Toulouse vs Benfica Predictions

Toulouse vs Benfica predictions ahead of this Europa League playoff clash. Benfica, holding a slender lead, aims to seal their Europa League playoff victory against Toulouse in France during Thursday’s second leg match. Read on for our free Europa League betting tips and match preview.


Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg – Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK at Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse vs Benfica Predictions

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A Tactical Duel Under the Lights: Toulouse vs Benfica’s European Ambitions

Key Stats
Benfica’s Away Form: Unbeaten in their last seven away matches, highlighting their resilience on the road.
Toulouse’s Home Woes: Without a win in their last six home fixtures, indicating a need for drastic improvement.
Di Maria’s Influence: Directly involved in crucial goals for Benfica, underscoring his importance to the team’s European ambitions.

In the picturesque setting of Stadium Municipal, an enthralling encounter awaits as Toulouse and Benfica prepare to lock horns in the return leg of their Europa League playoff. The first leg saw Benfica secure a narrow 2-1 advantage, thanks to Angel Di Maria’s clinical execution from the penalty spot. This finely balanced tie sets the stage for a tactical showdown, with both teams vying for a spot in the last 16. This analysis delves into the strategic nuances, key battles, and individual brilliance that could tip the scales in this closely contested affair.


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The Context

Toulouse’s journey to this point has been marked by resilience and tenacity. Their home form, despite recent stumbles, includes a historic victory over Liverpool, demonstrating their capability to rise to the occasion. However, their recent inability to keep clean sheets and a tendency for inconsistency at home presents a challenge they must overcome.

Benfica, on the other hand, have been formidable, especially in the attacking third. Their recent domestic form, highlighted by a 6-1 thrashing of Vizela, underscores their lethal efficiency in front of goal. With the first-leg advantage, the Portuguese champions are well-positioned but must navigate the complexities of an away fixture in Europe.

Tactical Analysis

Key Areas of the Battle

The midfield tussle will be pivotal, where Toulouse’s ability to control the tempo and disrupt Benfica’s rhythm could be decisive. Players like Stijn Spierings and Rasmus Nicolaisen will have the dual task of anchoring the midfield while initiating attacks. Their counterparts, Fredrik Aursnes and Orkun Kokcu, boast a blend of defensive solidity and creative prowess, making this a critical battleground.

Individual Duels

The flanks will witness intriguing matchups, with Toulouse’s wing-backs, particularly Mikkel Desler, needing to balance their attacking inclinations with the defensive responsibility of containing Benfica’s wide men, such as Rafa Silva and David Neres. These duels could significantly influence the game’s dynamics, offering both teams avenues for breakthroughs.

Expected Lineups and Implications

Toulouse’s Expected Lineup: Restes; Costa, Nicolaisen, Diarra; Desler, Spierings, Sierro, Suazo; Donnum, Dallinga, Gboho.

Benfica’s Expected Lineup: Trubin; Aursnes, Silva, Otamendi, Carreras; Neves, Kokcu; Di Maria, Rafa, Neres; Cabral.

Toulouse’s setup suggests a blend of defensive resilience and attacking ambition, with wing-backs playing a crucial role in providing width and defensive coverage. Benfica’s formation, featuring a solid midfield trio and dynamic attackers, is designed to exploit spaces and press high, indicating their intent to control the game and seek away goals.

Opinionated Insights

For Toulouse

The French side’s recent home form is a concern, and a more aggressive, high-pressing approach could unsettle Benfica’s possession-based game. However, this strategy risks exposing them to counter-attacks, a domain where Benfica excels. Martinez’s tactical acumen will be tested, and his ability to adapt mid-game could be the difference between progression and elimination.

For Benfica

Schmidt’s Benfica have shown versatility and tactical intelligence, but their away form in Europe remains untested against a side with Toulouse’s potential. Prioritising control and measured aggression over outright attack may serve them well, leveraging their first-leg advantage without becoming complacent.

Managerial Critique

While Schmidt’s management of Benfica’s resources has been commendable, Carles Martinez faces scrutiny. His challenge will be to inspire a performance that not only neutralises Benfica’s attack but also carves out scoring opportunities. His decisions, particularly in managing the game’s tempo and making timely substitutions, could be pivotal.


  1. Market Prediction: Both Teams to Score – Given Toulouse’s offensive needs and Benfica’s attacking form, it’s plausible both teams will find the net. Toulouse’s desperation to overturn the deficit and Benfica’s counter-attacking threat lend credibility to this prediction.
  2. Correct Score Prediction: Toulouse 1-2 Benfica – This scoreline reflects the balance of play, where Toulouse’s efforts to attack leave them vulnerable to Benfica’s clinical forwards. Benfica’s proficiency in front of goal and Toulouse’s defensive lapses contribute to this predicted outcome.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction: Angel Di Maria – Di Maria’s form, evidenced by his decisive penalties in the first leg, positions him as a likely candidate to score. His experience and composure under pressure make him a pivotal figure for Benfica in crucial moments.
  4. First Half Result: Draw – Anticipating a cautious start from both sides, with Toulouse probing and Benfica content to absorb pressure, a draw at half-time seems a likely scenario. Both teams will be keen to avoid early setbacks, leading to a tightly contested first half.
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Emmanuel Nwankwo
Born and bred in the heart of Yorkshire, Emmanuel Nwankwo has been a passionate voice in the world of football writing. Over the last 7 years, he's contributed his insights and analyses to various online publications, diving deep into the intricacies of the game he loves so dearly. Despite the allure of the Premier League, Emmanuel's heart truly belongs to Huddersfield Town Football Club, where his love for football was kindled. With every match, he relives the nostalgia of cheering from the terraces of the John Smith's Stadium. His dedication to the sport is evident in every piece he crafts, drawing readers into the world of football and sharing the passion that defines him.