Toulouse vs Lyon Predictions

Toulouse FC v Olympique Lyonnais predictions for this Ligue 1 affair. Toulouse and Lyon, separated by two points, face off in Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse on Friday. Who will prevail? Read on for our free betting tips and match preview.


Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26 – Mar 15, 2024 at 8pm UK at Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

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Toulouse vs Lyon Predictions

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A Tense Affair at Stadium de Toulouse: Who Will Break the Deadlock?

Key Stats

– Toulouse and Lyon have drawn 12 games between them in Ligue 1 this season, highlighting their propensity for closely contested matches.

– Both teams have scored in six of Toulouse’s last eight matches, indicating a trend that could continue.

– Lyon has embarked on a four-match winning streak away from home, showcasing their strength on the road.

As Toulouse prepare to welcome Lyon to the Stadium de Toulouse, both teams find themselves separated by a mere two points in the Ligue 1 standings. This encounter promises to be a critical juncture in their respective seasons, with Lyon inching into the top half following a commendable 2-0 victory over Lorient, while Toulouse narrowly trails after a setback against Le Havre.

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Team Analysis

Toulouse’s Resilience at Home

Toulouse, under the guidance of Carles Martinez Novell, has exhibited a commendable level of resilience, especially on their home turf. Despite a recent stumble that ended their three-match winning streak in Ligue 1, they remain unbeaten in their last three fixtures at the Stadium de Toulouse. The team’s ability to bounce back from early deficits, demonstrated in their previous Ligue 1 encounters, will be vital. However, their inability to find the net against Le Havre raises concerns about their attacking potency.

Lyon’s Away Prowess

Conversely, Lyon, led by Pierre Sage, has shown remarkable strength in away fixtures, boasting four consecutive victories on the road across all competitions. Their recent 2-0 win over Lorient not only underscored their attacking flair but also highlighted a newfound defensive solidity. Lyon’s capacity to secure points, even in the absence of their talisman Alexandre Lacazette, speaks volumes about their squad depth and tactical flexibility.


Expected Lineups and Tactical Implications

Toulouse is likely to field a lineup that emphasizes attacking versatility, with Thijs Dallinga spearheading their offensive efforts. The potential absences of Zakaria Aboukhlal and Denis Genreau due to injuries could limit their creative options. Lyon, on the other hand, is expected to rely on the formidable trio of Fofana, Balde, and Benrahma, to exploit Toulouse’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Toulouse Expected Lineup:

Restes; Mawissa, Costa, Keben; Kamanzi, Spierings, Sierro, Suazo; Magri, Gboho; Dallinga

Lyon Expected Lineup:

Lopes; Mata, O’Brien, Caleta-Car, Tagliafico; Caqueret, Diawara, Tolisso; Fofana, Balde, Benrahma

The configurations hint at a tactical battle that leans heavily on midfield dominance and quick transitions, with both teams boasting the personnel to alter the course of the game through individual brilliance or tactical adjustments.

Analytical Insights

The Decisive Factors

A crucial area of the match will undoubtedly be the midfield, where Toulouse’s Spierings and Sierro will lock horns with Lyon’s Caqueret and Tolisso. The ability of these midfield units to control the tempo and dictate play will be instrumental in swinging the match in their favour. Furthermore, the duel between Toulouse’s forward, Dallinga, and Lyon’s defensive stalwart, Caleta-Car, could very well decide the outcome of this tightly contested affair.

Both teams exhibit glaring contrasts in their approach; Toulouse’s recent form at home presents a formidable challenge for Lyon, who have found their rhythm away from home. The clash, therefore, sets the stage for a strategic showdown, with both managers aiming to exploit the slightest of margins.

Opportunities for Improvement

Toulouse must address their recent attacking drought, with a particular emphasis on converting their chances into goals. Lyon, while showing defensive improvements, still harbours vulnerabilities that Toulouse’s dynamic attackers could exploit. Criticism falls on Lyon’s Pierre Sage for his side’s inconsistency, particularly in utilising their offensive assets to their full potential.


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Best Bet: Draw and Both Teams to Score

The closely matched nature of both teams, coupled with their recent forms, suggests that a draw is a highly plausible outcome. Toulouse’s solid home record, combined with Lyon’s resilience on the road, sets the stage for an evenly contested match. Both teams possess the attacking prowess to find the back of the net, making a score draw the most compelling wager.

Correct Score: 1-1

Considering the defensive lapses and attacking opportunities both teams have exhibited, a 1-1 draw is a logical outcome. This prediction aligns with the anticipated tight contest and reflects both teams’ recent performances and scoring patterns.

Goalscorer Prediction: Thijs Dallinga to Score

Thijs Dallinga’s role as Toulouse’s leading marksman, coupled with his track record this season, positions him as a prime candidate to score. Despite Lyon’s improved defence, Dallinga’s ability to exploit gaps and his clinical finishing make him a significant threat.

First Team to Score: Lyon

Lyon’s tendency to start matches on the front foot, especially in away fixtures, suggests they could open the scoring. Their ability to capitalise on early opportunities, combined with Toulouse’s occasional slow starts, tilts the odds in favour of Les Gones striking first.

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Emmanuel Nwankwo
Born and bred in the heart of Yorkshire, Emmanuel Nwankwo has been a passionate voice in the world of football writing. Over the last 7 years, he's contributed his insights and analyses to various online publications, diving deep into the intricacies of the game he loves so dearly. Despite the allure of the Premier League, Emmanuel's heart truly belongs to Huddersfield Town Football Club, where his love for football was kindled. With every match, he relives the nostalgia of cheering from the terraces of the John Smith's Stadium. His dedication to the sport is evident in every piece he crafts, drawing readers into the world of football and sharing the passion that defines him.