Tromso vs Fredrikstad predictions for this Norwegian Eliteserien contest. Tromso IL, seeking to continue their upward trajectory, host Fredrikstad at Romssa Arena on Wednesday night in the Norwegian Eliteserien. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 19 – May 29, 2024 at 6pm UK at Alfheim Stadion
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Tromso vs Fredrikstad Predictions
Tromso IL Seek Redemption Against High-Flying Fredrikstad
Key Stats
– Fredrikstad are unbeaten in their last nine league matches.
– Tromso have conceded 17 goals in nine matches, averaging 1.9 goals per game.
– Morten Bjorlo has scored six goals in ten matches, making him one of the top scorers in the league.
Tromso IL are set to welcome Fredrikstad to Romssa Arena on Wednesday night in a Norwegian Eliteserien clash. Tromso are looking to continue their recent revival after a poor start to the season, while Fredrikstad aim to maintain their impressive form in their return to the top flight. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the upcoming match, including team news, tactical insights, and predictions based on the provided data.
Recent Form and Context
Tromso IL:
Tromso ended the 2023 season on a high, securing a spot in the Conference League by finishing third. However, their start to the current season has been dismal, with six consecutive losses dropping them to the bottom of the table. Despite this, Tromso have shown signs of improvement recently, losing only one of their last four matches. Their recent form at Romssa Arena has been particularly encouraging, with back-to-back wins against Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg, scoring seven goals and conceding just two.
Lasse Nordas has been a bright spot for Tromso, matching his best goalscoring season with two goals so far. His partnership with Ruben Yttergard Jenssen in midfield has been pivotal in their recent resurgence. The team managed to secure a goalless draw in their last match against Fredrikstad, indicating a solid defensive performance.
Fredrikstad:
Fredrikstad have enjoyed a dream start to their return to the Eliteserien after winning the Norwegian second division last year. They are currently unbeaten in nine league matches and have a 13-match unbeaten run across all competitions. Their last defeat came on the opening day of the season against Bodo/Glimt. Fredrikstad’s success has been driven by the goalscoring form of Morten Bjorlo, who has netted six times in ten matches, placing him among the league’s top scorers.
Under the guidance of head coach Mikkjal Thomassen, Fredrikstad have been impressive both at home and on the road, collecting 13 points from five away matches, the highest in the division. Their strong start sees them sitting second in the league standings, a remarkable achievement for a newly promoted side.
Team News and Expected Lineups
Tromso IL:
Tromso will be missing centre-back Miika Koskela due to a back injury. His absence will see Vetle Skjaervik and Anders Jenssen continuing in defence, possibly alongside Isak Kjelsrud Vik if Mamadou Barry remains sidelined. The team will need to shuffle their defence to cover these gaps, with youngster Vik likely to get a starting role.
Predicted Lineup:
- Haugaard
- Vik, A Jenssen, Skjaervik
- Paintsil, Hjerto-Dahl, R Jenssen, Antonsen, Norheim
- Erlien, Nordas
Fredrikstad:
Fredrikstad will be without Stian Stray Molde, who is suspended following a red card in the last match against Tromso. Mai Traore is also out due to a thigh injury. Despite these absences, Fredrikstad’s depth should allow them to field a competitive side.
Predicted Lineup:
- Fischer
- Skaret, Kvile, Woledzi
- Rafn, Magnusson, Metcalfe, Hendriksson, Kjaer, Bjorlo
- Sorlokk
Tactical Analysis and Key Areas
Tromso IL:
Tromso’s tactical setup is built around solid defensive organisation and quick transitions. They average 49.2% possession and focus on making the most of their opportunities with 12.7 shots per game. Defensively, they have been shaky, conceding 1.9 goals per game, but their recent home form shows improvement.
Key players like Ruben Yttergard Jenssen and Lasse Nordas will be crucial in midfield, providing stability and creativity. Tromso’s defence will need to remain compact and organised to handle Fredrikstad’s attacking threats.
Fredrikstad:
Fredrikstad have been exceptional in their pressing game and quick transitions. Despite averaging only 37.5% possession, they have been efficient, scoring 1.9 goals per game while conceding just 0.7. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by five clean sheets in ten matches.
Morten Bjorlo’s form will be vital for Fredrikstad, and their defensive trio of Skaret, Kvile, and Woledzi must remain solid to keep Tromso at bay. Fredrikstad’s ability to absorb pressure and counter-attack effectively will be key in this match.
Key Player Duels
Lasse Nordas vs. Fredrikstad Defence:
Nordas’s ability to find space and score will be a significant threat. Fredrikstad’s defenders, particularly Kvile and Woledzi, will need to be vigilant and disciplined to neutralise him.
Ruben Yttergard Jenssen vs. Morten Bjorlo:
The midfield battle between Jenssen and Bjorlo could decide the match. Jenssen’s role in controlling the game and providing defensive cover is crucial, while Bjorlo’s attacking prowess and goal-scoring ability make him a constant threat.
Gameplay Dynamics
Expect Tromso to try and control the midfield and break down Fredrikstad’s defence through patient build-up play. Their recent form at home suggests they will be confident and aggressive. Fredrikstad, on the other hand, will likely focus on their defensive organisation and quick counter-attacks, aiming to exploit any gaps left by Tromso.
Areas of Improvement
Tromso IL:
Tromso need to improve their defensive consistency and reduce the number of goals conceded. Enhancing their finishing efficiency would also help convert more of their chances into goals.
Fredrikstad:
Fredrikstad should focus on maintaining their defensive discipline while also improving their ball retention and control. Their reliance on counter-attacks is effective, but gaining more possession could provide additional scoring opportunities.
Managerial Analysis
Gard Holme (Tromso IL):
Holme faces the challenge of lifting Tromso from the bottom of the table. His tactical acumen and ability to motivate the team are crucial. However, he needs to address their defensive issues and ensure consistency in performances.
Mikkjal Thomassen (Fredrikstad):
Thomassen has done an excellent job with Fredrikstad, transforming them into a competitive side. His tactical flexibility and ability to maximise his players’ strengths are commendable. However, maintaining this momentum throughout the season will be his biggest test.
Predictions
Best Bet: Fredrikstad to Win
Fredrikstad’s form and defensive solidity make them strong contenders to secure a victory. Their ability to perform well on the road, coupled with Tromso’s inconsistency, suggests an away win is likely.
Correct Score Prediction: Tromso 1-2 Fredrikstad
Aligning with the best bet, a 2-1 win for Fredrikstad reflects their current form and Tromso’s defensive vulnerabilities. Fredrikstad’s efficient attack should see them score multiple goals, while Tromso’s recent improvements suggest they will find the net.
Goalscorer Prediction: Morten Bjorlo to Score
Bjorlo, with six goals already this season, is in excellent form. His ability to score from various positions makes him a strong candidate to find the net against Tromso’s defence.
First Team to Score: Fredrikstad
Given their form and efficient attack, Fredrikstad are likely to score first. Their quick counter-attacks and Tromso’s defensive lapses make this a probable outcome.
Innovative Market: Fredrikstad Over 4.5 Corners
Fredrikstad’s ability to generate attacking opportunities often results in corners. Betting on Fredrikstad to have over 4.5 corners is supported by their average of 4.4 corners per game and Tromso’s defensive susceptibility.
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