Turkey vs Wales Predictions

Turkey vs Wales predictions ahead of this Euro 2024 qualifier on Monday. Can the Welsh bounce back after their disappointing defeat to Armenia? Read on for our free betting tips and predictions. 

Match Live Monday, 19th June at 7:45 pm In:

Turkey vs Wales Predictions

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

From Disappointment to Resilience

Key Stats
– Turkey have scored twice in 11 of their last 12 internationals, demonstrating their consistent attack.
– Wales have conceded goals in 15 of their last 17 matches, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities.
– Both teams have created an average of 1.7 big chances per game, suggesting their ability to generate goal-scoring opportunities.

Turkey and Wales are set to battle it out in a crucial Euro 2024 qualifying match at Samsun Stadium on Monday, a matchup laden with anticipation and predictions. Turkey are looking to secure successive victories after an adrenaline-charged win against Latvia. On the other hand, Wales, helmed by Rob Page, aims to bounce back from a crushing 4-2 defeat by Armenia.

The State of Play: Turkey’s and Wales’ Journey So Far

Turkey’s dramatic victory against Latvia, thanks to a 95th-minute Irfan Can Kahveci goal, came on the heels of an equally exciting 99th-minute penalty scored by Burak Yilmaz in a previous World Cup qualifier. These last-gasp victories showcase Turkey’s resilience, propelling them to the top of Group D, overtaking group favourites Croatia. Despite their additional game played, Stefan Kuntz’s team is eager to continue their victorious streak against Wales.

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However, it’s not all rosy for Turkey. A 2-0 defeat to Croatia at home earlier in the year raises concerns. This loss, however, seems to have fuelled the Turkish team’s ambition to secure a victory against Wales.

Wales find itself in a peculiar situation. A rather uncharacteristic 4-2 loss to Armenia ended a 12-game unbeaten streak on home soil in the European Championship qualifying. This defeat is a far cry from their previous nine wins and three draws under boss Page. Despite the setback, Wales cannot afford to lose to Turkey, as this could mean falling behind by five points and putting their qualification hopes in jeopardy.

A Deep Dive into Teams’ Performance

Turkey’s recent form is impressive. They have managed to find the back of the net twice in 11 of their last 12 internationals, hinting at an effective offensive strategy. However, their defence is somewhat porous, having conceded goals in six of their last seven games. On average, they have netted 1.7 goals per game while conceding the same amount. These stats reflect a balanced attack and defence strategy, although they could improve their defensive solidity.

In contrast, Wales have found the net 1.3 times per game, and despite recent hiccups, they have demonstrated that they can indeed put up a fight. However, their defence has been a cause for concern, having conceded goals in 15 of their last 17 matches. Interestingly, both teams have a similar big chance per game rate, 1.7, pointing to their ability to create scoring opportunities.

Player Lineups and Tactics

Turkey’s captain, Hakan Calhanoglu, played for 90 minutes despite his recent Champions League stint with Inter Milan and is likely to retain his place in the lineup. Despite being the hero against Latvia, Kahveci might start on the bench, with Kerem Akturkoglu preferred. Cengiz Under, arguably Turkey’s best performer in qualifying, was among the goals on Friday and looks set to keep the right-wing berth.

Wales will have to cope with Kieffer Moore’s suspension, prompting a possible reshuffling of their attack. Brennan Johnson is a probable option to lead the line, while David Brooks, after his triumphant return from a health setback, could be in line for a start.

The William Hill Bet Builder Value

Having analysed the teams’ performances, I have picked a very interesting William Hill Bet Builder which is made of two selections, offering a return of odds at 11/1: Brennan Johnson To Score and Turkey to get at least one card in each half. Let’s take a look at why I suggest to back this: 

Brennan Johnson to Score

A critical component of this Bet Builder prediction focuses on Brennan Johnson, the potential starting central striker for Wales. Johnson’s imminent start is primarily due to Kieffer Moore’s dismissal for violent conduct in the preceding match. Despite being relatively new to the role, Johnson has showcased promising skills and talent scoring 8 goals for Forest in the last Premier League season. The youngster could turn out to be a surprise package for Wales against Turkey, given the Turks’ defensive issues.

Turkey’s defence has not been at its best, with their form seeing both teams score in six of their last seven games. Wales, who have conceded in 15 of their last 17 matches, will definitely look for scoring opportunities, and Johnson is likely to be their main man upfront. Therefore, the probability of Johnson finding the back of the net seems highly plausible.

Turkey to Receive At Least 1 Card in Each Half

Our analysis also predicts that Turkey might receive at least one card in each half of the game. Considering the statistics, Turkey averages two yellow cards per game so far in this campaign. The higher card count can be attributed to their aggressive style of play, with an average of 14.7 tackles per game and 11 fouls per game. Therefore, it’s not too far-fetched to anticipate a card for the Turkish team in each half, especially when tensions and stakes are high in a crucial Euro qualifier.

As far as the correct score is concerned, my suggestion is to back a 1-1 draw. Both have been conceding at approximately the same rate as they have been scoring, and neither side has been particularly dominant defensively so I do expect to see a balanced and nervy affair with both teams that absolutely need to avoid a defeat. 

£20 Returns £38

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.