Uruguay vs Bolivia Predictions

Uruguay vs Bolivia predictions for Tuesday night’s World Cup qualifier. Uruguay aims to maintain their strong World Cup qualifying performance as they host Bolivia in Montevideo hoping to follow up their impressive win over Argentina. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Uruguay vs Bolivia Predictions


Strategic Battle in Montevideo: In-Depth Analysis and Predictions

Key Stats
– Uruguay has scored 10 goals in their last 5 World Cup qualifying matches.
– Bolivia has a dismal away record, with no competitive qualifying win outside their home country in over 30 years.
– Darwin Núñez has been a key player for Uruguay, scoring crucial goals in recent victories.

In the upcoming World Cup qualifier, Uruguay is set to welcome Bolivia in Montevideo, aiming to continue their impressive run in the CONMEBOL qualifiers. This match presents an intriguing clash of styles and strategies, with Uruguay’s recent success pitted against Bolivia’s struggle for form, especially away from home.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match


£20 Returns £110

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Best Value Bet Rationale
In the upcoming World Cup qualifier between Uruguay and Bolivia, the standout betting option is Darwin Núñez to score 2 or more goals, currently boosted to 2/1 from its original 15/8 odds by Bet365. The rationale for this bet centres around Núñez’s recent form and Uruguay’s attacking prowess, particularly against a defensively vulnerable Bolivian side.

Núñez, with an average rating of 7.38, has been in scintillating form for Uruguay, especially in key qualifiers. His recent performances against top teams like Argentina and Brazil, where he scored crucial goals, exemplify his threat in front of goal. Against Argentina, a team known for its defensive solidity, Núñez managed to find the net twice, underlining his clinical finishing ability. Moreover, his goal conversion rate of 25%, coupled with an average of 2.4 shots per game, indicates a high likelihood of scoring when presented with opportunities.

Uruguay’s overall attacking metrics further support the likelihood of Núñez scoring multiple goals. They average 2 goals per game in the qualifiers, with a significant portion of their attacking play channelled through Núñez. Against Bolivia, a team with a poor away record and a history of conceding multiple goals in away fixtures, Uruguay’s attack, led by Núñez, is likely to have numerous scoring chances.
Considering Bolivia’s defensive struggles on the road and Uruguay’s confidence following victories over top South American teams, betting on Núñez to score 2 or more goals offers significant value. It’s important to note that odds are subject to change, and terms and conditions apply to this selection, which is currently boosted by Bet365 at the moment of writing.

Uruguay’s Ascendancy Under Bielsa

Guided by Marcelo Bielsa, Uruguay has experienced a resurgence, marked by their victories against giants Brazil and Argentina. Their attacking prowess, boasting 10 goals in the last five qualifiers, has been a highlight. Liverpool’s Darwin Núñez has emerged as a pivotal figure, scoring in crucial matches. Uruguay’s midfield dynamism, led by Federico Valverde, provides the perfect platform for their attacking intent.


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Bolivia’s Away Blues: Conversely, Bolivia’s away record paints a bleak picture. With just nine points from their last 66 away World Cup qualifiers, they face a daunting task in Montevideo. Their recent home victory over Peru might boost morale, but replicating such performances away from home has historically been a challenge.

Tactical Matchup: Uruguay, likely to dominate possession, will focus on breaking down Bolivia’s defensive setup. With Bolivia’s tendency to sit deep in away games, Uruguay’s ability to create in tight spaces will be crucial. The potential inclusion of Luis Suarez and Giorgian De Arrascaeta could add further creativity and goal threat for the hosts.

Key Area of Play: The midfield battle could be decisive, with Uruguay’s Valverde and Bolivia’s Ramiro Vaca playing key roles. The effectiveness of Uruguay’s midfield in creating chances against Bolivia’s compact setup will be crucial.

Strategic Outlook and Managerial Critique: While Bielsa has instilled a dynamic and attacking philosophy in Uruguay, questions remain about their defensive solidity against top-tier teams. Bolivia’s coach, Antonio Carlos Zago, faces criticism for the team’s lack of competitive edge away from home, with a clear need for strategic improvement.

Our Predictions:

  1. Win-Draw-Win Market – Uruguay to Win: Considering Uruguay’s strong form and Bolivia’s poor away record, a win for Uruguay seems the most likely outcome. The home side’s attacking strength, combined with Bolivia’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in away games, supports this prediction.
  2. Correct Score Prediction – Uruguay 3-0 Bolivia: Given Uruguay’s recent scoring form and Bolivia’s struggles on the road, a comfortable 3-0 victory for Uruguay is a reasonable expectation. Uruguay’s defence, coupled with Bolivia’s lack of away goals, suggests a clean sheet for the home side.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction – Darwin Núñez to Score: Darwin Núñez has been in fine form for Uruguay, finding the net in key matches. His recent performances make him a strong candidate to score at least once in this game.
  4. Corner Prediction – Total Corners Over 9: Uruguay’s attacking approach and Bolivia’s defensive strategy likely result in a higher number of corners, predominantly for Uruguay. Predicting over 9 total corners for the match seems justified based on the playing styles of both teams.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.