Switzerland vs Germany Predictions

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Switzerland vs Germany predictions for this Euro 2024 clash. Germany and Switzerland face off in Frankfurt on Sunday, competing for top spot in Group A at Euro 2024. Read on for all our free Euro 2024 predictions and betting tips.

Switzerland
Germany

European Championship | Group Stage – Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK at Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

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Switzerland vs Germany Predictions

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Key Stats

– Germany have outperformed their expected goals by a factor of two, scoring seven goals from 3.78 xG in Euro 2024.

– Switzerland have drawn more matches than any other nation in the European Championship since Euro 2016.

– Niclas Fullkrug has an impressive international record with 12 goals in 18 games for Germany, highlighting his potential impact if he starts.

Germany and Switzerland Set for Euro 2024 Showdown: Who Will Top Group A?

As the excitement builds for the final group stage match in Group A of Euro 2024, hosts Germany will face Switzerland in Frankfurt on Sunday evening. With Germany already guaranteed a spot in the knockout stages after their victory over Hungary, and Switzerland needing at least a point to secure their progression, this encounter promises to be a thrilling battle for supremacy.

Match Preview

Germany have showcased their prowess in the tournament so far, with a convincing 2-0 win against Hungary following their opening night triumph over Scotland. Goals from Jamal Musiala and Ilkay Gundogan ensured Die Mannschaft’s safe passage to the last 16. Under the guidance of Julian Nagelsmann, Germany have been in formidable form, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches, five of which have ended in victory. The tactical clarity and determination displayed by Nagelsmann’s squad have made them one of the favourites to lift the trophy on home soil.

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Key players such as Musiala and Florian Wirtz have been instrumental, blending youthful exuberance with the experience of veterans like Gundogan. This blend of talent has positioned Germany as a dominant force in the tournament, capable of continuing their impressive run.

Switzerland, on the other hand, have shown resilience and tactical discipline. After an initial victory over Hungary, they were held to a draw by Scotland. Xherdan Shaqiri’s stunning equaliser highlighted their potential to create moments of brilliance. The Swiss are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Germany, a stat that adds an intriguing dimension to this clash. A draw or even a narrow defeat, depending on other results, could be sufficient for them to advance.

Team Analysis

Germany’s Tactical Approach

Germany’s tactical setup under Nagelsmann has been characterised by high pressing, quick transitions, and effective use of wide areas. The likely starting lineup for Germany will see Manuel Neuer in goal, with a defence comprising Joshua Kimmich, Jonathan Tah, Antonio Rudiger, and Maximilian Mittelstadt. The midfield will be anchored by Toni Kroos and Robert Andrich, with Musiala, Gundogan, and Wirtz supporting Kai Havertz in attack.

Nagelsmann’s side has been proficient in both defence and attack, with an average of 3.5 goals per game in the tournament and a solid defensive record, conceding just once in two matches. Their possession-based game, with a completion rate of 93.6%, ensures control and domination in midfield, while their attacking trio has the creativity and finishing ability to exploit any defensive lapses.

Switzerland’s Tactical Setup

Switzerland, managed by Murat Yakin, will likely field Yann Sommer in goal, with a back three of Fabian Schar, Manuel Akanji, and Ricardo Rodriguez. The midfield will feature Silvan Widmer, Granit Xhaka, Remo Freuler, and Michel Aebischer, with Dan Ndoye, Ruben Vargas, and Breel Embolo in attack.

The Swiss have been solid defensively but have shown vulnerabilities, particularly against aerial threats. Their game plan will likely focus on maintaining possession, as indicated by their 71.8% possession rate in the tournament, and capitalising on set-pieces and counter-attacks. Shaqiri’s creativity and Embolo’s physical presence will be crucial in breaking down Germany’s defence.

Key Players to Watch

For Germany, Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz have been standout performers. Musiala’s dribbling and vision, combined with Wirtz’s goal-scoring prowess, make them a formidable duo. Ilkay Gundogan’s experience and leadership will also be pivotal in midfield.

Switzerland will rely heavily on Xherdan Shaqiri for his creativity and set-piece expertise. Granit Xhaka’s midfield control and Breel Embolo’s attacking threat will be key factors in their strategy against Germany.

Expected Lineups

Germany’s Possible Starting XI:

  • Neuer
  • Kimmich, Tah, Rudiger, Mittelstadt
  • Andrich, Kroos
  • Musiala, Gundogan, Wirtz
  • Havertz

Switzerland’s Possible Starting XI:

  • Sommer
  • Schar, Akanji, Rodriguez
  • Widmer, Xhaka, Freuler, Aebischer
  • Ndoye, Vargas
  • Embolo

Germany’s lineup suggests a balance of defensive solidity and attacking flair, with a strong midfield presence. Switzerland’s formation indicates a cautious approach, focusing on a compact defence and quick transitions.

Tactical Analysis: Deep-Dive

Offensive and Defensive Strategies

Germany’s Offensive Strategy

Germany have adopted an aggressive, high-pressing approach under Julian Nagelsmann, which has been effective in both controlling possession and creating scoring opportunities. The front line, led by Kai Havertz, benefits from the creative support of Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz. Musiala’s dribbling skills and Wirtz’s incisive passing have been pivotal, allowing Germany to penetrate defences and create numerous chances. This strategy is reflected in their impressive average of 3.5 goals per game in the tournament.

In defence, Germany have been equally robust. With a backline anchored by Antonio Rudiger and Jonathan Tah, they have conceded only once in two matches. Their defensive strategy involves a high line with quick recovery, supported by the disciplined midfield play of Ilkay Gundogan and Robert Andrich. This setup not only stifles opposition attacks early but also allows for rapid transitions to offence.

Switzerland’s Defensive Strategy

Switzerland, under Murat Yakin, have employed a more cautious and structured approach. Their defensive setup is characterised by a compact back three of Fabian Schar, Manuel Akanji, and Ricardo Rodriguez. This trio has been crucial in maintaining solidity at the back, particularly against stronger opponents. Switzerland’s defensive strategy focuses on positional discipline and coordinated pressing, aiming to limit the opposition’s space and force errors.

Offensively, Switzerland rely heavily on set-pieces and counter-attacks. Xherdan Shaqiri’s creativity and Ruben Vargas’s pace are central to their attacking play. Shaqiri’s ability to deliver precise crosses and take long-range shots adds a critical dimension to their offence, which can be sporadic but effective when executed correctly.

Individual Performances of Key Players

Germany

Jamal Musiala has been a standout performer for Germany, with his dribbling and vision creating numerous opportunities. His ability to take on defenders and make key passes has been instrumental in Germany’s attacking success. Florian Wirtz’s versatility and finishing skills have also been crucial, complementing Musiala’s playmaking.

Kai Havertz, leading the line, has shown his scoring prowess and ability to hold up play, linking effectively with the midfield. In defence, Antonio Rudiger’s physical presence and leadership have been vital, providing stability and confidence at the back.

Switzerland

For Switzerland, Xherdan Shaqiri has been the linchpin in attack. His goal against Scotland was a testament to his technical ability and importance to the team. Granit Xhaka’s role in midfield, orchestrating play and providing defensive cover, has also been significant. His leadership and experience are invaluable in maintaining the team’s shape and discipline.

Manuel Akanji and Fabian Schar have been solid in defence, their ability to read the game and make crucial interceptions ensuring Switzerland remain defensively sound. Ruben Vargas’s speed and directness have added a different dimension to their attack, especially on the counter.

Impact of Management

Germany

Julian Nagelsmann’s impact on Germany has been profound. After a rocky start, his tactical acumen has guided the team to a six-match unbeaten streak. Nagelsmann’s emphasis on high pressing and quick transitions has rejuvenated Germany’s playstyle, making them one of the tournament favourites. His ability to blend youth with experience has created a dynamic and balanced squad.

Switzerland

Murat Yakin’s management style has brought stability and resilience to Switzerland. His pragmatic approach and focus on defensive solidity have been key to their performances. However, Yakin’s cautious tactics have sometimes stifled their attacking potential, as seen in the draw against Scotland. While his strategies have ensured defensive robustness, there is a need for more offensive fluidity.

Expected Goals Analysis

Germany’s performance in the tournament has seen them outperform their expected goals (xG) by a significant margin. With seven goals from an xG of 3.78, they have been clinical in front of goal, capitalising on their chances efficiently. This efficiency is a testament to the quality of their attacking players and the tactical setup that maximises scoring opportunities.

Switzerland, on the other hand, have been closer to their xG, reflecting a more conservative and less prolific attack. Their reliance on set-pieces and fewer clear-cut chances means they are less likely to score multiple goals per game, which aligns with their xG figures.

Comparison of Tactics and Player Performances

In terms of tactics, Germany’s aggressive, high-pressing approach contrasts with Switzerland’s structured and cautious style. Germany’s ability to dominate possession and create high-quality chances sets them apart. Their tactical fluidity and adaptability have been critical in their success, allowing them to control games and break down defences effectively.

Switzerland’s tactics focus on defensive solidity and quick transitions. While this has made them tough to break down, it has also limited their offensive output. The reliance on set-pieces and individual brilliance from players like Shaqiri highlights a lack of attacking cohesion.

Player performances further underscore these differences. Germany’s Musiala and Wirtz have been dynamic and influential, driving their offensive play. In contrast, Switzerland’s standout performers, such as Shaqiri and Xhaka, have been more focused on maintaining structure and discipline, reflecting their tactical approach.

Suggestions for Improvement

Germany

While Germany have been impressive, they can still improve their defensive transitions. At times, their high line leaves them vulnerable to counter-attacks, a weakness that can be exploited by quicker teams. Additionally, ensuring consistent concentration levels throughout the match will be crucial as they progress to the knockout stages.

Switzerland

Switzerland need to enhance their offensive fluidity. Integrating more dynamic attacking patterns and increasing their attacking tempo can make them more threatening. Encouraging players like Vargas to take on more offensive responsibilities and providing better support to Shaqiri in the final third can improve their goal-scoring potential.

Strengths and Weaknesses of Managers

Julian Nagelsmann

Nagelsmann’s strengths lie in his tactical flexibility and ability to inspire confidence in his players. His high-pressing, aggressive style suits Germany’s strengths and has yielded impressive results. However, his insistence on a high defensive line can sometimes be a double-edged sword, leaving the team exposed to quick counter-attacks.

Murat Yakin

Yakin’s pragmatic approach has ensured Switzerland are defensively robust and tactically disciplined. His focus on structure and organisation has made Switzerland a tough team to beat. However, this cautious approach can also be a drawback, limiting their offensive potential and making them predictable in attack. Critics might argue that Yakin’s conservatism hinders Switzerland’s ability to take the initiative in matches.

Predictions

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Best Bet: Germany to Win and Under 2.5 Goals

Germany’s defensive strength and Switzerland’s organised approach suggest a match that will likely be decided by a narrow margin. Germany, having conceded only once in their two group matches, demonstrate a disciplined and robust defence. Switzerland, known for their tactical discipline, will aim to keep the game tight, particularly against a formidable German side.

With Germany’s efficient attack and Switzerland’s resilience, it’s reasonable to anticipate a match where Germany secure a victory but the total goals remain under 2.5. This best bet combines the likelihood of a German win with the expectation of a controlled, lower-scoring game.

Correct Score Prediction: Germany 2-0 Switzerland

Considering Germany’s current form and their tactical setup, a 2-0 victory seems plausible. Germany have shown they can dominate possession and create scoring opportunities while maintaining a strong defensive line. With players like Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala in attack, Germany are capable of breaking down Switzerland’s defence.

Meanwhile, Germany’s defence, led by Antonio Rudiger and Jonathan Tah, has been solid, which suggests Switzerland will struggle to find the net. Thus, a 2-0 scoreline reflects Germany’s ability to control the game and score, while keeping Switzerland at bay.

Goalscorer Prediction: Kai Havertz to Score

Kai Havertz, leading Germany’s attack, is well-positioned to score in this match. His versatility and positioning enable him to exploit defensive gaps effectively. Havertz’s form in the tournament has been commendable, and he has a knack for being in the right place at the right time.

Against a Swiss defence that has shown vulnerability, particularly in dealing with crosses and set-pieces, Havertz’s aerial ability and poise in front of goal make him a prime candidate to score. His recent performances suggest he is due for a goal, adding weight to this prediction.

Corner Prediction: Germany to Win More Corners

Germany’s attacking style and their tendency to utilise wide areas are likely to result in a higher number of corners. Their strategy often involves stretching the play and delivering crosses into the box, which naturally leads to more corner opportunities.

On the other hand, Switzerland’s defensive approach might limit their attacking ventures, thus reducing their corner count. With Germany expected to dominate possession and attack frequently, they are likely to win more corners in the match, reflecting their offensive pressure.

Shot on Target Prediction: Jamal Musiala

Jamal Musiala, with his dribbling skills and offensive mindset, is likely to have at least one shot on target. Musiala’s ability to create space and his willingness to take on defenders make him a constant threat.

His knack for finding shooting opportunities, both inside and outside the box, enhances this prediction. Given his role in Germany’s attacking setup, Musiala will be instrumental in driving forward and testing the Swiss goalkeeper, making it highly probable he will register a shot on target.

Yellow Card Prediction: Granit Xhaka

Granit Xhaka’s aggressive playing style and his role in breaking up play make him a prime candidate for a booking. Xhaka often engages in tactical fouls to disrupt opposition attacks, and his confrontational approach in midfield can lead to yellow cards.

In a match where Switzerland will need to be defensively disciplined against Germany’s dynamic attack, Xhaka’s propensity for physical challenges and his importance in midfield battles increase the likelihood of him receiving a yellow card.

Assist Prediction: Ilkay Gundogan

Ilkay Gundogan’s vision and passing accuracy position him as a strong contender to provide an assist. His experience and ability to pick out key passes in the final third are crucial for Germany’s attacking play.

Gundogan’s role in linking midfield and attack allows him to create opportunities for his teammates. With forwards like Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala in front of him, Gundogan’s precise passing can unlock the Swiss defence, making him a likely candidate to register an assist during the match.

Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target – Germany Over 5.5

Germany’s offensive efficiency and ability to generate numerous chances suggest they will have a high number of shots on target. With an average of 8.5 shots on target per game in the tournament, Germany’s attacking depth and creativity are evident.

Players like Musiala, Havertz, and Wirtz consistently test the opposition goalkeeper, making the over 5.5 shots on target a viable prediction. Given Switzerland’s defensive challenges and Germany’s attacking prowess, surpassing 5.5 shots on target is a realistic expectation.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!