter with Bolivia. His ability to find space and finish clinically will be crucial against a Bolivian defence that has shown significant weaknesses.

Nunez’s recent performances for both club and country highlight his sharpness in front of goal. Given Bolivia’s defensive frailties, Nunez is likely to have several scoring opportunities, and his current form suggests he will capitalise on these chances.

Which Team Will Score First: Uruguay

Uruguay are expected to start the match strongly, leveraging their superior quality and recent form to take the initiative early on. Their attacking trio, including Nunez, Valverde, and Pellistri, is likely to put Bolivia’s defence under immediate pressure. Uruguay’s strategy often involves high pressing and quick transitions, which can lead to early goals.

Bolivia, on the other hand, have been slow to start in recent matches, as seen in their 2-0 loss to the USA where they conceded early. Therefore, it is highly probable that Uruguay will open the scoring, setting the tone for a dominant performance.

Innovative Market Prediction: Over 6.5 Uruguay Shots on Target

Uruguay’s offensive metrics suggest they will have numerous attempts on goal throughout the match. In their recent fixtures, they have averaged a high number of shots on target, reflecting their attacking efficiency. Against Panama, they managed several shots on target, showcasing their ability to consistently test the goalkeeper.

Bolivia’s defensive record further supports this prediction; they have allowed numerous shots on goal in recent matches, including their loss to the USA. With Uruguay’s attacking talent and Bolivia’s defensive vulnerabilities, betting on over 6.5 shots on target for Uruguay is a strong prediction, likely to come through given the expected flow of the match.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.