Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley predictions for this Premier League clash. Ange Postecoglou’s team, having lost their last four games, hosts Burnley with their Champions League hopes in jeopardy. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Premier League | Gameweek 37 – May 11, 2024 at 3:00pm UK at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
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Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley Predictions
Key Stats
– Tottenham have scored in all but one of their home matches this season.
– Both teams have scored in eight of Burnley’s last nine games.
– Tottenham have won their last two home meetings against Burnley, scoring a total of six goals.
Clash of Necessities: Spurs’ European Hopes Meet Burnley’s Survival Bid
As Tottenham Hotspur look to salvage their European aspirations, a home fixture against a struggling Burnley offers a prime opportunity to rectify their recent skid in form. This analysis will explore the tactical nuances, player matchups, and key dynamics shaping this critical Premier League encounter.
Tactical Dynamics and Expected Lineups
Tottenham Hotspur’s Approach: Under Ange Postecoglou, Tottenham have shown a preference for aggressive, forward-thinking football. Despite a spate of recent losses, their attacking setup—led by Heung-min Son and potentially a rejuvenated Richarlison—promises a significant threat against Burnley’s fragile defence. Tottenham’s midfield, possibly bolstered by the return of James Maddison, will be crucial in orchestrating attacks and maintaining pressure.
Expected Tottenham Lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Guglielmo Vicario
- Defence: Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven
- Midfield: James Maddison, Giovani Lo Celso, Pape Matar Sarr
- Attack: Heung-min Son, Richarlison, Dejan Kulusevski
Burnley’s Counter Strategy: Burnley’s visit to London comes with the cloud of relegation hanging over their heads. Expected to adopt a defensive stance, they might look to exploit Tottenham’s recent defensive vulnerabilities through counter-attacks, using the pace and directness of players like Zeki Amdouni.
Expected Burnley Lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Arijanet Murić
- Defence: Dara O’Shea, Jordan Beyer, Charlie Taylor
- Midfield: Josh Brownhill, Sander Berge
- Attack: Zeki Amdouni, David Datro Fofana, Lyle Foster
Key Areas and Match Deciders
The midfield clash between Tottenham’s Maddison and Burnley’s Brownhill will be pivotal in determining the flow of the game. Tottenham’s ability to control the game through possession and swift transitions could overwhelm Burnley’s midfield, which has struggled to impose itself in recent matches.
Defensively, Tottenham’s makeshift backline will need to be wary of Burnley’s counter-attacking threat, especially given their propensity to concede goals due to defensive lapses. Burnley’s attack, while not prolific, has the capability to punish any complacency from the Spurs defence.
Gameplay Expectations
Tottenham are likely to dominate possession and tempo, employing a high press to unsettle a Burnley side that has shown susceptibility under pressure. Burnley, in contrast, will likely rely on a compact defensive setup, aiming to absorb pressure and strike on the break.
Predictions and Strategic Insights
Best Bet: Tottenham to Win and Both Teams to Score
This prediction leverages the strengths and vulnerabilities of both Tottenham and Burnley. Tottenham, despite their recent defensive issues, have maintained a strong offensive record at home, making them likely winners against a Burnley team fighting relegation.
Burnley, although not prolific scorers, have consistently managed to find the back of the net, particularly in critical fixtures. Given Tottenham’s tendency to concede goals due to a shaky backline, betting on both teams to score in addition to a Tottenham win captures the likely scenario where Spurs’ attacking quality overcomes their defensive frailties, but not without conceding a goal.
Correct Score Prediction: Tottenham 3-1 Burnley
Aligned with the above prediction, a 3-1 scoreline reflects the potential offensive output from Tottenham against a Burnley side that struggles defensively but shows sporadic attacking potential. This score takes into account Tottenham’s average goals per game at home and Burnley’s average goals conceded, alongside the urgency of Burnley’s situation which might push them to be more adventurous in attack, leading to scoring opportunities for both teams.
This correct score prediction suggests a game where Tottenham controls the pace and capitalises on their chances while allowing room for a Burnley consolation.
Goalscorer Prediction: Richarlison to Score Anytime
Richarlison, given his track record this season and potential to start in an attacking role due to Tottenham’s need for a shake-up in form, is likely to be a pivotal figure in this match. His ability to perform in crucial moments, coupled with Burnley’s defensive weaknesses, makes him a prime candidate to score.
The prediction banks on Richarlison’s agility, finishing skills, and the likelihood of him receiving quality service from midfield, making it probable that he will find the net during the game.
Corner Prediction: Tottenham More Corners, Total Over 10.5
Tottenham’s tactical approach, which includes frequent crosses and shots from wide areas, often results in a high number of corners. Given the expected dominance of Tottenham in possession and their propensity to attack down the flanks against a defensively oriented Burnley, predicting Tottenham to secure more corners aligns with their style of play.
Moreover, a total of over 10.5 corners for the game is anticipated considering the intensity of the fixture, with Burnley also contributing to the corner count as they seek urgent goals to salvage their league status. This prediction reflects the likely dynamic where Tottenham’s sustained attacks force Burnley to clear their lines under pressure, leading to multiple set-piece situations.
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