Union Berlin vs St Pauli Predictions

Union Berlin vs St Pauli Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews. Union Berlin welcome newly-promoted St Pauli to the Alte Försterei to kick off the Bundesliga weekend on Friday night. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Bundesliga | Aug 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin vs St Pauli Predictions

Can Union Berlin Outgun St Pauli in a High-Scoring Affair?

• Union Berlin averaged 15 shots per game in their opening match.
• St Pauli have not lost their opening two Bundesliga matches in any season.
• Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in four of the last five meetings between these two clubs.

Best Bet

Union Berlin and St Pauli clash at the Alte Försterei to open the Bundesliga weekend, with both teams looking to bounce back after less-than-ideal starts to the season. Union Berlin, under new management with Bo Svensson, managed a 1-1 draw against Mainz, while St Pauli’s return to the top flight was marred by a 2-0 home defeat to Heidenheim. With Union’s solid home record and St Pauli’s shaky start, this match promises intrigue as both teams seek their first win of the season.

The primary prediction for this fixture is that the match will feature over 3.5 goals. Both teams come into this game with points to prove, and this could lead to an open, high-scoring affair. Union Berlin, despite a slow start, have demonstrated attacking potential, notably through new signing László Bénes, who came off the bench to score in their opening game. This offensive edge will be critical against a St Pauli side that struggled defensively in their return to the Bundesliga.

Union Berlin’s statistics support the likelihood of a goal-filled match. They averaged 15 shots per game in their last match, with five of those on target, highlighting their capacity to create and convert chances. Their opponents, St Pauli, despite losing 2-0 to Heidenheim, managed 11 shots, three of which were on target. However, their inability to convert chances suggests defensive vulnerabilities that Union could exploit.

St Pauli’s defensive frailties were evident in their opening game, conceding twice despite controlling possession and creating more opportunities. Their backline, under new manager Alexander Blessin, is still adjusting to the rigours of Bundesliga football. With Union’s history of strong performances at home and their desire to capitalise on St Pauli’s current weaknesses, it is plausible to expect multiple goals in this encounter.

The previous encounters between these two teams further reinforce this prediction. Recent matches have typically been high-scoring, with both teams often finding the net multiple times. Union’s recent form against newly-promoted sides also suggests they are likely to be aggressive, especially on their home turf.

“Given the attacking intent shown by both teams, and their defensive uncertainties, a high-scoring match seems inevitable. With Union’s home advantage and St Pauli’s struggle to adapt to top-flight football, the stage is set for a goal-heavy encounter.” – BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten.

Additional Prediction

In addition to the goal-based prediction, another likely outcome for this match is that Union Berlin will win with both teams scoring. While Union Berlin have a strong home record, St Pauli’s ability to create chances, as evidenced by their xG of 1.2 in their opening match, suggests they are likely to find the back of the net, even if they struggle to contain Union’s attack.

Union Berlin’s defensive solidity may be in question, particularly with key defenders like Josip Juranovic and Kevin Vogt possibly sidelined due to injury. This opens the door for St Pauli to exploit any gaps, especially through players like Morgan Guilavogui, who had a decent xG in his first game for the club. However, Union’s attacking prowess, especially with the likes of Siebatcheu and Hollerbach leading the line, should be enough to see them secure a win, even if they do concede.

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